Macron Maintains Contacts to Stop Israeli War on Lebanon

The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
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Macron Maintains Contacts to Stop Israeli War on Lebanon

The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)

French President Emmanuel Macron continues his efforts to halt the Israeli war on Lebanon, also stressing the need to stop supplying weapons to Israel.
Macron’s communications, as part of his call for an international conference to support Lebanon announced over a week ago, involve a wide range of Arab leaders, France’s European partners, the US, and Israel. The Lebanese issue was also discussed at the summit of the European-Mediterranean countries held in the Cypriot city of Paphos.
So far, Paris has not backed away from the French-American initiative calling for a temporary halt to military operations between Israel and Hezbollah, allowing room to discuss the activation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and arrange security measures along the borders while seeking to find solutions to the border disputes between Lebanon and Israel.
Macron has strongly reacted to the targeting of UN peacekeeping forces (UNIFIL), stating that France “will not allow this to happen again.” In addition to a joint statement by France, Spain, and Italy on the security of UNIFIL, in which attacks on the forces were described as trampling on international humanitarian law and UN Security Council resolutions, Paris also signed a statement by the Group of Forty. This group includes 36 countries with troops operating under UNIFIL, along with six other supporting nations.
The statement emphasized the need to “respect the presence of UNIFIL, which means ensuring the safety and security of its personnel at all times”. It also expressed support for UNIFIL’s role, especially in the current critical phase, given the escalation in the region.
Macron and Berri
As part of intensive contacts, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot visited Beirut before embarking on a second regional tour that took him to several Arab capitals and Israel, without returning to Lebanon. Sources in Paris indicated that the reason for excluding Beirut was the resistance Barrot encountered in Israel regarding the possibility of achieving a ceasefire on the Lebanese front.
Macron also called Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Saturday. The latter received an extended 40-minute call from US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.
Paris sees Berri as playing a “key role” today, given that he is “officially” tasked by Hezbollah with handling the political aspect and is considered the channel capable of delivering direct messages to the party’s leadership and influencing it. This comes especially after the issuance of the tripartite statement calling for a ceasefire and the acceptance of implementing UN Resolution 1701, which effectively means Hezbollah abandoning its “support front” and separating the war in Gaza from the conflict in Lebanon.
Given the importance of the Macron-Berri conversation, which provided the French president with a clear picture of what Hezbollah is willing to accept and reject, the Élysée Palace issued a detailed statement summarizing the call and outlining the key messages Macron aimed to convey to Lebanon and other parties involved.
Three Key Messages
The first message expressed “concern over the intensification of Israeli strikes on Lebanon and their tragic impact on civilians.” Naturally, Macron expressed “solidarity with the Lebanese people during this ordeal” and reaffirmed France’s commitment to “ensuring Lebanon’s safety, sovereignty, and security in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 1701.”
The presidential statement practically conveyed that neither Hezbollah nor Israel had respected the letter or spirit of the international resolution, and that UN peacekeeping forces had been unable to fulfill their mission as mandated by the Security Council, with the same applying to the Lebanese army.
Macron reiterated France’s commitment to two things: first, keeping the French contingent of 700 troops stationed in southern Lebanon as part of UNIFIL.
The second message urged Lebanese parties to work for the “unity and stability of the country during this critical phase,” calling for a consensus on a political agenda that includes “the election of a president who guarantees national unity.” Macron stressed that France “will always stand by those who choose this path, and will continue to mobilize the international quintet (comprised of France, the US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Qatar).
Macron had previously appointed former Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian as his personal envoy to Lebanon. However, Le Drian’s mediation efforts, along with the meetings of the quintet and his communications, have not yielded any results due to internal complications and external influences.
Macron’s main attempt in the Lebanese file now is the international conference scheduled for Oct. 24 in Paris.
The third message conveyed that Paris “remains steadfast in its efforts to organize the international conference to support the Lebanese people and Lebanon’s sovereignty.” The Élysée statement clarified that the conference “will provide an opportunity to mobilize the international community to respond to the humanitarian needs of the Lebanese people and offer support to the Lebanese armed forces and internal security forces, whose role will be crucial for the country’s stability.”
As for the ceasefire, Paris is not the key actor. In an unusually frank statement, French Defense Minister Sébastien Lecornu acknowledged France’s inability to influence Israel’s decisions. In a radio interview last week, Lecornu said: “Israel does not respond to American demands and requests, so how can France influence it?”

