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Gold Scales 2-week High as Fed Signals Likely Sept Rate Cut

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Scales 2-week High as Fed Signals Likely Sept Rate Cut

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices hit a two-week high on Thursday as US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September.
Spot gold was little changed at $2,445.39 per ounce, as of 0650 GMT, after hitting its highest since July 18 earlier in the session. Prices were just $38 shy of the record high of $2,483.60 scaled on July 17.
US gold futures firmed 0.7% to $2,490.10, Reuters said.
"The trend for gold remains bullish and prices should hit $2,500 this year as the Fed lowers interest rates," said Peter Fung, head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday rates could be cut as soon as September if the US economy follows its expected path, putting the central bank near the end of a more than two-year battle against inflation.
Zero-yield gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.
"Gold bugs may want to warrant some caution above $2,500, given gold's reluctance to hold onto gains around these levels," City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Market focus shifts to Friday's US payrolls report.
"If the data comes in much hotter than expected, that could dent gold as we head towards the weekend," Simpson added.
Elsewhere, Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in the Iranian capital Tehran early on Wednesday morning, an attack that drew threats of revenge on Israel and fueled further concerns that the conflict in Gaza was turning into a wider Middle East war.
Geopolitics is increasingly more supportive for gold in the medium and long term, Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA said in a note.
Spot silver fell 0.4% to $28.92, platinum lost 0.4% to $972.35 and palladium eased 0.2% at $923.60.
Key metals consumer China's manufacturing activity in July shrank for the first time in nine months, a private sector survey showed.

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Saudi Budget: Non-Oil Revenues Highest Since End of 2020

A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
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Saudi Budget: Non-Oil Revenues Highest Since End of 2020

A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)
A general view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters)

Non-oil revenues in Saudi Arabia grew by 4 percent year-on-year during the second quarter of 2024, to reach SAR 140.6 billion ($73.3 billion), the highest level since the end of 2020.

Capital spending maintained its growth, as it rose by 49 percent year-on-year during the same period, reaching SAR 65 billion ($17.3 billion).

According to a statement by the Ministry of Finance on the budget performance for the second quarter of 2024, the total revenues increased by 12 percent, recording SAR 353 billion, while total expenditures amounted to SAR 369 billion and the value of the deficit SAR 15.3 billion.

The deficit for the first half of 2024 stands at 35% of the projected deficit for the year. The deficit amounted to SAR 15. 3 billion in the second quarter of 2024.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expected the Saudi budget to achieve a surplus in 2024, supported by the continued growth of the non-oil private sector. However, the Finance Ministry statement projected an annual deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP, and that the deficit to continue in the 2025 and 2026 budgets.

The volume of capital spending highlights the momentum gained by projects in the Kingdom, as part of Vision 2030, which contributed to shaping Saudi Arabia’s economic plans. Non-oil revenues reflect the government’s success in the process of diversifying the economy.

According to Ministry of Finance, total Saudi budget revenues increased by 12 percent in the second quarter of 2024, recording SAR 353 billion.

Non-oil revenues grew by 4 percent, reaching their highest levels since 2020, while oil revenues recorded a growth of 18 percent to SAR 213 billion ($56.8 billion) during the same period.

Total expenditures in Saudi Arabia during the second quarter of this year increased by 15 percent year-on-year to SAR 368.9 billion ($98.3 billion), compared to SAR 320 billion in the same period of 2023.

Expenditures grew by 12 percent year-on-year during the first half of 2024. The municipal services sector topped the volume of spending with 116 percent.

Spending on education during the first half of this year represented 52 percent of the total approved budget, amounting to SAR 101.8 billion, a decline of 1 percent compared to the same period of 2023.

For the seventh consecutive quarter, the general budget recorded a deficit of SAR 15.34 billion ($4 billion) during the second quarter of 2024. Public debt also increased at the end of the first quarter by 9 percent since the beginning of the year, reaching SAR 1.15 trillion. The Kingdom had borrowed SAR 104 billion from internal parties during the first half of 2024, and SAR 67.8 billion from external lenders.

The data also highlighted that the Kingdom’s GDP contracted by 0.4 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period last year, attributed to an 8.5 percent decline in oil activities.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, former member of the Shura Council, Dr. Fahd bin Jomaa said the government has put a plan within Vision 2030 to boost non-oil activities and reduce reliance on oil.

He noted that achieving a 4 percent growth in the non-oil sector was an indication that the country is moving in the right direction and building a real and diversified economy.