Saudi Energy Minister: OPEC+ to Do Whatever Necessary to Support Oil Market

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (SPA)
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (SPA)
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Saudi Energy Minister: OPEC+ to Do Whatever Necessary to Support Oil Market

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (SPA)
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (SPA)

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said OPEC+ would do whatever is necessary to support the oil market.

The Minister was speaking on the sidelines of the 8th OPEC International Seminar in Vienna on Wednesday.

On Monday, Saudi Arabia said it would extend the one million-barrel-per-day (bpd) production cut it had initially flagged for July into August, while Russia announced a 500,000-bpd decline in exports next month.

The Minister said Saudi Arabia makes voluntary cuts "because there was another, more urgent demand from the market, or another, more necessary expectation that OPEC + should act."

"If we want to be fair to everyone and if we want everyone to work together, we have to make sure that they maintain their focus on the most important topics and long-term issues. Deviating attention to another issue will lead to imbalances, which is why we chose to take this job on a provisional basis," he said.

The Minister noted that in June 2020, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Oman made a voluntary contribution for a month and voluntary reduction that began in February 2021 and lasted for three months.

"We made by gradually easing this reduction until July 2021."

"I ask you where we would have been today had it not been taken these steps at the time. I have reassured the market that there is a necessity for this position," he added.

Prince Abdulaziz explained that Russia's reduction was voluntary, pointing out that the simultaneous decrease in supply by the Kingdom and Russia shows the strong cooperation between the two nations.

"Russia's oil cut is meaningful because it affects exports," he said.

The Minister said that Saudi Arabia is no longer playing the role of a heavyweight producer, but instead, OPEC + plays this role.

He added that enhancing transparency depends on seven independent external bodies accredited to follow up on the countries' production in the oil cut agreement.

A recent report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) indicated that Russia did not comply with production cuts during May, and the Saudi Energy Minister warned that the data could disrupt the market.

In turn, UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei stressed that oil-producing countries have a more comprehensive view of the market and present a realistic outlook of the supply-demand balance.

Mazrouei explained that the periodic meetings of OPEC and OPEC+ help limit fluctuations and restore market balance and stability through cooperation and joint efforts, especially as OPEC and OPEC+ member countries account for around 40 percent of the global oil output.

"We are constantly working to monitor markets and relevant shifts to ensure taking timely and effective measures, which help boost stability across the market and drive economic development worldwide," Mazrouei added in a statement carried by WAM news agency.

He promised that the additional oil production and export cuts announced by Saudi Arabia and Russia earlier this week would help balance the market.

The total production cuts currently amount to more than 5 million bpd, or the equivalent of five percent of global oil production of about 100 million bpd.

Aramco CEO, Amin al-Nasser, pointed out that the corrective measures taken by Saudi Arabia will impact in the coming months, announcing plans to increase gas production by 50 to 60 percent by 2030.

Also at the conference, the OPEC Secretary-General, Haitham al-Ghais, said that the organization is keen on stabilizing the market, reducing the environmental footprint, and moving towards a sustainable and comprehensive energy transition.

In his welcome speech at the conference, Ghais added that "sustainability" revolves mainly around balance and meeting current generations' needs without compromising that of future generations.

He reviewed the importance of oil in global energy, the industry's primary role in reducing carbon emissions, and OPEC's efforts to achieve market stability, reduce the environmental footprint, and move towards a sustainable and comprehensive energy transition.



US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.