Lebanon Central Bank Governor Says 'Working Hard' to Prevent Grey-listing

A view of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon (File photo: Reuters)
A view of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon (File photo: Reuters)
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Lebanon Central Bank Governor Says 'Working Hard' to Prevent Grey-listing

A view of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon (File photo: Reuters)
A view of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon (File photo: Reuters)

Lebanon's acting central bank governor said on Thursday that his institution was still striving to prevent being placed on a "grey list" of countries under special scrutiny by a financial crime watchdog.

Being added to the Financial Action Task Force's grey list would be another major blow to a country in financial tailspin since 2019, with depositors still locked out of most of their pre-crisis savings and many foreign corresponding banks shunning Lebanon's financial system.

Reuters first reported in May 2023 that Lebanon had received a preliminary evaluation warranting grey-listing, with gaps in several categories including its anti-money laundering measures, transparency on beneficial ownership of firms and legal assistance in asset freezing and confiscation.

After the initial assessment, Lebanon was granted a year to address those gaps before a final ruling that is set to be announced at the FATF's plenary in October of this year.

"The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) will issue a decision this coming fall and we are still working hard to prevent Lebanon from being placed on the grey list," acting central bank governor Wissam Mansouri said, addressing a meeting of the Union of Arab Banks in Beirut.

Mansouri said Lebanon had received low scores on measures to confiscate illicit wealth or address money laundering, and that the country needed to develop an action plan to address the remaining gaps.

In 2023, a diplomatic source and a financial source familiar with the matter said that the central bank's special investigations commission was lobbying FATF member states in a bid to change the score.

Being put on the FATF grey list could disrupt a country's capital flows, according to the International Monetary Fund, with banks cutting ties to customers in high-risk countries to reduce compliance costs.

Such a listing also risks reputational damage, credit ratings adjustments, trouble obtaining global finance and higher transaction costs.

In Lebanon's case, the listing would represent an indictment of the financial system at a painful time. The country has been slow to make progress on key reforms requested by the IMF in April 2022 as prerequisites for a deal with the fund. The economy has slowed further after more than 10 months of hostilities between armed group Hezbollah and the Israeli military in parallel with the Gaza war.



Dollar Down and Oil Slips as Fed Readies Rate Cuts

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Dollar Down and Oil Slips as Fed Readies Rate Cuts

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Oil fell for a fifth day in a row on demand jitters on Thursday, stocks were subdued in Asia, and the dollar hovered near one-year lows as Federal Reserve minutes signaled that US interest rate cuts are set to begin in a few weeks' time.
The minutes validated bets on a rate cut next month and said the "vast majority" of policymakers felt that if data came in as expected, a September cut was likely to be appropriate.
Oil prices fell, however, and at $75.97 a barrel, Brent futures were near the year's low, having lost nearly 6% in August so far as China's demand outlook weakens and looming rate cuts signal an expectation of a US slowdown.
Stocks, after a phenomenal rebound from early-month lows, were also kept in check, with US and European futures down about 0.1%, and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan mostly flat.
"The first 200 days following the first rate cut tend to be challenging for equities, because it signals a deteriorating growth and profits environment," said Nick Ferres, CIO at Vantage Point Asset Management in Singapore.
Trade was thin in China and major indexes notched small losses, with electric vehicle stocks wobbly on tariff risks. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.5%, helped by an 8% gain in shares of electronics maker Xiaomi after upbeat results.
Surges in pharmaceutical firms Sumitomo Pharma and Chugai Pharm helped Japanese shares notch a three-week high in morning trade, as the market recovers from a stunning collapse in early August.
"I think the market's focus for the equity investor is changing a bit recently," said Daiki Hayashi, head of Japan sales and marketing at J.P. Morgan in Tokyo.
"Investors had been buying Japanese equities because they were cheap. Now, recently, we have been having a lot of discussions about single stocks," he said.
"If we started to see more of a growth story for individual companies, we might see another increase in equity prices."
DOLLAR DOWNTREND
Rates and currency markets see a US easing cycle as having further to run than other countries, since US short-term rates are higher, and have pushed down US yields and the dollar.
It also gives room for smaller markets to make cuts, and in South Korea, policymakers hinted at an October cut as they left rates on hold, as expected.
Treasuries rallied on Wednesday and ten-year yields were broadly steady at 3.80% on Thursday in Asia. Two-year yields held at 3.93%.
Interest rate futures markets have fully priced in a 25-basis-point cut in the US next month, with a 1/3 chance of a 50-bp cut. They project 222 bps of US easing by the end of 2025, against 163 bps for Europe.
The euro stood at $1.1144 in Asia, having touched $1.1173 on Wednesday, its highest since the middle of last year and above chart resistance at $1.1139, with the way open to the 2022 high around $1.1276. Sterling bought $1.3084 and hit a more than one-year high of $1.3119 on Wednesday.
"The unequivocal signal from the (Fed) minutes has been the catalyst for the latest leg down in the US dollar," said National Australia Bank's head of currency strategy, Ray Attrill.
"It is likely that the break above $1.30 on cable looks sustainable," he said, using a nickname for the sterling/dollar pair. "And similarly for the euro ... we're talking about potentially a $1.10-$1.15 range in coming weeks."
Checks on the dollar's weakness may come from US jobs data on Sept. 6 or purchasing managers index (PMI) data due later today, if it confounds market bets on interest rate cuts, or shows softness in Europe that weighs on the euro, Attrill said.