Saudi Arabia Registers Highest PMI Performance among G20 in December

Riyadh’s Financial Center (SPA)
Riyadh’s Financial Center (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Registers Highest PMI Performance among G20 in December

Riyadh’s Financial Center (SPA)
Riyadh’s Financial Center (SPA)

A recent report revealed that Saudi Arabia ranked first among the G20 countries as it had the highest performance in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in December.
This was supported by the positive performance of the non-oil private sector and strong domestic demand, while the performance of most of the G20 countries declined during the same period as a result of weak global demand, high financing costs and excess inventory in some sectors, as well as the impact of monetary tightening policy.
According to a report issued by the Saudi Ministry of Economy and Planning for the fourth quarter of 2023, on Sunday, the positive economic performance in this period was reflected in the purchasing managers’ indices and the labor market.
The report confirmed that the proactive measures taken by the government limited the rise in prices last year, as the average consumer price index in the Kingdom recorded an increase of 2.3 percent from 2022.
The labor market witnessed a noticeable improvement, with a decline in unemployment rates among Saudis in the last quarter of 2023 to 7.7 percent, from 8 percent in the previous year.
The ministry pointed to the impact of the growth of the total labor market size and the demand for labor, successful nationalization policies, the empowerment of women, and the state’s continued implementation of major projects.
The report also showed a surge in corporate activity during the month of December, with the continued growth witnessed in purchases in recent months, especially in industrial products.
With the implementation of financial policies aimed at achieving Vision 2030, the state’s public revenues increased by 12 percent on an annual basis, reaching SAR 358 billion ($95.4 billion) in the fourth quarter of 2023, while the state’s public expenditures rose by 8.6 percent in the same period, reaching SAR 395 billion. Thus, the general budget recorded a financial deficit of SAR 37 billion.
The report stated that chemical industry products ranked first in non-oil exports during the fourth quarter of 2023, with a value of SAR 22.2 billion ($5.9 billion), representing 31.2 percent of total non-oil exports, despite their decline of 18.3 percent on an annual basis.
It added that according to the state’s general budget statement for 2023, total revenues reached SAR 1.212 trillion, and expenses SAR 1.293 trillion, with a deficit of SAR 80.9 billion.
According to the report, the deficit in the non-oil trade balance widened by 24.8 percent to reach SAR 93.2 billion, due to a decrease in non-oil exports by 1.2 percent to SAR 71.1 billion.

 

 



Gulf Stocks Rise on Hopes for Renewed US-Iran Diplomacy

An investor looks up at screens displaying stock information at the Dubai Financial Market, June 17, 2013. REUTERS/Jumana El Heloueh/File Photo
An investor looks up at screens displaying stock information at the Dubai Financial Market, June 17, 2013. REUTERS/Jumana El Heloueh/File Photo
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Gulf Stocks Rise on Hopes for Renewed US-Iran Diplomacy

An investor looks up at screens displaying stock information at the Dubai Financial Market, June 17, 2013. REUTERS/Jumana El Heloueh/File Photo
An investor looks up at screens displaying stock information at the Dubai Financial Market, June 17, 2013. REUTERS/Jumana El Heloueh/File Photo

Gulf stock markets rose in early trade on Thursday, buoyed by hopes that diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran could resume after the two sides exchanged recriminations this week.

Qatar's prime minister is due to visit Tehran on Thursday in an effort to revive diplomacy after Washington pledged to increase economic pressure on Iran by targeting its trading partners with sanctions.

Meanwhile, Iran and Oman are finalizing details ‌of an agreement ‌on control of the Strait ‌of ⁠Hormuz, a senior ⁠Iranian source said on Wednesday. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said the two countries had agreed on how to share management of the strategic waterway, which links major Gulf oil producers to global markets.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index edged up 0.1%, with most stocks in positive territory. National Industrialization Company climbed 3.6%, while oil giant Saudi Aramco gained 0.5%.

Saudi Aramco has offered additional crude for September loading outside the Strait of Hormuz, four sources familiar with the matter said on Wednesday, after the producer sold at least 4 million barrels to China this month.

Dubai's main index rose 0.4%, with most constituents advancing. Etihad Energy gained 2.9%, while ⁠Emirates Central Cooling Systems added 1.3%.

Abu ‌Dhabi's benchmark climbed 0.3%, ‌supported by a 1.3% increase in conglomerate Alpha Dhabi ‌Holding and a 1.2% rise in First Abu Dhabi ‌Bank , the United Arab Emirates' largest lender.

Qatar's index gained 0.5%, led by communication and energy shares. Telecoms operator Ooredoo advanced 1.9% and Qatar Gas Transport rose 1%.
QatarEnergy ‌has issued a spot tender to sell light and full-range naphtha cargoes on a ⁠free-on-board ⁠basis from Ras Laffan port, located inside the Strait of Hormuz, traders said. A document reviewed by Reuters on Wednesday confirmed the tender.


