Blinken Presses Iraq on Iran-Backed Groups, Seeing Syria Window

This handout picture released by the Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office shows PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Baghdad on December 13, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
This handout picture released by the Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office shows PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Baghdad on December 13, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
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Blinken Presses Iraq on Iran-Backed Groups, Seeing Syria Window

This handout picture released by the Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office shows PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Baghdad on December 13, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
This handout picture released by the Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office shows PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Baghdad on December 13, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken pressed Iraq to crack down on Iranian-backed militias, seeing an opening after the downfall of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad put Tehran on the back foot, a US official said.

Blinken met Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani in Baghdad on Friday as part of a last-minute regional tour after Islamist-led Syrian rebels ended a half-century of rule by the Assad clan, a major ally of Iran.

A US official said Blinken told Sudani that Iran was at its weakest in some time and that Iraq had an opportunity to reduce Tehran's influence.

Specifically, Blinken asked Sudani to clamp down on Iranian-backed Iraqi Shiite armed groups, who for years have periodically attacked US forces in Iraq, the official said on condition of anonymity.

Blinken also asked Sudani to help prevent the transfer of Iranian weapons across Iraqi territory to any affiliated groups in Syria, the official said.

Blinken was more circumspect in his public remarks, saying after their meeting in Baghdad that the US was committed to "working for Iraq's sovereignty to make sure that that is strengthened and preserved".

"I think this is a moment as well for Iraq to reinforce its own sovereignty as well as its stability, security and success going forward," he said, without naming Iran.

Iran's clout rose sharply in its fellow Shiite-majority neighbor after the 2003 US-led invasion toppled Tehran's foe Saddam Hussein.

Assad's government in Syria had long been propped up with help from Iran and its powerful ally Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The Tehran-backed group, however, suffered heavy losses in its recent war with Israel, which has also struck Iran-linked targets within Syria.

Assad's other key backer Russia, meanwhile, has been tied up by its invasion of Ukraine.

The US official declined to say how Sudani responded to Blinken's request, other than to say the prime minister expressed hope Iraq could avoid becoming embroiled in a conflict.

Blinken also promised to work with Iraq to prevent a resurgence of the ISIS group, which established a self-styled caliphate across vast swathes of Iraq and Syria a decade ago before counter-offensives backed both by the United States and Iran.

The Iraqi government has close ties to Iran, and US President Joe Biden's administration has agreed with Baghdad to reduce the remaining US troop presence in the country -- a long-standing demand of Iran-aligned militias there.

The incoming administration of Donald Trump is expected to harden US actions against Iran, even though the president-elect has also voiced a willingness for deal-making.

The Biden administration last month extended again a waiver allowing Iraq to buy electricity from Iran in spite of sanctions.

Lawmakers from Trump's Republican Party lashed out at the move, saying that Biden was permitting a major cash flow to Iran that worked against international efforts to isolate it.



Israel’s Retaliatory Responses to Houthis Must Begin by Drawing Intelligence Plan

A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
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Israel’s Retaliatory Responses to Houthis Must Begin by Drawing Intelligence Plan

A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)

Israel is considering options to respond to repeated attacks fired from Yemen in the past few days, the latest of which was a Houthi missile strike that injured more than a dozen people in Tel Aviv.
But military experts say Israel should first consider an intelligence plan for confronting the new front after it faced significant difficulties in both defending against and responding to the Houthi attacks.
On Saturday morning, Houthis launched a missile that triggered sirens throughout central Israel at 3:44 am. It was the second attack since Thursday.
Israel's military said the projectile landed in Tel Aviv's southern Jaffa area, adding that attempts to intercept a missile from Yemen failed.
“The incident is still being thoroughly investigated,” the army said, adding that following initial investigations by the Israeli Air Force and Home Front Command, “some of the conclusions have already been implemented, both regarding interception and early warning.”
Israeli military experts say the recent Houthi attacks have revealed serious security gaps in Israel's air defense systems.
“The pressing question now is why none of the other of Israel’s air defense layers managed to intercept the warhead,” wrote Yedioth Ahronoth's Ron Ben-Yishai. “The likely explanation is the late detection and the flat trajectory, which prevented the operation of all available defense apparatus.”
He said these incidents might expose a critical vulnerability in the army’s air defense system protecting Israel’s civilian and military home front.
According to Ben-Yishai, two main reasons might explain Saturday’s interception failure.
The first is that the missile was launched in a “flattened” ballistic trajectory, possibly from an unexpected direction.
As a result, Israeli defenses may not have identified it in time, leading to its late discovery and insufficient time for interceptors to operate.
He said the second, and more likely scenario is that Iran has developed a maneuverable warhead.
Such a warhead separates from the missile during the final third of its trajectory and maneuvers mid-flight—executing pre-programmed course changes—to hit its designated target, he wrote.
And while Israel has launched initial investigations into the failure of Israeli defense systems to intercept the missiles, it is now examining the nature, date and location of its response.
When Houthis launched their first missile attack on Israel last Thursday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned them, saying, “The Houthis will learn the hard way.”
But Israeli political analyst Avi Ashkenazi wrote in the Maariv newspaper that Israel should look at reality with open eyes and say out loud that it cannot deal with the Houthi threat from Yemen, and has failed to face them.
Last Thursday, 14 Israeli Air Force fighter jets, alongside refuelers and spy planes, flew some 2,000 kilometers and dropped over 60 munitions on Houthi “military targets” along Yemen’s western coast and near the capital Sanaa.
The targets included fuel and oil depots, two power stations, and eight tugboats used at the Houthi-controlled ports.
But the Maariv newspaper warned about the increasing involvement of Iran in supporting the Houthi forces.
“Iran has invested more in the Houthis in recent weeks following the collapse of the Shiite axis, making the Houthi movement a leader of this axis,” the newspaper noted.
Underscoring the failures of Israel’s air defense systems, Maariv said the “Arrow” missile defense system, Israel's main line of defense against ballistic missiles, had failed four times in a row to intercept missiles, including three launched from Yemen and one from Lebanon.
Yedioth Ahronoth's Ben-Yishai also warned that the threat posed by maneuvering warheads on Iran's heavy, long-range missiles would become existential for Israel should Iran succeed in developing nuclear warheads for these missiles.
Meanwhile, Israel’s Channel 12 said that in recent months, the Middle East has changed beyond recognition.
The channel said that for the first time in more than half a century, a direct and threat-free air corridor has been opened to Iran through the Middle East. Israel will benefit from this corridor to launch almost daily attacks on the border crossings between Syria and Lebanon, it said.
Channel 12 also reported that according to the Israeli military, the new threat-free corridor will help Israel launch a future attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.
“From Israel's perspective, the fall of the Assad regime and the collapse of the Iranian ring of fire are changing the balance of power in the Middle East,” the report added.