Foreign Investment in China Drops by 20%

Elderly people rest and chat at a park in Beijing, China January 16, 2024. (Reuters)
Elderly people rest and chat at a park in Beijing, China January 16, 2024. (Reuters)
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Foreign Investment in China Drops by 20%

Elderly people rest and chat at a park in Beijing, China January 16, 2024. (Reuters)
Elderly people rest and chat at a park in Beijing, China January 16, 2024. (Reuters)

China will make greater efforts to diffuse debt risks of financing platforms, said Chinese premier Li Qiang in a meeting focusing on mitigating risks of local government debt on Friday.

China will resolutely block the path for irregular and disguised debts and strictly prevent the risk of newly-added debts, said Li.

The Commerce ministry said on Friday that foreign investment into China fell 19.9% in the first two months of 2024 from the amount in January-February last year to 215 billion yuan ($30 billion).

China on Tuesday unveiled new steps to arrest a slowdown in foreign investment, including expanding market access and relaxing some rules.

Overseas firms have turned sour on China since it enacted ultra-strict COVID curbs during the pandemic then suddenly abandoned them in late 2022, with concerns over the business environment, a shaky economic recovery and rising geopolitical tensions with the West weighing on confidence.

A series of prolonged regulatory crackdowns on sectors from technology to education have also rattled domestic and foreign investors, adding to unease over policy transparency in China.

US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said last year that American businesses had told her that China was becoming “uninvestible.”

In 2023, foreign direct investment into China shank 8% year-on-year.

Of the foreign investment in the first two months, 71.44 billion yuan, or a third of the total, went into China's high-tech industries, including high-tech manufacturing, the ministry said.

Foreign investment in China's construction sector rose 43.6% year-on-year, while investment in wholesale and retail industries grew 14.5%, it added.

In return, China’s central government accelerated spending at the start of the year, a sign it’s taking on more financing responsibility to support the economy and to avoid worsening local government debt risks, Bloomberg reported.

Its general public expenditure jumped 14% from a year earlier to 482.8 billion yuan ($66.8 billion) in January and February combined, the fastest pace for the period in five years, according to data provided by the Ministry of Finance.

Bloomberg said Beijing is gradually shifting the responsibility for supporting economic growth to central government from local officials — a way to maintain the level of investment while defusing local debt risks.

Local governments have been struggling after a property crisis reduced a critical source of income from land sales, and a slowing economy weighed on tax revenues.

The latest data shows Beijing intends to “underpin growth while preventing risks,” said Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.

Central and local authorities spent almost 700 billion yuan in the first two months on agriculture, forest and irrigation-related issues, as well as urban and rural community development. This is up 22% from a year earlier.

In a separate development, China's securities regulator launched onsite inspections of some mutual fund companies as part of efforts to strengthen management of the industry, unnerving fund managers.

The securities watchdog, under newly appointed Chairman Wu Qing, vowed a week ago to set up a “textbook-style” supervision model to regulate China's $3.8 trillion mutual fund industry, according to Reuters.

The latest round of inspections, conducted without notice by branches of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), covered daily operations, training, and strengthening internal Chinese Communist Party functions, the 21st Century Business Herald reported on Friday. It did not name the asset managers inspected.

In response to a Reuters query, CSRC said: “It's regular on-site inspection that we conduct every year.”

The CSRC branches inspected fund companies based outside their regions, which the article said can prevent local interference. Regulators have recently cracked down on computer-driven “quant” private funds.



Trump Set to Lead Largest-Ever US Delegation to World Economic Forum in Davos Next Week

This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
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Trump Set to Lead Largest-Ever US Delegation to World Economic Forum in Davos Next Week

This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)

US President Donald Trump will return to the World Economic Forum's annual meeting of business, political and cultural elites in Davos, Switzerland next week, leading a record-large US delegation, organizers said Tuesday.

The Geneva-based think tank says Trump, whose assertive foreign policy on issues as diverse as Venezuela and Greenland in recent months has stirred concerns among US friends and foes alike, will be accompanied by five Cabinet secretaries and other top officials for the event running from Monday through Jan. 23.

A total of 850 CEOs and chairs of the world's top companies will be among the 3,000 participants from 130 countries expected in the Alpine resort this year, the forum says.

Forum President Borge Brende says six of seven G7 leaders — including Trump — will attend, as well as presidents Volodymyr Zelenskky of Ukraine, Ahmed al-Sharaa of Syria and others. A total of 64 heads of state or government are expected so far — also a record — though that number could increase before the start of the event, he said.

China's delegation will be headed by Vice Premier He Lifeng, Beijing's top trade official, Brende said.

The forum, which held its first annual meeting in 1971, has long been a hub of dialogue, debate and deal-making. Trump has already attended twice while president and was beamed in by video last year just days after being inaugurated for his second term.

Critics call it a venue for the world’s elites to hobnob and do business that sometimes comes at the expense of workers, the impoverished or people on the margins of society. The forum counters that its stated goal is “improving the state of the world” and insists many advocacy groups, academics and cultural leaders have an important role too.


World Bank: Global Economy Shows Resilience Amid Historic Trade, Policy Uncertainty

A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
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World Bank: Global Economy Shows Resilience Amid Historic Trade, Policy Uncertainty

A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)

The global economy is proving more resilient than anticipated despite persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report. Global growth is projected to remain broadly steady over the next two years, easing to 2.6% in 2026 before rising to 2.7% in 2027, an upward revision from the June forecast.