Oil Extends Losses on Hopes Middle East Talks Could Ease Supply Woes

A worker rests next to an oil pump on a sunny day in Baku, Azerbaijan, June 16 , 2015. (Reuters)
A worker rests next to an oil pump on a sunny day in Baku, Azerbaijan, June 16 , 2015. (Reuters)
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Oil Extends Losses on Hopes Middle East Talks Could Ease Supply Woes

A worker rests next to an oil pump on a sunny day in Baku, Azerbaijan, June 16 , 2015. (Reuters)
A worker rests next to an oil pump on a sunny day in Baku, Azerbaijan, June 16 , 2015. (Reuters)

Oil prices fell more than $1 on Thursday, extending a streak of losses, on expectations that talks between Iran and Qatar might open the Strait of Hormuz and reduce supply disruptions from the Middle East war.

Brent crude futures were down $1.36, or 1.55%, to $86.48 a barrel at 0800 GMT, in line for a fourth day of declines. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $1.40, or 1.7%, to $80.83, in line for a fifth ‌day of ‌losses, Reuters reported.

"Oil has weakened again today as the market prices ‌in ⁠rising expectations that a ⁠deal could materialize which would increase shipping numbers through the Strait of Hormuz," KCM chief market analyst Tim Waterer said.

"If Hormuz were to reopen more fully, a further leg lower in crude is possible, but the market is unlikely to price a complete return to pre-conflict levels overnight."

Qatar's prime minister will head to Iran on Thursday to relaunch diplomatic talks to end the conflict, which is nearly six ⁠months old.

The visit comes as the war nears its ‌sixth month with fighting largely paused but ‌no diplomatic breakthrough in sight. Both sides are at odds over control of the Strait ‌of Hormuz, a chokepoint for global oil supplies that Tehran has used ‌as leverage.

The strait, which handled about one-fifth of global daily oil and liquefied natural gas supplies before the conflict began in late February, has been at the center of concerns over global energy supplies because of its critical role as a transit route for exports ‌from major Gulf producers. Shipping traffic at the strait rose slightly on Wednesday despite the standoff, data showed.

A senior Iranian ⁠source on Wednesday ⁠said Iran and Oman were working on finalizing details of an agreement to control the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran's Revolutionary Guards said the two countries had agreed how to share the waterway.

The US has halted its attacks on Iran for about a month and is seeking to impose greater economic pressure on Iran, which has raised investors' expectations for an easing of the Gulf supply disruptions.

"At the heart of the dispute remains Iran's nuclear program and that is unlikely to be resolved quickly ... Iran also understands the importance of its geographical position and the leverage that the Strait of Hormuz provides, so the risk of prolonged uncertainty remains," said Priyanka Sachdeva, head of market insights at Phillip Nova.


Gold Drifts Higher, Eyes on Fed Chair Warsh's Comments

AFP_A worker displays a one kilogram gold bullion bar at the ABC Refinery in Sydney
AFP_A worker displays a one kilogram gold bullion bar at the ABC Refinery in Sydney
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Gold Drifts Higher, Eyes on Fed Chair Warsh's Comments

AFP_A worker displays a one kilogram gold bullion bar at the ABC Refinery in Sydney
AFP_A worker displays a one kilogram gold bullion bar at the ABC Refinery in Sydney

Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday as so-called dollar debasement fears lingered, while attention shifted to highly anticipated remarks from US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh this week.

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $4,611.16 per ounce by 0630 GMT. US gold futures rose 0.3% to $4,664.50, Reuters reported.

The dollar-debasement narrative, coupled with concerns about the US budget deficit, remains supportive of gold in the medium term, said Kelvin Wong, a ‌senior market ‌analyst at OANDA.

Gold prices rose over 5% ‌last ⁠week after the ⁠US Treasury's move to expand buybacks of older long-dated bonds, which renewed dollar-debasement fears.

Warsh's remarks at the annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming on Friday are expected to be closely watched for further direction.

"The market is awaiting the speech for greater clarity on how the Fed will navigate the current economic landscape. ⁠If he does not provide specific forward-looking monetary ‌policy guidance, current market pricing for ‌rate hikes is likely to remain largely unchanged," Wong said.

Markets see ‌a 36.1% probability of a September US rate hike and ‌a 72.1% chance by December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Data on Wednesday showed that annual US inflation held steady in July, well above the Fed's 2% target, and the unexpected pause in the ‌decline from a recent Iran war-induced peak is likely to intensify the central bank's debate ⁠over whether rates ⁠should be lifted or held steady. On the geopolitical front, Qatar's prime minister will visit Tehran to relaunch diplomacy after the US and Iran traded recriminations over Washington's promise to increase economic pressure on Tehran.

Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic risks, but higher interest rates can diminish its appeal as it pays no interest.

"The $4,700 area remains an important short-term barrier. Gold may need to consolidate within the $4,500–$4,700 range before developing fresh momentum," said Linh Tran, market analyst at XS.com.

Spot silver gained 1% to $68.77, platinum rose 0.5% to $1,837.48 and palladium firmed 0.1% to $1,329.81.