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OPEC+ Sticks to Oil Policy

The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
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OPEC+ Sticks to Oil Policy

The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X

A meeting of top OPEC+ ministers has kept oil output policy unchanged including a plan to start unwinding one layer of output cuts from October, and repeated that the hike could be paused or reversed if needed.
Several ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, or OPEC+ as the group is known, held an online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) on Thursday.
OPEC+ is currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7% of global demand, in a series of steps agreed since 2022 to bolster the market amid uncertainty over global demand and rising supply outside the group.
In a statement after Thursday's meeting, OPEC+ said the members making the most recent layer of cuts - a 2.2 million bpd voluntary cut until September - reiterated that its gradual phase-out could be paused or reversed, depending on market conditions.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday the current level of oil prices was comfortable for Russia, its budget, and other participants in the market. Supply and demand remained in balance, he added.
Algeria's Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab said uncertainties affecting oil markets were unlikely to continue for much longer, as long as the market remains adequately supplied.
Oil demand, he added, was expected to follow a sustained upward trend in the coming weeks.
OPEC+ agreed at its last meeting in June to phase out the 2.2 million bpd cut over the course of a year from October 2024 until September 2025. It also agreed then to extend earlier cuts of 3.66 million bpd until end-2025.
Soon after that, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said OPEC+ could pause or reverse the production hikes if it decided the market is not strong enough.

Thursday's meeting also noted assurances from Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia made during the meeting to achieve full conformity with pledged output cuts, the statement said. Those countries had earlier delivered plans to compensate for past overproduction.
An OPEC+ source said the chair of the meeting was insisting that members show commitment to the compensation plan.

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Saudi Arabia Stockpiles Surplus Oil Production to Face Global Crises

Employees at Aramco (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Employees at Aramco (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Stockpiles Surplus Oil Production to Face Global Crises

Employees at Aramco (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Employees at Aramco (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has long followed a clear and transparent approach to preserving stability in global energy markets. Historically, it has consistently adhered to all decisions issued by the OPEC+ alliance and played a leading role alongside other producers to ensure compliance and promote the collective good.

Recently, the Kingdom briefly increased production volumes. However, the additional output was neither marketed domestically nor exported abroad. Instead, it was directed as a precautionary measure to strengthen strategic reserves, improve supply flows between the country’s eastern and western regions, and rebalance stocks held in overseas storage facilities.

Asharq Al-Awsat reached out to energy specialists to understand the significance of this move for energy security. Experts explained that building strategic reserves allows Saudi Arabia to respond swiftly to customer needs in the event of political crises, regional wars, adverse weather, or other unforeseen disruptions.

Fouad Al-Zayer, former head of data services at OPEC and an energy expert, said the Kingdom maintains millions of barrels in storage both inside and outside its borders. These reserves serve as a buffer during emergencies, enabling the country to compensate for supply shortfalls within a short timeframe. He emphasized that this stored crude is strategically critical in the face of geopolitical tensions and conflicts.

According to Al-Zayer, Saudi Arabia relies on an extraordinary reserve capacity unmatched by any other producer. The country currently produces more than 9 million barrels per day, with the capability to pump even higher volumes if needed. He noted that Saudi reserves alone account for 3 million barrels per day out of roughly 5 million barrels in global spare capacity, underscoring Riyadh’s central role in stabilizing markets and upholding its commitments under OPEC+ agreements.

He added that Saudi Arabia also hosts the International Energy Forum, which works to improve data quality and transparency in the sector. In June, the Kingdom’s output reached about 9 million barrels per day, with the modest increase attributed to logistical considerations. Al-Zayer stressed that it is common for producers to temporarily boost production to support maintenance operations or replenish storage, without impacting the broader market, since these barrels are not immediately traded.

He reiterated that Saudi Arabia has always honored OPEC+ production targets and has played a pivotal role in encouraging other members to meet their quotas.

Meanwhile, Dr. Mohammed Al-Sabban, former senior adviser to the Saudi Minister of Petroleum, explained that the Kingdom has consistently proven itself a reliable and secure supplier to global energy markets. He noted that Saudi Arabia’s recent statement clarified the reasons behind the June production uptick, emphasizing that the additional oil was neither destined for local consumption nor for export but was solely intended to refill domestic and foreign storage. He said such measures do not represent any breach of commitments, unlike the practices of some other countries.

Al-Sabban pointed out that Saudi Arabia has often gone beyond required cuts to help stabilize markets. Even the recent production increases, he said, fall within the scope of voluntary adjustments agreed upon by OPEC+ members. He noted that in July, Saudi Arabia raised production in line with credible studies indicating the market could absorb these volumes without disruption.