 



Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
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Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)

Already suffering from a prolonged conflict as a result of the Houthi coup against the legitimate authority, Yemen is facing mounting risks brought on by climate change, the World Bank warned on Thursday.
Many populations are facing threats from climate change, such as extreme heat, drought, and floods, the WB said in its newly released Yemen Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR).
Stephane Guimbert, World Bank Country Director for Egypt, Yemen and Djibouti said that Yemen is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises — conflict, climate change, and poverty.
He called for immediate and decisive action on climate resilience, a matter of survival for millions of Yemenis.
“By investing in water security, climate-smart agriculture, and renewable energy, Yemen can safeguard human capital, build resilience and lay the foundations for a path to sustainable recovery,” he said.
The WB report said half of Yemenis are already exposed to at least one climate hazard — extreme heat, drought, or flooding — with compounding effects on food insecurity and poverty.
These risks, it showed, are expected to intensify without immediate action and Yemen’s annual GDP could decline by an average of 3.9% by 2040 under pessimistic climate scenarios, largely due to decreased agricultural productivity and infrastructure damage.
Navigating Challenges
Despite these challenges, the CCDR identifies strategic opportunities to strengthen resilience, improve food and water security, and unlock sustainable growth, the WB report noted.
For example, it said, targeted investments in water storage and groundwater management, coupled with adaptive agriculture techniques could lead to productivity gains of up to 13.5% in crop production under optimistic climate scenarios for the period of 2041 to 2050.
The report also spoke about risks to the fisheries sector, considered as a critical source of livelihood for many Yemenis.
Its projections indicate a potential decline of up to 23% in fish stocks due to rising sea temperatures and altered marine ecosystems.

The WB report also said that climate change exacerbates existing health challenges in Yemen, leading to increased healthcare costs and strain on already fragile health systems.
“It is projected that climate-related health issues could cost the country over $5 billion in excess health costs by 2050,” it noted.
“Addressing these challenges requires integrating climate resilience into public health planning, with a focus on vulnerable groups such as women and children.”
Concerning infrastructure, the report said urban areas and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable, and without adaptation measures, economic shocks will disproportionately affect already fragile communities.
As for the private sector, it has a critical role to play in addressing Yemen’s pressing development challenges, said Khawaja Aftab Ahmed, IFC’s Regional Director for the Middle East.
“Harnessing its potential through innovative financing mechanisms and guarantee instruments and creating a conducive investment climate can help mobilize the climate-focused funding the country urgently needs to build a greener and more resilient future,” he said.
The WB report also said that Yemen also has immense potential for renewable energy, which could serve as a key component of its climate response and recovery.
It showed that harnessing renewable energy resources not only offers a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels but also enables the creation of a more resilient power infrastructure.
“This will be essential in supporting vital services such as healthcare, water supply, and food distribution, particularly in conflict-affected areas,” it said.
Global Coordination
The World Bank highlighted the significant commitments and coordination from the international community to support Yemen in coping with climate shocks and building broader resilience.
It said securing sustainable peace will be required to unlock the financing and take the action needed to build long-term resilience to climate change.
The CCDR then underscored the importance of flexible, risk-informed decision-making to adapt climate actions to Yemen's uncertain political landscape.
Under a “Peace and Prosperity” scenario, it said, a higher level of adaptation can be implemented, yielding greater economic and social benefits.
Yemeni Minister of Water and Environment, Tawfiq Al-Sharjabi, stressed the importance of integrating climate action into development strategies and adapting to climate fluctuations.
The minister was speaking at a special session to discuss the WB report on the sidelines of the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
He said the report represents a significant contribution for Yemen in addressing climate change and will facilitate access to various climate financing options amid the structural and technical fragility faced by institutions due to the war.
The report, Al-Sharjabi added, aligns closely with Yemen's urgent priorities, particularly in the areas of water and food security, enhancing livelihoods, and promoting area-based climate adaptation approaches.