China Stops Short of Africa Debt Relief as Pledges More Cash

People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
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China Stops Short of Africa Debt Relief as Pledges More Cash

People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)

China stopped short of providing the debt relief sought by many African countries this week, but pledged 360 billion yuan ($50.7 billion) over three years in credit lines and investments.
The Forum for China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) launched in 2000 took on an enhanced role after the 2013 inception of President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which aims to recreate the ancient Silk Road for the world's second largest economy and biggest bilateral lender to Africa, Reuters said.
"China is moving back on to the front foot in terms of overseas deployment of capital in the emerging markets," said Tellimer's Hasnain Malik, while adding it was not yet at pre-COVID levels.
China has also sought to use FOCAC to counter growing competition in Africa from the United States, the European Union, Japan and others.
In Beijing, diplomats and delegates from around the world mingled in the Great Hall of the People in Tiananmen Square as leaders from more than 50 African countries and Chinese officials led by Xi gathered for a group photo.
The new financial pledge is more than what Beijing promised at the last FOCAC in 2021, but below the $60 billion of 2015 and 2018, which marked the peak of lending to Africa under the Belt and Road Initiative.
During those peak years, Beijing bankrolled the construction of roads, railways and bridges. But a drying up of funds since 2019 has left Africa with stalled construction projects.
The new funds will go towards 30 infrastructure projects to improve trade links, China said, without giving details.
The 54-nation continent of more than 1 billion people has an annual infrastructure funding deficit estimated at $100 billion, and needs transport links to make a new giant pan-African trade bloc (AfCFTA) a reality.
Beijing has in recent years cut funding for such projects as it shifted focus to "small and beautiful" projects, mainly due to its own domestic economic pressures and an increase in debt risks among African countries.
Asked how the new commitments fit into China's current cautious overseas lending strategy, a foreign ministry spokesperson said there was no contradiction.
"The cooperation between China and African countries, including the specific implementation of projects, is discussed and determined by both sides," Mao Ning, a foreign ministry spokesperson told a regular news conference on Friday.
CURRENCY SWAPS
China also said it will launch 30 clean energy projects in Africa, offer co-operation on nuclear technology and tackle a power deficit that has delayed industrialisation efforts.
"The outcomes of the FOCAC summit signal an impetus for green projects and especially for renewable energy installations," said Goolam Ballim, head of research at South Africa's Standard Bank.
China has become a global leader in wind and solar energy, Ballim said, controlling significant supply chains and reducing production costs.
Others were skeptical.
"The issue is not so much about the size of the investments, it's been about the lack of transparency around the terms of the debt," said Trang Nguyen, global head of emerging markets credit strategy at French bank BNP Paribas.
Success was less clear-cut for countries owing a large share of their debt to China, which made no express offer of assistance to those struggling with repayments.
Beijing instead urged other creditors "to participate in the handling and restructuring of African countries' debts under the principle of joint actions and fair burden-sharing".
African leaders hoping to bask in large deals for their countries had to settle for less splashy announcements.
Ethiopia and Mauritius announced new currency swap lines with China's central bank. Kenya said it made progress on talks to reopen the lending taps for key projects like its modern railway to link the region.
Still, there was optimism from some, as they welcomed China's increased commitments to Africa's security, humanitarian challenges and other non-financial affairs.
"After nearly 70 years of hard work, China-Africa relations are at their best in history," Tanzania's President Samia Suluhu said on her X account.



Israel Central Bank Holds Rates

The Bank of Israel building in Jerusalem. Reuters
The Bank of Israel building in Jerusalem. Reuters
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Israel Central Bank Holds Rates

The Bank of Israel building in Jerusalem. Reuters
The Bank of Israel building in Jerusalem. Reuters

The Bank of Israel kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday for a sixth straight meeting, but raised the prospect of future rate increases should armed conflict on two fronts push inflation up more than expected.
The central bank - also worried about Israel's investor risk premium which has risen since the Gaza war began on Oct. 7 last year - left its benchmark rate at 4.50%.
"In view of the continuing war, the Monetary Committee’s policy is focusing on stabilizing the markets and reducing uncertainty, alongside price stability and supporting economic activity," the central bank said in a statement.
Policymakers expressed worries over rising inflation stemming largely from supply constraints related to the war with Hamas in Gaza and accelerating fighting with Hezbollah in Lebanon, saying the increase in the pace of inflation is broad, Reuters reported.
Israel's annual inflation rate rose to 3.6% in August from 3.2% in the previous month, moving further above the government's 1%-3% target range after falling as low as 2.5% in February.
Bank of Israel Governor Amir Yaron told a news conference after the decision that the future direction of interest rates was "data dependent.”
Prior to the war, rates - which rose rapidly in 2022 and 2023 - were expected to decline this year. The central bank had reduced its key rate by 25 basis points in January but it has been on hold since due to the war, rising inflation pressures, a widening budget deficit and the higher risk premium.
Some investors have begun to speculate that inflation will continue to rise and possibly push the central bank to raising rates again.
"If inflation rises at a faster rate than we predicted ... we can definitely raise the interest rate," Yaron said, noting the inflation rate is expected to gain in near term.
Yaron said the current level of rates is believed to be restrictive enough to ultimately bring inflation back to within its target.
He added that in the current period Israel's uncertainty is far greater than what the US and European central banks - which have started to loosen policy - are experiencing.
The decision to hold rates steady came despite the bank's research department slashing its forecast for Israeli economic growth this year to 0.5% from a previous estimate of 1.5%.
The economy grew an annualized 0.7% in the second quarter, slowing markedly from a 17.2% pace in the first quarter.
All 14 analysts polled by Reuters had expected no rates move on Wednesday.
The central bank's researchers raised their inflation forecast for the coming year to 3.2% from 3.0%, while the interest rate is projected at its current 4.5% level, rather than 4.25% predicted in July.
The staff raised their expectation for Israel's 2024 budget deficit to 7.2% of gross domestic product from 6.6% due to the extra funds needed to finance the military conflicts. They see a 4.9% of GDP deficit in 2025.
"Approval of a responsible budget for 2025 is an essential component in strengthening the international markets’ trust and maintaining the economy’s robustness," Yaron said.
The budget's passage has been delayed due to political infighting.
The rates decision was initially slated for Monday but was moved to not coincide with the Oct. 7 anniversary of the start of the Gaza war.