Finance Minister Expects 4.5% Growth in Türkiye This Year

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Finance Minister Expects 4.5% Growth in Türkiye This Year

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek has said that Ankara expects the nation's economy to grow by around 4.5% in 2023.

“In 2023, we are forecasting a growth rate of around 4.5% despite all global financial problems,” he said, stressing that “the need for establishing a rebalance in the economy is very clear.”

“We will move forward in a system that embraces the principles of free exchange, and floating exchange,” he said on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye.

The global economy is expected to reach 3% during the coming five years, he mentioned.

“Our country grew by 5.4% in real terms on average in the 2003-2022 period,” Simsek noted.

“As I said before, our main principles are transparency, consistency, predictability and complying with international norms,” he said.

"Funds started to flow into our capital markets, all these developments have eased access to foreign financing opportunities and reduced financing costs."

“The country's risk premium has decreased from 700 to around 400 basis points,” Simek said.

He remarked that international credit rating agencies have started to reveal a more optimistic outlook for the Turkish economy, adding one of the agencies raised the Turkish banking system's outlook to stable from negative.

Moody’s expects Türkiye’s economic growth to slow down, with real GDP expanding at 4.2% in 2023, down from 5.6% growth in 2022.

It expects inflation to stay high at 51% in 2023, although down from 72% recorded in 2022.

The Turkish minister also vowed to further strengthen financial stability in the upcoming period. “Simplification and tightening policies will continue,” he added.

Strong domestic demand poses risks through the current account deficit and inflation, Simsek said.

In another context, Türkiye's unemployment rate fell to 9.7% in the second quarter of this year, down to 0.3% compared to the quarter before, the country's statistical authority said Thursday.

The number of unemployed individuals decreased by 73,000 when compared to the quarter earlier, TurkStat added.

The number of those employed in the same period increased by 151,000 and reached 31.5 million, the data revealed.



Oil Prices Stable on Monday as Data Offsets Surplus Concerns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Stable on Monday as Data Offsets Surplus Concerns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices stabilized on Monday after losses last week as lower-than-expected US inflation data offset investors' concerns about a supply surplus next year.

Brent crude futures were down by 38 cents, or 0.52%, to $72.56 a barrel by 1300 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 34 cents, or 0.49%, to $69.12 per barrel.

Oil prices rose in early trading after data on Friday that showed cooling US inflation helped alleviate investors' concerns after the Federal Reserve interest rate cut last week, IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said, Reuters reported.

"I think the US Senate passing legislation to end the brief shutdown over the weekend has helped," he added.

But gains were reversed by a stronger US dollar, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo told Reuters.

"With the US dollar changing from weaker to stronger, oil prices have given up earlier gains," he said.

The dollar was hovering around two-year highs on Monday morning, after hitting that milestone on Friday.

Brent futures fell by around 2.1% last week, while WTI futures lost 2.6%, on concerns about global economic growth and oil demand after the US central bank signalled caution over further easing of monetary policy. Research from Asia's top refiner Sinopec pointing to China's oil consumption peaking in 2027 also weighed on prices.

Macquarie analysts projected a growing supply surplus for next year, which will hold Brent prices to an average of $70.50 a barrel, down from this year's average of $79.64, they said in a December report.

Concerns about European supply eased on reports the Druzhba pipeline, which sends Russian and Kazakh oil to Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Germany, has restarted after halting on Thursday due to technical problems at a Russian pumping station.

US President-elect Donald Trump on Friday urged the European Union to increase US oil and gas imports or face tariffs on the bloc's exports.

Trump also threatened to reassert US control over the Panama Canal on Sunday, accusing Panama of charging excessive rates to use the Central American passage and drawing a sharp rebuke from Panamanian President Jose Raul Mulino.