Economists Push Back on Harris Price Gouging Plan

 US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as she steps off Air Force Two upon arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on August 23, 2024. (AFP)
US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as she steps off Air Force Two upon arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on August 23, 2024. (AFP)
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Economists Push Back on Harris Price Gouging Plan

 US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as she steps off Air Force Two upon arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on August 23, 2024. (AFP)
US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris as she steps off Air Force Two upon arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on August 23, 2024. (AFP)

Kamala Harris's price gouging policy has been criticized by economists and analysts, who say it is an uncompetitive proposal that could end up hurting, and not helping, US consumers.

Harris, the Democratic nominee for president, announced the policy last week as part of a raft of populist proposals which included a $6,000-a-year tax credit for families with newborn children and a $10,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers.

If elected President, Harris would work with Congress to advance "the first-ever federal ban on price gouging on food and groceries," her campaign said in a statement.

The proposals would look to set "clear rules of the road" to stop big corporations from running up "excessive" profits on food and groceries, and beef up state and federal regulatory powers to penalize rule-breakers.

While popular with the Democratic base, the price gouging plans elicited a fierce reaction from Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who is running against Harris in November's elections.

"Kamala will implement SOVIET Style Price Controls," he wrote in a social media post a day after the proposals were published.

Supporters of the policy say it has been mischaracterized and misunderstood.

"When there is more concentration in an industry, we have seen much greater increases in the profit margins," US Senator Elizabeth Warren said in an interview with CNBC on Friday.

The Harris campaign did not respond to a request for comment. But several US media organizations, including the Washington Post, reported that the Harris campaign sees the policy as an attempt to elevate existing state-level rules on price gouging to the federal level.

- What price gouging? -

A global inflationary surge at the tail-end of the Covid-19 pandemic contributed to a sharp rise in the cost of everyday items across the United States.

Consumer inflation has eased dramatically since peaking at more than nine percent in 2022. But Americans are still contending with an overall price increase of just over 20 percent since Joe Biden took office, according to data from the US Labor Department.

However, "very little" of that increase is down to price gouging, Oxford Economics chief US economist Ryan Sweet told AFP.

Instead, Sweet points to a pandemic-fueled supply shock, and an increase in demand for goods and services spurred -- in part -- by generous federal support for households during the pandemic.

"What this gouging does is pivot the blame from the Biden administration, which Harris was part of, to corporations," said Gary Hufbauer, a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

"It's a pretty successful political argument," he told AFP. "It has no economic basis."

- 'Penny business' -

The retail business is notoriously tough, with profit margins often in the low single digits -- in stark contrast to higher-margin sectors like tech.

"Is there a more competitive space than retail?" Target chief executive Brian Cornell said in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that touched on Harris's price gouging plans.

"It is a penny business, and it's a very competitive space, and we provide the value consumers are looking for," he added.

But for people struggling with the cost of living, it's a difficult argument to make.

"People see that gasoline prices are higher than they were a few years ago, food prices are going to be higher than they were a few years ago," said Sweet, from Oxford Economics.

"But we're not going back down to the prices that we saw pre-pandemic," he added.

That's because easing inflation does not translate into lower sticker prices at the grocery store.

Instead, when wages increase faster than inflation -- as they have been for well over a year now -- the cost of those items relative to wages declines over time.

But it's a slow process.

The Federal Reserve appears increasingly confident that it is winning its battle to bring inflation back down to its long-term target of two percent.

On Friday, Fed chair Jerome Powell said "the time has come" to start lowering interest rates, lifting expectations of a rate cut next month.

"There's clear evidence that businesses' pricing power has started to diminish," said Sweet.

"I think over time, as inflation gets back down to the Fed's target, this discussion of price gouging is going to start to fade to the background," he added.



Saudi Foreign Trade Volume Reaches $131 Billion in 2024

Containers are loaded at a Saudi port. (SPA)
Containers are loaded at a Saudi port. (SPA)
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Saudi Foreign Trade Volume Reaches $131 Billion in 2024

Containers are loaded at a Saudi port. (SPA)
Containers are loaded at a Saudi port. (SPA)

Economists anticipate that Saudi Arabia’s share of global foreign trade will rise in the coming years. Recent data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), released on Thursday, showed that non-oil exports, including re-exports, grew by 10.5% in the second quarter of this year, reaching approximately SAR 73.73 billion ($19.65 billion). This marks an increase from around SAR 66.74 billion in the same period last year.

Excluding re-exports, non-oil exports rose by 1.4% to SAR 51.4 billion in the second quarter of 2024, up from about SAR 50.69 billion in the second quarter of 2023.

Total merchandise exports experienced a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year in the second quarter, totaling approximately SAR 249.51 billion.

The trade balance surplus was around SAR 98.37 billion for the second quarter, compared to approximately SAR 104.7 billion in the same period last year.

Dr. Mohammed bin Dulaim Al-Qahtani, Professor of International Business at King Faisal University, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia’s foreign trade volume reached approximately SAR 491 billion ($130.9 billion) in the second quarter of 2024. During this period, exports remained stable compared to the previous year, while imports increased by 3.3%.

Al-Qahtani noted that the Kingdom’s foreign trade saw significant developments in Q2 2024, totaling SAR 490.6 billion ($130.8 billion). Imports increased by 3.3% compared to the same quarter in 2023.

The expert attributed the growth to Saudi Vision 2030 that has successfully diversified the economy away from oil dependency.

He remarked: “Vision 2030 has made significant strides in expanding the economy and reducing reliance on oil. This success is evident in the growth of non-oil exports this year. The vision has also expanded export markets, diversified revenue sources, and enhanced global competitiveness.”

Despite these achievements, Al-Qahtani identified five key challenges facing Saudi foreign trade: fluctuations in oil prices, regional and international geopolitical tensions, slowing global economic growth - which affects demand for Saudi products and services - increased transportation and insurance costs, and disruptions in supply chains.

Among the fastest-growing sectors in Saudi trade are manufacturing industries, particularly petrochemicals and plastic products, as well as technology and digital services, reflecting the global shift towards knowledge-based economies.

Dr. Osama bin Ghanem Al-Obaidi, advisor and professor of commercial law, told Asharq Al-Awsat that foreign trade plays a crucial role in the development and growth of the national economy. He stressed that the Kingdom has focused on enhancing this sector through significant economic reforms introduced by the government in recent years as part of its Vision 2030 goals.

Al-Obaidi noted that Saudi non-oil exports, such as chemicals, polymers, minerals, dates, food products, pharmaceuticals, and aluminum, have seen considerable growth. This increase is attributed to the credit facilities provided by the Saudi Export-Import Bank, which have facilitated the expansion of Saudi products in international markets.