World Bank: Saudi Arabia Leads Arab World in Advancing Women's Workforce Participation

Safaa El-Kogali, the World Bank's Country Director for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Safaa El-Kogali, the World Bank's Country Director for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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World Bank: Saudi Arabia Leads Arab World in Advancing Women's Workforce Participation

Safaa El-Kogali, the World Bank's Country Director for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Safaa El-Kogali, the World Bank's Country Director for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Asharq Al-Awsat)

In a pivotal era marked by remarkable advancements in the economic involvement of women in the Gulf, specifically in Saudi Arabia, Safaa El-Kogali, the World Bank's Country Director for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, underscores the pivotal role of implementing precise policies and programs.

These measures, she contends, are crucial for fostering and sustaining the escalating participation of women in the workforce.

“Firstly, there has been a shift in economic and financial expectations from previous reports,” said El-Kogali as she addressed the novel aspects of this year’s report on women’s employment.

“Secondly, the report includes a new section on women’s participation in the workforce, highlighting a noticeable increase in female participation in the labor force in GCC countries over the past decade,” she added.

However, according to El-Kogali, no country in the GCC or the wider Middle East and North Africa region has experienced such a rapid increase in such a short period as witnessed in Saudi Arabia.

The report delves into developments in Saudi Arabia, where female participation in the workforce more than doubled between 2017 and 2023, rising from 17.4% to 36%.

“It is crucial to note that this increase encompasses various age groups and educational levels, contributing to a decline in overall unemployment rates, particularly among Saudi women,” El-Kogali explained, adding that “the majority of jobs held by Saudi women were in the private sector and spanned across all sectors.”

Attributing the rise in women’s contribution in the Gulf, especially in Saudi Arabia, to three factors, El-Kogali emphasizes that social norms surrounding women’s workforce participation were ready for change due to shifts in societal attitudes, reinforced by the government’s strong commitment and a robust communication campaign regarding women’s economic empowerment.

Moreover, major legal reforms facilitated more women joining the workforce, with new programs promoting women’s employment paving the way for increased female participation.

Another factor, according to El-Kogali, is the structural economic changes that generated a necessary demand for labor from companies willing to hire women.

She noted that the coronavirus pandemic acted as a positive catalyst for the demand for female Saudi workers, creating a fundamental driver for rapid transformation.

On her expectations for the future increase in women’s contribution to the Saudi economy, El-Kogali said: “I am convinced that the changes we have witnessed in recent years are not temporary.”

“The shift is evident across all age groups – it's not just young Saudi women who are more willing to enter the workforce, but also their mothers,” she affirmed.

Highlighting that Saudi women predominantly turn to the private sector across various industries, El-Kogali emphasizes the importance of solidifying policies and programs to sustain the trend of increasing women’s participation in the workforce.

Regarding the necessary steps to maximize Saudi economic contribution, El-Kogali stressed that Saudi Arabia has made significant strides in achieving its goals over the past two years, implementing structural reforms as a testament to the government’s commitment and determination.

“The success achieved in rapidly increasing women’s participation in the workforce is just one example of what the Kingdom is doing, laying the groundwork for its desired goals,” said El-Kogali.

“Similarly, we observe a divergence between the oil and non-oil sectors in Saudi Arabia, with the oil sector contracting by 8.4%, while the latter expands by 4.3%, showcasing robust efforts in economic diversification,” she highlighted.

The Country Director also emphasized that current economic results in Saudi Arabia reflect the fruits of ongoing exceptional efforts within the diversification agenda aligned with the Kingdom’s national plan for transformation, “Vision 2030.”

El-Kogali underscored the importance of Saudi Arabia remaining committed to the path of reforms and diversification.



US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
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US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending US tariff hikes.

Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters.

But the world's second-largest economy faces heightened trade tensions with the United States as President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, is set to return to the White House next week.

“Potential US tariff hikes are the biggest headwind for China's growth this year, and could affect exports, corporate capex and household consumption,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

“We (also) foresee property activity continuing to fall in 2025, though with a smaller drag on growth.”

Growth likely improved to 5.0% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, quickening from the third-quarter's 4.6% pace as a flurry of support measures began to kick in, the poll showed.

On a quarterly basis, the economy is forecast to grow 1.6% in the fourth quarter, compared with 0.9% in July-September, the poll showed.

The government is due to release fourth-quarter and full-year GDP data, along with December activity data, on Friday.

China's economy has struggled for traction since a post-pandemic rebound quickly fizzled out, with a protracted property crisis, weak demand and high local government debt levels weighing heavily on activity, souring both business and consumer confidence.

Policymakers have unveiled a blitz of stimulus measures since September, including cuts in interest rates and banks' reserve requirements ratios (RRR) and a 10 trillion yuan ($1.36 trillion) municipal debt package.

They have also expanded a trade-in scheme for consumer goods such as appliances and autos, helping to revive retail sales.

Analysts expect more stimulus to be rolled out this year, but say the scope and size of China's moves may depend on how quickly and aggressively Trump implements tariffs or other punitive measures.

More stimulus on the cards

At an agenda-setting meeting in December, Chinese leaders pledged to increase the budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to support economic growth in 2025.

Leaders have agreed to maintain an annual growth target of around 5% for this year, backed by a record high budget deficit ratio of 4% and 3 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds, Reuters has reported, citing sources.

The government is expected to unveil growth targets and stimulus plans during the annual parliament meeting in March.

Faced with mounting economic risks and deflationary pressures, top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old “prudent” monetary policy stance for a “moderately loose” posture.

China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to revive the economy, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. It has already had to repeatedly shore up its defense of the yuan currency as downward pressure pushes it to 16-month lows.

Analysts polled by Reuters expected the central bank to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate, its key policy rate, by 10 basis points in the first quarter, leading to a same cut in the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) - the benchmark lending rate.

The PBOC may also cut the weighted average reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks by at least 25 basis points in the first quarter, the poll showed, after two cuts in 2024.

Consumer inflation will likely pick up to 0.8% in 2025 from 0.2% in 2024, and rise further to 1.4% in 2026, the poll showed.