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Argentina to Sell Dollars on Parallel Market as Part of Anti-inflation Drive

Argentina's President Javier Milei attends an event commemorating the 208th anniversary of the country's independence from Spain in 1816, in Buenos Aires, Argentina July 9, 2024. REUTERS/Matias Baglietto
Argentina's President Javier Milei attends an event commemorating the 208th anniversary of the country's independence from Spain in 1816, in Buenos Aires, Argentina July 9, 2024. REUTERS/Matias Baglietto
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Argentina to Sell Dollars on Parallel Market as Part of Anti-inflation Drive

Argentina's President Javier Milei attends an event commemorating the 208th anniversary of the country's independence from Spain in 1816, in Buenos Aires, Argentina July 9, 2024. REUTERS/Matias Baglietto
Argentina's President Javier Milei attends an event commemorating the 208th anniversary of the country's independence from Spain in 1816, in Buenos Aires, Argentina July 9, 2024. REUTERS/Matias Baglietto

Argentina's central bank will start selling US dollars in the country's parallel foreign exchange markets in an effort to combat inflation and freeze the country's money supply, the government said.
Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced the new strategy on messaging platform X on Saturday, saying it would "contribute to deepening the disinflation process."
Starting Monday, when Argentina's central bank issues pesos to buy US dollars on the formal exchange market, the bank will effectively balance Argentina's monetary base by selling an equivalent amount of dollars on the parallel "CCL" exchange market, Reuters quoted Caputo as saying.
"There are no more pesos printed in Argentina by any means. It is a historic novelty," Caputo later said in a radio interview. "We were beating inflation by (a few) points and this is the 'knock out' blow," the minister added.
The announcement comes after official data published on Friday showed a five-month streak of slowing inflation ended in June when monthly inflation came in higher than in May.
The strategy outlined by the government of President Javier Milei aims to stabilize the money supply, bring down inflation and help close the widening gap between Argentina's official and parallel exchange rates traded in financial markets.
The South American country's peso has been sliding since the beginning of the year in parallel markets, which for years has diverged sharply from the official rate due to strict currency controls.
At Friday's close, the official exchange rate traded at 919.5 pesos per dollar, while the so-called "CCL" rate traded at 1,416.2 pesos per dollar. Meanwhile, the widely-used black market "blue" rate weakened to a historic low of 1,500 pesos per dollar on Friday.
Milei celebrated Saturday's announcement from the sidelines of the Sun Valley Conference, investment bank Allen & Co's annual invitation-only gathering in Sun Valley, Idaho, where the president and Caputo are courting investors.
"The monetary base in Argentina is no longer increasing, and this is tremendously powerful news," Milei said during a phone interview with Argentine news channel LN+, adding that the plan would "accelerate the deflation process in the economy."
Since Milei took power late last year, inflation has slowed dramatically in Argentina, decelerating from 25.5% in December to 4.2% in May. June's figure was 4.6%.

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Urgent Financial Tasks Await Lebanon’s Emerging Government

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stands between Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati (dpa)
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stands between Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati (dpa)
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Urgent Financial Tasks Await Lebanon’s Emerging Government

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stands between Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati (dpa)
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stands between Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati (dpa)

A broad internal consensus, encompassing both political and economic dimensions, is taking shape to adopt the principles outlined in the presidential inauguration address as the foundation of the new government’s program and ministerial statement. This approach aims to sustain Lebanon’s immediate and strong positive momentum, which is reinforced by widespread support on both Arab and international levels.

Economic bodies and professional unions representing business sectors have openly expressed their relief and full support for the strategic directions set by President Joseph Aoun following his election. However, they have made it clear that maintaining this positive momentum depends on the formation of a reform-oriented rescue government, composed of competent, experienced, and honest ministers. This government must also collaborate constructively with the president.

According to a senior financial official, the rescue mission will be challenging due to years of governmental inaction and constitutional voids, which led to a deterioration in public sector operations and the accumulation of economic, financial, and monetary crises over the past five years. These challenges were further compounded by a devastating war, which inflicted severe human and financial losses estimated at approximately $10 billion, thereby worsening the country’s financial gap, now estimated at $72 billion.

Economic and banking circles are looking to the new government to swiftly capitalize on extensive international support by restoring trust and reestablishing financial channels between Lebanon and its regional and international partners. Key to this effort are explicit and transparent commitments to combating illegal economic activities, corruption, smuggling, money laundering, and drug trafficking. In parallel, the government must prioritize strengthening judicial independence and implementing strict controls over land, sea, and air borders.

The national consensus evident in the presidential election, according to Mohammad Choucair, head of Lebanon’s economic associations, paves the way for constructive collaboration among political factions. This collaboration is crucial for addressing challenges, rebuilding the state, and benefiting from renewed international and Arab—particularly Gulf and Saudi—interest in Lebanon. Choucair emphasized the importance of normalizing relations with Gulf nations, supporting Lebanon’s recovery, and providing resources for reconstruction efforts.

One of the urgent tasks for the new government, according to the financial official, is revisiting the draft 2024 state budget, which was previously submitted to parliament. Adjustments are necessary to address fundamental discrepancies in expenditure and revenue projections, taking into account significant changes brought about by the Israeli war.

Ibrahim Kanaan, chairman of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, described the budget as “unrealistic, if not entirely fictitious,” particularly in its revenue estimates. He pointed out that revenue increases were based on income and capital taxes, internal duties, and trade-related fees, all of which have been severely impacted by the war.

Reassuring depositors, both domestic and expatriate, who have suffered massive losses over recent years, is another pressing issue. These losses were exacerbated by the inability of successive governments to implement a comprehensive rescue plan addressing the $72 billion financial gap fairly. The situation was worsened by mismanagement in the electricity sector and the squandering of over $20 billion in central bank reserves following the onset of the financial crisis.

In response to Aoun’s commitment to a fair resolution for depositors, the Association of Banks in Lebanon welcomed his emphasis on safeguarding deposits. It also expressed its readiness to collaborate with the central bank and the government to protect depositors’ rights, citing a recent State Council ruling that prohibits any financial recovery plans from including measures that would erode depositors’ funds.

In its final session, the caretaker government addressed long-standing creditor issues by unanimously agreeing to suspend Lebanon’s right to invoke statutes of limitations on claims by foreign bondholders under New York law. This suspension, effective until March 9, 2028, aims to facilitate future negotiations.

With this decision, the caretaker government tacitly acknowledged Lebanon’s pending debt obligations, including over $10 billion in suspended interest payments on Eurobonds and approximately $30 billion in principal debt. The resolution now awaits direct negotiations under the new administration, which faces the challenge of resolving a nearly five-year-old crisis triggered by the previous government’s uncoordinated decision to halt payments on all Eurobond obligations through 2037.

Caretaker Finance Minister Youssef Khalil emphasized that despite the difficult circumstances, “Lebanon remains committed to reaching a fair and consensual resolution regarding the restructuring of Eurobond debt.”