Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
TT

Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)

Sources familiar with the internal discussions that led to the selection of Yahya Sinwar as the new leader of Hamas in Gaza revealed several key factors behind his appointment.
Sinwar succeeded Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated by Israel in Tehran. Sinwar’s own ambitions, Khaled Meshaal's decision to step aside, and strategic considerations involving Israel and regional dynamics were all influential in this decision.
Hamas unanimously chose Sinwar in a decisive meeting on Tuesday after two days of discussions.
Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that most Hamas leaders abroad, including those from Gaza, the West Bank, and members of the political bureau and Shura Council based in Lebanon, Türkiye, and Qatar, participated in these crucial meetings and supported Sinwar’s appointment.
Initially, Sinwar’s name was not proposed right after Haniyeh’s assassination. The focus was on appointing Khaled Meshaal as a temporary leader until the Gaza conflict ended.
However, Meshaal declined due to health issues and unspecified pressures related to various foreign relations. Some noted that Meshaal was seen as more aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood than with Iran.
Sources revealed that Hamas aimed to send several clear messages with Sinwar’s appointment.
The main message was defiance towards Israel, showing unity within Hamas and dismissing any internal conflicts, including the October 7 attack, which Sinwar and Qassam Brigades leader Mohammed Deif masterminded.
This move also signals a return of leadership to the battlefield and reaffirms Hamas’ role in the Iran-led “axis of resistance.”
Sources, who requested anonymity, stated that Sinwar’s selection was primarily a response to the assassination of Haniyeh.
“The key message to Netanyahu and Israel is that by killing Haniyeh, a negotiator willing to make concessions to stop the war, you now face Sinwar, your primary enemy and a war instigator. If Israel’s government wants to continue the conflict, this is our reply,” explained the sources.
Additionally, the sources mentioned that truce negotiations are now in Sinwar’s hands, meaning Israel must negotiate with him. They also confirmed that with Sinwar’s appointment, the decision was made to resume ceasefire talks in Gaza, with Sinwar personally overseeing them.
Other factors behind Sinwar’s selection involve Hamas’s external situation and its relationships with various countries.
“One reason was to ease the immense pressure on the external leadership from mediators and host countries to expel Hamas leaders. Shifting decision-making to Gaza reduces these pressures,” a source, who asked to remain anonymous, told Asharq Al-Awsat.
“It’s easier to assassinate someone abroad, so choosing a leader from Gaza is the best option to handle the movement’s external challenges. It’s unclear if Sinwar’s appointment will succeed, as some countries welcomed it while others remained silent,” the source explained.
Meanwhile, Israel has vowed to kill Sinwar, using his appointment to justify military control over Gaza and the West Bank.

 



UNIFIL Says Families of its Personnel Must ‘Temporarily’ Leave Lebanon


A UN vehicle drives close to the Lebanese-Israeli border in southern Lebanon (Reuters)
A UN vehicle drives close to the Lebanese-Israeli border in southern Lebanon (Reuters)
TT

UNIFIL Says Families of its Personnel Must ‘Temporarily’ Leave Lebanon


A UN vehicle drives close to the Lebanese-Israeli border in southern Lebanon (Reuters)
A UN vehicle drives close to the Lebanese-Israeli border in southern Lebanon (Reuters)

The families of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon personnel must leave the country, UNIFIL spokesperson Andrea Tenenti told Italian news agency ANSA on Wednesday.

The request, which the spokesman said is a “temporary measure,” coincided with a military escalation in the south while Hezbollah and Israel continue to exchange threats.

In Beirut, Prime Minister Najib Mikati held several meetings to follow up on the current situation and assess the readiness of Lebanese ministries and departments in the event of any emergency.

Meanwhile, Tenenti told ANSA that the families of UNIFIL personnel must leave Lebanon.

He said the request was made by the UN according to an order already issued in May when the mission has become a “non-family duty station” with tension escalating at the border between Lebanon and Israel.

“Many families have left, even though some remained in Beirut where the situation was calmer,” the spokesperson said.

“Now the new measure concerns them as well,” he noted, adding however that it is a “temporary measure.”

Tenenti added that the measure is expected to last “at least until the end of August” and it can't be described as “an evacuation but rather as a relocation.”

UNIFIL’s request came while regional tensions have escalated following last week's assassination of Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah senior commander Fouad Shukr in an airstrike in Beirut's southern suburbs.

Iran and Hezbollah threatened a “harsh and painful response” for the presumed Israeli assassinations.

Countries have issued urgent calls for their nationals to leave in recent days while several airlines have delayed or suspended flights to Beirut and Tel Aviv.

The US Embassy in Lebanon said it remains open and continues to process emergency passports, repatriation loans, and other emergency consular services.

“US citizens who need financial assistance returning to the United States may apply for a repatriation loan,” it said in a post on X.

Earlier, the Embassy warned that Americans who do not leave the country should be prepared to “shelter in place for an extended period of time.”

Also, the German defense and foreign ministries, after frequent calls to German citizens to leave Lebanon, warned those remaining not to rely only on the fact that the German state will evacuate them in the event of an escalation of the conflict.

“The evacuation operation is not a package deal with a guarantee of return. The evacuation operation is associated with dangers and uncertainties and is not at all without problems. And in this context, we again call on all Germans staying in Lebanon to leave immediately,” said the Foreign Ministry spokesman.

Also, the Defense Ministry said that the refusal to leave Lebanon while being called up is completely wrong and irresponsible, including towards German soldiers.

Since the beginning of this week, reporting on evacuation preparations and options has created a false impression, preventing German citizens in Lebanon from leaving the country, the country's authorities said in a statement.

In the Lebanese capital, Mikati held a series of meetings, including with caretaker Environment Minister Nasser Yassin and Public Works and Transport Minister Ali Hamieh, as well as the Secretary General of the Council of Ministers, Judge Mahmoud Makkieh, and Secretary-General of the Supreme Defense Council Major General Mohammad Mustafa.

They followed up on the current situation and assessed the readiness of Lebanese ministries and departments in the event of any escalation.

Yassin said the meetings discussed the issue of accommodating displaced persons, the emergency health plan, food security, and the available quantities of fuel.