Türkiye’s Inflation Sees Biggest Monthly Jump Since August, Nears 65% YoY

Consumer price inflation in Türkiye recorded its largest monthly jump since last August, with a rise of 6.7 percent in December. (Reuters)
Consumer price inflation in Türkiye recorded its largest monthly jump since last August, with a rise of 6.7 percent in December. (Reuters)
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Türkiye’s Inflation Sees Biggest Monthly Jump Since August, Nears 65% YoY

Consumer price inflation in Türkiye recorded its largest monthly jump since last August, with a rise of 6.7 percent in December. (Reuters)
Consumer price inflation in Türkiye recorded its largest monthly jump since last August, with a rise of 6.7 percent in December. (Reuters)

In January, Turkish inflation logged its biggest monthly jump since August, with a 6.7% rise from December, while year-on-year inflation hit nearly 65%, according to the Turkish central bank’s figures released Monday.
The data came after the surprise resignation late on Friday of Hafize Gaye Erkan as central bank governor. She had aggressively hiked interest rates to 45% from 8.5% since June to cool inflation.
Erkan's successor, Fatih Karahan, has pledged to maintain the tight policy.
The monthly rise in the CPI was above the 6.5% forecast in a Reuters poll. The poll predicted an annual CPI of 64.5% last month, and the measure is expected to continue rising until midyear before dipping after May.
Sectors with the largest monthly price rises were the health sector at 17.7%, hotels, cafes, and restaurants at 12%, and miscellaneous goods and services at just more than 10%. Clothing and footwear was the only sector showing a monthly price decrease, with -1.61%.
The central bank said last month that after 3,650 basis points of hiking since June, it had reached a sufficient level to ensure disinflation.
Separate data from the statistical office showed Monday that producer price inflation was 44.2% in January. Month-over-month, the index moved up 4.14%



Saudi Business and Job Growth Hit 14-Year High

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (AFP)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (AFP)
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Saudi Business and Job Growth Hit 14-Year High

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (AFP)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (AFP)

Business conditions in Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector improved notably in June, driven by a marked rise in customer demand and expanded production, according to the latest Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data.

New business volumes surged, fueling the fastest pace of employment growth since May 2011. This strong demand for workers pushed wage costs to record highs, adding pressure on overall expenses and contributing to a fresh increase in output prices.

The headline PMI climbed to 57.2 in June from 55.8 in May - its highest level in three months and slightly above the long-term average of 56.9. The reading signaled a robust improvement in the health of the non-oil private sector economy.

Companies reported another rise in new orders last month, with growth accelerating following a recent low in April. Many firms cited gaining new clients, alongside improved marketing efforts and stronger demand conditions. Domestic sales were the main driver of the increase, while export sales edged up slightly.

Purchasing Activity Expands

Production continued to expand through the end of Q2, although growth slowed to a 10-month low. Purchasing activity picked up sharply as companies sought to secure additional inputs to meet rising demand, with the pace of purchase growth reaching its fastest in two years.

Employment growth accelerated as businesses rapidly expanded their workforce to keep pace with incoming orders, pushing hiring to the highest level since mid-2011. This strong recruitment trend, which began early in 2025, was largely driven by a rising need for skilled workers, prompting companies to increase salary offers. Consequently, overall wage costs rose at the fastest rate since the PMI survey started in 2009.

Facing mounting cost pressures from higher raw material prices, firms raised their selling prices sharply in June , the biggest increase since late 2023, reversing declines recorded in two of the previous three months. This price hike largely reflected the passing of higher operating costs onto customers, although some companies opted for competitive pricing strategies by cutting prices.

Resilient Economic Outlook

Looking ahead, non-oil private sector firms remained confident about business activity over the next 12 months. Optimism hit a two-year high, supported by resilient domestic economic conditions, strong demand, and improved sales. Supply-side conditions also showed positive momentum, with another strong improvement in supplier performance.

Dr. Naif Alghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, said: “Future expectations among non-oil companies remain very positive. Business confidence reached its highest level in two years, underpinned by strong order inflows and improving local economic conditions.”

He added: “However, cost pressures became more pronounced in June, with wage growth hitting record levels as companies compete to retain talent. Purchasing prices also rose at the fastest pace since February, partly driven by increased demand and geopolitical risks. Despite these challenges, companies broadly raised selling prices to recover from May’s declines, reflecting an improved ability to pass higher costs onto customers.”