The resilience reflects better-than-expected growth, especially in the United States, which accounts for about two-thirds of the upward revision to the forecast in 2026. Even so, if these forecasts hold, the 2020s are on track to be the weakest decade for global growth since the 1960s. The sluggish pace is widening the gap in living standards across the world, the report finds: at the end of 2025, nearly all advanced economies enjoyed per capita incomes exceeding their 2019 levels, but about one in four developing economies had lower per capita incomes.

In 2025, growth was supported by a surge in trade ahead of policy changes and swift readjustments in global supply chains. These boosts are expected to fade in 2026 as trade and domestic demand soften. However, the easing global financial conditions and fiscal expansion in several large economies should help cushion the slowdown, according to the report. Global inflation is projected to edge down to 2.6% in 2026, reflecting softer labor markets and lower energy prices. Growth is expected to pick up in 2027 as trade flows adjust and policy uncertainty diminishes.

“With each passing year, the global economy has become less capable of generating growth and seemingly more resilient to policy uncertainty,” said Indermit Gill, the World Bank Group’s Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Development Economics. “But economic dynamism and resilience cannot diverge for long without fracturing public finance and credit markets.”

“Over the coming years, the world economy is set to grow slower than it did in the troubled 1990s, while carrying record levels of public and private debt. To avert stagnation and joblessness, governments in emerging and advanced economies must aggressively liberalize private investment and trade, rein in public consumption, and invest in new technologies and education.”

In 2026, growth in developing economies is expected to slow to 4% from 4.2% in 2025 before edging up to 4.1% in 2027 as trade tensions ease, commodity prices stabilize, financial conditions improve, and investment flows strengthen. Growth is projected to be higher in low-income countries, reaching an average of 5.6% over 2026-27, buoyed by firming domestic demand, recovering exports, and moderating inflation. However, this will not be sufficient to narrow the income gap between developing and advanced economies.

Per capita income growth in developing economies is projected to be 3% in 2026 - about a percentage point below its 2000-2019 average. At this pace, per capita income in developing economies is expected to be only 12% of the level in advanced economies.

These trends could intensify the job-creation challenge confronting developing economies, where 1.2 billion young people will reach working age over the next decade. Overcoming the jobs challenge will require a comprehensive policy effort centered on three pillars.

The first is strengthening physical, digital, and human capital to raise productivity and employability. The second is improving the business environment by enhancing policy credibility and regulatory certainty so firms can expand. The third is mobilizing private capital at scale to support investment. Together, these measures can help shift job creation toward more productive and formal employment, supporting income growth and poverty alleviation.

In addition, developing economies need to bolster their fiscal sustainability, which has been eroded in recent years by overlapping shocks, growing development needs, and rising debt-servicing costs. A special-focus chapter of the report provides a comprehensive analysis of the use of fiscal rules by developing economies, which set clear limits on government borrowing and spending to help manage public finances. These rules are generally linked to stronger growth, higher private investment, more stable financial sectors, and a greater capacity to cope with external shocks.

“With public debt in emerging and developing economies at its highest level in more than half a century, restoring fiscal credibility has become an urgent priority,” said M. Ayhan Kose, the World Bank Group’s Deputy Chief Economist and Director of the Prospects Group.

“Well-designed fiscal rules can help governments stabilize debt, rebuild policy buffers, and respond more effectively to shocks. But rules alone are not enough: credibility, enforcement, and political commitment ultimately determine whether fiscal rules deliver stability and growth.”

More than half of developing economies now have at least one fiscal rule in place. These can include limits on fiscal deficits, public debt, government expenditures, or revenue collection. Developing economies that adopt fiscal rules typically see their budget balance improve by 1.4 percentage points of GDP after five years, once interest payments and the ups and downs of the business cycle are accounted for.

Use of fiscal rules also increases by 9 percentage points the likelihood of a multi-year improvement in budget balances. However, the medium- and long-term benefits of fiscal rules depend heavily on the strength of institutions, the economic context in which the rules are introduced, and how the rules are designed, the report finds.


Saudi Industry Minister Discusses Automotive Manufacturing Cooperation with China's BYD

The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
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Saudi Industry Minister Discusses Automotive Manufacturing Cooperation with China's BYD

The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef held talks in Riyadh on Tuesday with Chinese company BYD Founder and Chairman Wang Chuanfu to discuss cooperation in automotive manufacturing and the transfer of advanced vehicle technologies to the Kingdom.

They explored ways to strengthen industrial cooperation and expand promising investment opportunities to localize the automotive industry in the Kingdom, with particular focus on electric vehicle manufacturing to meet growing domestic demand and reinforce Saudi Arabia’s position as a leading regional and global hub for automotive production.

Discussions tackled the incentives and enablers offered to investors in high-value industries, including the automotive sector, as well as the Kingdom’s significant investments in electric vehicle charging infrastructure.

The meeting highlighted the objectives of the comprehensive strategy for the mining and mineral industries, which emphasizes support for the electric vehicle ecosystem and the development of local supply chains for battery manufacturing and advanced materials.

These efforts help in localizing the automotive industry and advancing the goals of Saudi Vision 2030 to diversify the national economy.