Saudi Energy Minister Warnings to Speculators Highlighted Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman upon his arrival at the OPEC headquarters in Vienna (AFP)
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman upon his arrival at the OPEC headquarters in Vienna (AFP)
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Saudi Energy Minister Warnings to Speculators Highlighted Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman upon his arrival at the OPEC headquarters in Vienna (AFP)
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman upon his arrival at the OPEC headquarters in Vienna (AFP)

The OPEC+ countries seek to maintain the stability of oil markets at their meeting on Sunday amid global economic turmoil and uncertainty surrounding global economic and political prospects.

Last week, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman warned "short sellers" against betting on oil prices falling, saying they should watch out.

Ministers of OPEC and its allies began their two-day meetings on Saturday at the organization's headquarters in Vienna.

Reuters quoted unnamed sources saying that the OPEC+ alliance will discuss possible options, including additional oil cuts.

OPEC+ pumps around 40 percent of the world's crude, meaning its policy decisions can significantly impact oil prices.

Several countries in the coalition had announced voluntary cuts of 1.6 million barrels per day last April, in addition to the two million barrels per day that had been previously reduced. The decision took effect in May.

The surprise output announcement in April helped to drive oil prices about $9 per barrel higher to above $87, but they swiftly retreated, under pressure from concerns about global economic growth and demand. On Friday, the international benchmark Brent settled at $76.

However, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said he did not expect any new steps from the OPEC+ group at its meeting in Vienna on June 4, according to Russian media.

"This figure is premature, and these matters have not yet been addressed."

Western countries have accused OPEC of manipulating oil prices and undermining the global economy by raising energy costs.

The West also accused OPEC of being too biased toward Russia, despite sanctions over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.

Reuters indicated that OPEC officials said the West's money-printing over the last decade exacerbated inflation and forced oil-producing nations to take measures to preserve the value of the leading commodity among their exports.

Asian countries like China and India bought the lion's share of Russia's oil exports and refused to join Western sanctions against Russia.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei said that there is an aspiration for a resolution that guarantees a sustainable balance of supply and demand.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects global oil demand to rise further in the second half of 2023, potentially boosting oil prices.

Analysts at JPMorgan, however, said OPEC needed to act more quickly to adjust supply to record high levels of US output and higher-than-expected Russian exports.

"There is simply too much supply," the JPMorgan analysts said in a note, adding that extra cuts could amount to around one million bpd.



Davos to Welcome Trump Virtually as World Leaders Await New US President’s Policies

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, on November 6, 2024. (AFP)
Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, on November 6, 2024. (AFP)
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Davos to Welcome Trump Virtually as World Leaders Await New US President’s Policies

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, on November 6, 2024. (AFP)
Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, on November 6, 2024. (AFP)

Donald Trump will mark his return to the global stage with a virtual World Economic Forum appearance in Davos next week, as world leaders await details of the incoming US President's policies and his pledge to end the war in Ukraine.

Trump is due to return to the White House on Jan. 20, with his inauguration for a second term as US President coinciding with the start of the 55th annual WEF meeting of political and business leaders in the Swiss mountain resort.

Meanwhile, another key player in any attempt to bring peace to Ukraine, the country's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, will make a special address and take questions, the WEF meeting organizers said on Tuesday.

Among the other global leaders due to attend the meeting, which will include 60 heads of state and government, are European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and China's vice premier Ding Xuexiang, WEF President and CEO Borge Brende said during a press conference.

Brende said Trump, who has twice previously attended Davos, will join "digitally" on Jan. 23, without giving further details. He said it would be a "very special moment" to learn about the new Trump administration's policy priorities.

"There is a lot of interest to decipher and to understand the policies of the new administration, so it will be an interesting week," Brende said.

Topics on the Davos agenda range from mounting global geopolitical and economic uncertainty to trade tensions, climate goals and how AI can help make lives better.

Business leaders have become more optimistic about the economy given Trump's pledges to reduce regulation, potentially cut taxes and ease restrictions on activities including mergers and acquisitions, Rich Lesser, global chair of Boston Consulting Group, told Reuters ahead of the meeting.

Lesser said, however, that underlying optimism is being offset by concerns about tariffs, deportations, a widening budget deficit and the US relationship with China.

MIDDLE EAST

This year's meeting in Davos is taking place against "the most complicated geopolitical backdrop in generations," Brende said, adding that the forum will have a strong focus on Middle East geopolitics, including high-level diplomatic talks.

Delegates will discuss developments in Syria and the humanitarian crises in Gaza and Yemen alongside other topics.

Participants will include Qatar's Prime Minister, the Saudi Arabian Foreign Minister, Syria's foreign minister, the UN special envoy on Syria, the Iranian Vice President, Israel's President and the Palestinian Prime Minister.

"There will be a hard work at the situation in Syria, the terrible humanitarian situation in Gaza ... the potential escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. We were very close to it between Israel and Iran, and I don't think we're out of the woods yet," Brende said.

CLIMATE

The WEF will this week release an analysis looking at companies that account for two-thirds of global market capitalization, which will show that only about 10% are taking meaningful and tangible action on the climate and nature agenda.

Business and political leaders gathering in Davos from Jan. 20 to Jan. 24 are also due to discuss how to ensure energy remains affordable, secure and green and the challenges preventing acceleration of efforts towards energy transition.

"We’re in a really challenging moment for climate, where countries are asking if other nations are doing their share," said Boston Consulting Group's Lesser.