Private Sector Boom Continues in Saudi Arabia, UAE

 Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
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Private Sector Boom Continues in Saudi Arabia, UAE

 Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)

Private non-state oil-producing companies in Saudi Arabia and the UAE witnessed a powerful resurgence in June, fueled by a surge in production and new orders.

The notable surge in production and new orders in Saudi Arabia, reaching the highest levels in several years, prompted companies in the Kingdom to ramp up their purchasing activities swiftly, aiming to meet the growing demands for inventory support.

These insights are based on Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index report, compiled by S&P Global.

June’s headline PMI number came in at 59.6, up on May’s 58.5 and again indicative of a strong, above trend rate of growth.

According to the index, PMI readings above the 50-mark show non-oil private sector growth, while those below 50 signal contraction.

“The Kingdom’s non-oil private sector remained on a steeply upward growth trajectory by the end of the second quarter, as inflows of new business accelerated, particularly in construction and tourism activities,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, the chief economist at Riyad Bank.

The sub-index for new orders rose to 69.5 in June from 67.3 in the previous month, marking its highest level since September 2014. This increase was driven by strong demand and favorable market conditions.

The Saudi government is injecting billions of dollars into the development of non-oil sectors, aiming to diversify revenue sources away from hydrocarbons. Special emphasis is placed on creating employment opportunities for the youth.

“Ultimately, government-backed investments, especially in construction and infrastructure projects, remain crucial for the business sector,” said Al-Ghaith.

He further added that the sentiment towards future activity remains positive.

Commenting on the recent figures, Saudi Shura Council member Fadhel Al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Saudi economy has entered an important phase of growth after recovering from the coronavirus pandemic.

According to Al-Buainain, the witnessed recovery is a result of the government’s measures to mitigate the pandemic’s negative impacts on the economy.



Oil Slumps 3% as Trump's Tariffs Expected to Impede Demand

FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
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Oil Slumps 3% as Trump's Tariffs Expected to Impede Demand

FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo

Oil prices fell by over 3% on Thursday after US President Donald Trump announced sweeping new tariffs which investors worry will enflame a global trade war that will curtail economic growth and limit fuel demand.

Brent futures were down $2.66, or 3.55%, to $72.29 a barrel by 0918 GMT US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down $2.69, or 3.75%, to $69.02.

Trump on Wednesday unveiled a 10% minimum tariff on most goods imported to the United States, the world's biggest oil consumer, with much higher duties on products from dozens of countries, initiating a global trade war that threatens to drive up inflation and stall US and worldwide economic growth, Reuters reported.

"The US tariff announcement clearly caught markets off guard. Pre-announcement speculation suggested a flat 15-20% tariff, but the final decision was more hawkish," Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, said in an email.

"For oil prices, the focus now shifts to the global growth outlook, which is likely to be revised downward due to these higher-than-expected tariffs," he added.

Imports of oil, gas and refined products were exempted from the new tariffs, the White House said on Wednesday.

UBS analysts on Wednesday cut their oil forecasts by $3 per barrel over 2025-26 to $72 per barrel, citing weaker fundamentals.

Traders and analysts now expect more price volatility in the near term, as the tariffs may change as countries try to negotiate lower rates or impose retaliatory levies.

"Countermeasures are imminent and judging by the initial market reaction, recession and stagflation have become terrifying possibilities," said PVM analyst Tamas Varga.

"As tariffs are ultimately paid for by domestic consumers and businesses, their cost will inevitably increase impeding the rise in economic wealth."

In other news, US Energy Information Administration data on Wednesday showed US crude inventories rose by a surprisingly large 6.2 million barrels last week, against analysts' forecasts for a decline of 2.1 million barrels.

Market participants are also awaiting the outcome of an OPEC+ meeting on Thursday, which will discuss Kazakh output.