Euro Reaches Five-Month Low

Common currency dropped nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaching the previous low of the year set in February  - Reuters
Common currency dropped nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaching the previous low of the year set in February - Reuters
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Euro Reaches Five-Month Low

Common currency dropped nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaching the previous low of the year set in February  - Reuters
Common currency dropped nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaching the previous low of the year set in February - Reuters

The euro fell to its lowest level this year as the European Central Bank looks set to cut interest rates before the Federal Reserve, fueling market discussion of just how much further it could fall.

The common currency dropped nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaching the previous low of the year set in February and reaching the weakest in five months. It’s headed for a 2% weekly decline, which would be the worst since late 2022, according to Bloomberg.

The selloff, which follows the ECB’s clearest signal yet rate cuts are looming, is fueling talk among strategists that the euro can fall further to $1.05 by mid-year and even reach parity if the Fed stays on hold this year.

Banks including Bank of America Corp. ING Bank NV and Germany’s LBBW have already warned on the risk.

Adding to pressure on Friday were reports that Israel is bracing for a possible attack from Iran, which boosted demand for the safe-haven dollar.



Gold Subdued as US Dollar, Yields Firm; Traders Await Inflation Data

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Subdued as US Dollar, Yields Firm; Traders Await Inflation Data

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as the US dollar and Treasury yields held firm ahead of key inflation data, which could offer more clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.
Spot gold eased 0.2% to $2,354.76 per ounce by 0711 GMT. Prices had hit an all-time high of $2,449.89 on May 20, said Reuters.
US gold futures fell 0.1% to $2,355.10.
The dollar held steady against its rivals, making gold less attractive for other currency holders, while benchmark US 10-year bond yields rose to multi-week peaks.
"Investors will try to book profit and prices are trading near $2,350. So, prices have not corrected but it's a kind of a healthy consolidation after a very sharp rally last Monday," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari.
"Investors will try to position themselves in gold because overall long-term fundamentals are looking pretty strong for gold at the moment."
The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data, the Fed's preferred measure for inflation, is due on Friday.
"A softer US core PCE release would make the job easier for gold to reclaim the $2,400 level, given the possible rate-cut timing implications," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade in a note.
Traders currently pricing in about a 59% chance of a rate cut by November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
While gold is used as a hedge against inflation, rate hikes raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
Spot silver rose 0.3% to $32.19, platinum was down 0.4% to $1,058.95 and palladium was unchanged at $973.02.
Meanwhile, BHP Group said it needed more time to engage with Anglo American, a week after the London-listed miner rejected BHP's 38.6 billion pounds ($49.20 billion) offer ahead of a final bid deadline later in the day.
The International Monetary Fund upgraded China's GDP growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 after a "strong" first quarter. China is a key consumer of bullion and other industrial metals.