Saudi Arabia Increases Regional Movement to Mitigate Climate Change Effects

A session on the circular carbon economy towards zero emissions neutrality within the activities of the third day of the Middle East and North Africa Climate Week (MENACW).
A session on the circular carbon economy towards zero emissions neutrality within the activities of the third day of the Middle East and North Africa Climate Week (MENACW).
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Saudi Arabia Increases Regional Movement to Mitigate Climate Change Effects

A session on the circular carbon economy towards zero emissions neutrality within the activities of the third day of the Middle East and North Africa Climate Week (MENACW).
A session on the circular carbon economy towards zero emissions neutrality within the activities of the third day of the Middle East and North Africa Climate Week (MENACW).

The third day of the Middle East and North Africa Climate Week (MENACW) 2023 saw a series of discussions pertaining to climate change, amid a broad regional movement to mitigate the effects of this phenomenon on the region.

A session on the circular carbon economy towards zero emissions touched on the efforts deployed by the Kingdom since the launch of Vision 2030 to expand the scope of its work to deal with climate challenges, and its introduction of the circular carbon economy initiative, which is a comprehensive and integrated approach that relies on multiple tools for managing emissions.

Chief Engineer for the Circular Carbon Economy at the Ministry of Energy, Humam Al-Ghamdi, said: “Saudi Arabia is implementing a combination of factors and functions in the field of renewable energy, to accelerate the pace of mitigating emissions and raising the level of the future economy in order to shift to clean hydrogen.”

He stated that the Kingdom has a specialized center to monitor climate change in order to capture more than 24 million tons of carbon, stressing that Saudi Arabia was moving to lead renewable energy and clean hydrogen by 2030.

For his part, Dr. Fahd Al-Sherehy, Vice President for Energy Efficiency and Carbon Management at SABIC Saudi Arabia, explained that the Kingdom has clear plans to reduce costs and raise efficiency levels.

Chief Growth Officer at Carbon Clean, Krishna Singhania, said that modern technology can develop and reduce the cost of carbon capture, explaining that reaching zero emissions could be achieved within a period of up to 5 years.

He pointed to a gap between the costs allocated to factories and those directed to mitigating emissions, noting that reaching the desired goals required integrated and comprehensive work.

Singhania continued that the private sector plays an important role, by creating partnerships with regulatory and legislative bodies in the concerned countries.



US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
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US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending US tariff hikes.

Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters.

But the world's second-largest economy faces heightened trade tensions with the United States as President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, is set to return to the White House next week.

“Potential US tariff hikes are the biggest headwind for China's growth this year, and could affect exports, corporate capex and household consumption,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

“We (also) foresee property activity continuing to fall in 2025, though with a smaller drag on growth.”

Growth likely improved to 5.0% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, quickening from the third-quarter's 4.6% pace as a flurry of support measures began to kick in, the poll showed.

On a quarterly basis, the economy is forecast to grow 1.6% in the fourth quarter, compared with 0.9% in July-September, the poll showed.

The government is due to release fourth-quarter and full-year GDP data, along with December activity data, on Friday.

China's economy has struggled for traction since a post-pandemic rebound quickly fizzled out, with a protracted property crisis, weak demand and high local government debt levels weighing heavily on activity, souring both business and consumer confidence.

Policymakers have unveiled a blitz of stimulus measures since September, including cuts in interest rates and banks' reserve requirements ratios (RRR) and a 10 trillion yuan ($1.36 trillion) municipal debt package.

They have also expanded a trade-in scheme for consumer goods such as appliances and autos, helping to revive retail sales.

Analysts expect more stimulus to be rolled out this year, but say the scope and size of China's moves may depend on how quickly and aggressively Trump implements tariffs or other punitive measures.

More stimulus on the cards

At an agenda-setting meeting in December, Chinese leaders pledged to increase the budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to support economic growth in 2025.

Leaders have agreed to maintain an annual growth target of around 5% for this year, backed by a record high budget deficit ratio of 4% and 3 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds, Reuters has reported, citing sources.

The government is expected to unveil growth targets and stimulus plans during the annual parliament meeting in March.

Faced with mounting economic risks and deflationary pressures, top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old “prudent” monetary policy stance for a “moderately loose” posture.

China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to revive the economy, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. It has already had to repeatedly shore up its defense of the yuan currency as downward pressure pushes it to 16-month lows.

Analysts polled by Reuters expected the central bank to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate, its key policy rate, by 10 basis points in the first quarter, leading to a same cut in the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) - the benchmark lending rate.

The PBOC may also cut the weighted average reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks by at least 25 basis points in the first quarter, the poll showed, after two cuts in 2024.

Consumer inflation will likely pick up to 0.8% in 2025 from 0.2% in 2024, and rise further to 1.4% in 2026, the poll showed.