Oman Central Bank's Foreign Assets Decline to 6.5 Bln Rials in November

The total investments of traditional commercial banks in securities increased by 13.2 percent to reach about $12.5 billion by the end of November. (Oman News Agency).
The total investments of traditional commercial banks in securities increased by 13.2 percent to reach about $12.5 billion by the end of November. (Oman News Agency).
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Oman Central Bank's Foreign Assets Decline to 6.5 Bln Rials in November

The total investments of traditional commercial banks in securities increased by 13.2 percent to reach about $12.5 billion by the end of November. (Oman News Agency).
The total investments of traditional commercial banks in securities increased by 13.2 percent to reach about $12.5 billion by the end of November. (Oman News Agency).

The foreign assets held by the Central Bank of Oman contracted to 6.52 billion Omani riyal ($16.98 billion), marking a 4.27 percent decrease compared to year-end 2022, according to the latest data.

Concurrently, traditional bank lending in Oman witnessed a 4.45 percent year-on-year upswing in November, as reported in the monthly statistical bulletin released by the Central Bank.

The weighted average lending rate increased from 5.372 percent to 5.485 percent over the same period.

​The nominal GDP declined 3.9 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2023 over the same period of 2022. The contraction was driven by a decrease in the output of the hydrocarbon sector by 15.4 percent.

As for the real GDP, it demonstrates an increase of 2.0 percent during the same period under discussion. Similarly, this expansion was driven by 0.5 percent of the oil sector and 2.7 percent of the non-oil sector.

The average Omani oil price at the end of November 2023 at $81.6 per barrel was lower by 14.8 percent than in November 2022.

Credit to the private sector demonstrated an increase of 4.8 percent (Y-o-Y) to reach OMR 25.5 billion ($66 billion) at the end of November.

Total deposits held with ODCs registered a Y-o-Y significant growth of 9.9 percent to reach OMR 28.4 billion ($73.97 billion).

The biggest contribution in private sector deposits was from household deposits at 49.7 percent, followed by non-financial corporations at 34.1 percent.

Credit to the private sector increased by 3.3 percent to reach OMR 20.1 billion ($52 billion), while their overall investments in securities increased by 13.2 percent to around $12.5 billion at the end of November 2023.

Investment in Government Development Bonds decreased by 10.5 percent to OMR 1.9 billion ($4.5 billion).

The weighted average interest rate on OMR deposits with conventional banks increased from 1.923 percent at the end of November 2022 to 2.603 percent at the end of November 2023.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.