Oil Strengthens as Fall Estimated in US Crude Inventories

An oil rig is seen on Lake Maracaibo, in Cabimas, Venezuela October 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issac Urrutia/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
An oil rig is seen on Lake Maracaibo, in Cabimas, Venezuela October 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issac Urrutia/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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Oil Strengthens as Fall Estimated in US Crude Inventories

An oil rig is seen on Lake Maracaibo, in Cabimas, Venezuela October 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issac Urrutia/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
An oil rig is seen on Lake Maracaibo, in Cabimas, Venezuela October 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issac Urrutia/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

Oil prices climbed on Wednesday on estimates about shrinking US crude and gasoline inventories as the market watched for a possible widening of the Middle Eastern war, which could curtail global oil supplies.

Brent crude futures rose 30 cents to $80.99 a barrel by 0009 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude increased by 38 cents to $78.73 per barrel.

US crude oil and gasoline inventories were expected to have fallen last week, while distillate stocks rose, according to market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday, Reuters reported.

The API figures showed crude stocks shrunk by 5.21 million barrels in the week ended Aug. 9, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories eased by 3.69 million barrels, and distillates rose by 612,000 barrels.

Falling inventories could indicate higher demand in the US, the world's biggest oil consumer.

Official government data from the Energy Information Administration is due later on Wednesday.

The market was also awaiting signs of the next moves by Iran, which has vowed a severe response to the killing of a Hamas leader late last month, which Tehran blamed on Israel. Israel has neither confirmed nor denied its involvement. The US Navy has deployed warships and a submarine to the Middle East to bolster Israeli defenses.

A broadening conflict in the region could affect crude supplies from Iran and neighboring producer countries, analysts said, tightening inventories and supporting prices.

Keeping oil prices from moving even higher, the International Energy Agency (IEA), meanwhile, kept its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast unchanged on Tuesday but trimmed its 2025 estimate, citing the impact of a weakened Chinese economy on consumption.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Refocus on Demand Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the newly-commissioned Dangote petroleum refinery is pictured in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, Nigeria May 22, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the newly-commissioned Dangote petroleum refinery is pictured in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, Nigeria May 22, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Refocus on Demand Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the newly-commissioned Dangote petroleum refinery is pictured in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, Nigeria May 22, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the newly-commissioned Dangote petroleum refinery is pictured in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, Nigeria May 22, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo

Oil prices steadied on Tuesday after rising for five consecutive sessions, as markets refocused on concerns about demand after OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for demand growth in 2024 due to softer expectations in China.
Benchmark Brent crude futures were down 30 cents, or 0.36%, at $82.00 a barrel as of 0820 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was down 29 cents, or 0.36%, at $79.77, Reuters reported.
Brent on Monday gained more than 3% while US crude futures rose more than 4% on expectations of a widening Middle Eastern conflict that could tighten global crude oil supplies.
The 2024 demand forecast cut from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries' (OPEC) highlighted the dilemma faced by the wider OPEC+ group as it aims to raise output from October.
"Any reflection of higher economic risks could weigh on oil prices, at a time when OPEC+ has cut their 2024 demand forecast and are set to roll back on their production cuts starting October, which may point to a less tight oil market ahead," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
But he added investors remained watchful of the latest geopolitical tensions.
The Middle East conflict has escalated, with the US preparing for what could be significant attacks by Iran or its proxies in the region as soon as this week, White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said on Monday.
Any attack could tighten access to global crude supplies and boost prices. An assault could also lead the United States to place embargoes on Iranian crude exports, potentially affecting 1.5 million barrels per day of supply, analysts said.
"If an eventual Iran retaliation falls within the scope of a so-called proportionate response, and the macro disappoints, then Brent holding on to its $80 handle may prove challenging," said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.
Markets are also preparing for Wednesday's US consumer price index report that will give a crucial read on inflation.