Alibrahim to Asharq Al-Awsat: Private Sector Driving Transformation in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
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Alibrahim to Asharq Al-Awsat: Private Sector Driving Transformation in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim has highlighted that the private sector is driving growth in the Kingdom, contributing 44.79% to the Kingdom’s economy by the end of Q3, 2023.

In an exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Alibrahim commended the private sector for achieving its highest-ever contribution to the real GDP.

He also noted that women now make up 36% of the workforce in the Kingdom, surpassing the 30% target set in Saudi Arabia’s national transformation plan, “Vision 2030.”

Alibrahim revealed significant growth in the social services sector, which includes sports and cultural activities, predicting over 10% growth in 2023.

Other sectors, such as transport, logistics, tourism, and entertainment, are also expected to see substantial growth.

The minister estimated the Saudi entertainment market to be worth $2.31 billion in 2023, projecting it to reach $3.8 billion by 2028, with an annual growth rate of 10.44%.

Regarding Saudi Arabia’s efforts to host regional headquarters for global companies, Alibrahim revealed that 275 international companies have been attracted, with over 89% choosing Riyadh as their primary location.

Advancements in Economic Diversification

Alibrahim praised Saudi Arabia’s strides in diversifying its economy, highlighting a positive 3.5% growth in non-oil economic activities during Q3 2023 compared to the same period in 2022.

The share of non-oil activities in the total nominal GDP also increased to 48%, and government activities saw a 2.3% rise compared to the previous year.

Alibrahim noted the ongoing positive performance of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-oil private sector, hitting 57.5 points in December 2023. This was backed by a continuous influx of new business and a rapid surge in exports, despite international economic challenges.

The minister explained that, according to data released with the announcement of the Saudi state budget for 2024, the initial estimates suggest a 4.4% growth in the country’s real GDP for the current year (2024).

This growth is driven by the non-oil sector, with the private sector expected to lead economic expansion. The Kingdom aims for a more favorable trade balance and remains committed to implementing initiatives aligned with Vision 2030 and regional strategies.

“The positive outlook for the Saudi economy continues the favorable trends seen since the beginning of 2021,” affirmed Alibrahim.

The Kingdom anticipates revenues of about SAR 1.17 trillion for the current year (2024), with expenses estimated at around SAR 1.25 trillion.

Private Sector’s Strong Role

Alibrahim praised 2023 as an outstanding year for the private sector in Saudi Arabia, noting its growth for the eleventh consecutive quarter since early 2021.

By the end of Q3 2023, the private sector's contribution to the Saudi economy reached a record 44.79%.

“This growth aligns with Saudi Vision 2030, aiming to increase the private sector's share of the total GDP from 40% to 65%,” said the minister.

Alibrahim also confirmed the private sector’s unprecedented contribution to the Kingdom’s real GDP, surpassing 322 billion riyals by the end of Q3 2023.

This marked its highest-ever contribution, with the GDP reaching SAR719.09 billion during the quarter.

Highlighting the private sector’s increasing role, Alibrahim mentioned the addition of over 44,000 citizens to the private workforce in the past month, bringing the total to 10.9 million workers in December 2023, including 2.3 million citizens.



Global Markets Reel from Putin's Nuclear Threats

A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
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Global Markets Reel from Putin's Nuclear Threats

A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS

President Vladimir Putin’s remarks on Tuesday about revising Russia’s nuclear doctrine triggered immediate reactions in global financial markets, as investors rushed to safe haven assets.

Putin issued a warning to the US lowering the threshold for a nuclear strike after the administration of Joe Biden reportedly allowed Ukraine to fire American-made long-range missiles deep into Russia.

The Russian President’s warnings sent markets to extreme volatility.

In this context, global stocks sharply fell while gold prices and the Japanese yen climbed amid rising geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Tuesday, “The Russian Federation reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in the event of aggression against it or the Republic of Belarus, ... with the use of conventional weapons, in a way that poses a critical threat to their sovereignty and (or) territorial integrity.”

The spokesperson further said that Russia would view the use of Western non-nuclear missiles by Ukraine as an attack by a non-nuclear state with the support of a nuclear state against the country, potentially justifying the use of nuclear weapons by Moscow, according to NBC news.

Rise of safe-haven assets

Global stocks briefly fell and investors fled to safe-haven assets on Tuesday, as global markets reacted to escalating tensions between the world's two largest nuclear powers: Russia and the US.

Investors rushed to safe-haven assets including gold and the Japanese yen.

Wall Street’s fear index, the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s CBOE Volatility Index, jumped to 17,88, its highest level since the November 5 US elections. It then fell to 16.61.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 327 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost 0.5% each. Treasurys increased as investors moved into the safe haven, driving yields lower.

Europe's main stock index touched its lowest level in three months on Tuesday, spurring investors to head to safer havens.

The pan-European STOXX 600 closed 0.9% lower, after logging a third straight day of losses.

Metals and currencies under pressure

Meanwhile, base metals prices came under pressure on Tuesday as some investors chose safe-haven assets due to signs of escalating tensions between Russia and the United States over Ukraine.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell 0.3% to $9,042 per metric ton in official open-outcry trading. Spot gold prices rose by about 1%.

Meanwhile, LME aluminium prices were stable at $2,607 in official activity as the market digested China's plan to remove a tax refund on exports of some aluminium products.

Lead lost 0.4% to $1,983 due to the second day of a significant inflow of the metal to the LME-registered warehouses in Singapore.

Zinc fell 0.1% to $2,947.5, tin eased 0.4% to $28,900 and nickel rose 1.2% to $15,915.

In currency markets, the Japanese yen rose 0.7% and 0.36% against the euro and US dollar respectively.

“Typical risk-off move in forex following the headline,” said Athanasios Vamvakidis, global head of forex strategy at Bofa, referring to the reaction to the Kremlin statement.

“The market has been complacent on geopolitical risks, focusing on other themes,” he added. “Positioning has been a long risk, getting even more stretched after the US elections.”

In return, crude oil futures were down slightly. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate, scheduled for delivery in December, fell 0.53% to $68.79.

Meanwhile, the price of a barrel of Brent, scheduled for delivery in January, fell 0.38% to $73.02.