Gold Hits Two-week High on Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Hits Two-week High on Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices touched a two-week high on Thursday, as softer US economic data increased the likelihood of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year.
Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,337.87 per ounce as of 0802 GMT, after hitting its highest since June 7 earlier in the session. US gold futures rose 0.2% to $2,351.30, Reuters said.
"I am still favoring moves to the upside for the gold market in light of where we currently stand on the interest rate curve, which is at the peak," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
"The gold market seems content to consolidate recent gains rather than reach higher at this stage, at least until we see some further evidence of softening US macro data, which could alter the interest rate outlook."
Last week's data showed a moderation in the labor market and price pressures, followed up with soft retail sales data on Tuesday, suggesting that economic activity remained lackluster in the second quarter.
The Fed is looking for further confirmation that inflation is cooling as they steer cautiously toward what most expect to be a rate cut or two by the end of this year.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
"Mixed comments from Fed officials could inject volatility in the short term. We hold a positive view for gold with a price target of $2,500 per ounce by the end of 2024," ANZ analysts said in a note.
The market's immediate focus is on the US weekly jobless claims data due at 1230 GMT as well as flash purchasing managers' indexes on Friday.
Spot silver rose 1.7% to $30.25 per ounce, platinum was up 0.7% at $986.65 and palladium gained 1.3% to $916.75.



Gold Prices Climb on Safe-Haven Demand; US Payrolls Data in Focus

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
TT

Gold Prices Climb on Safe-Haven Demand; US Payrolls Data in Focus

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices climbed on Friday, supported by safe-haven demand arising from the Middle East conflict, while spotlight shifted towards US payrolls report to gauge the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,662.50 per ounce, as of 0325 GMT, after climbing to an all-time high of $2,685.42 on Sept. 26. Bullion has gained 0.2 for the week.
US gold futures edged 0.1% higher to $2,682.10.
The dollar eased 0.1%, pulling back from over a one-month high, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders, reported Reuters.
Geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning Israel and Iran, are supporting gold prices and unless these risks subside, prices are likely to remain near record levels, said Ajay Kedia, director at Kedia Commodities, Mumbai.
The US is discussing strikes on Iran's oil facilities as retaliation for Tehran's missile attack on Israel, President Joe Biden said, while Israel's military hit Beirut with new air strikes in its battle against Lebanese armed group Hezbollah.
Bullion is considered a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty, and thrives in a low-rate environment.
The US nonfarm payroll data is due at 1230 GMT. New York Fed President John Williams and Chicago Fed President Austan are also scheduled to speak later in the day.
If the NFP report comes in strong, it will be positive for the dollar and then gold prices will see some profit-booking, Kedia added.
Traders see a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November, according to CME FedWatch Tool.
BMI said in a note it expects gold prices to trade within the range of $2,500 to $2,800 in the coming months.
Spot silver rose 0.4% to $32.17 per ounce and has gained about 1.8% so far this week.
Platinum climbed 1.1% to $1,001.79 and palladium advanced 1.4% to $1,013.46.