Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
TT

Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday as the dollar eased, with traders' attention turning to key US inflation data that may influence the Federal Reserve's next policy decision.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,524.54 per ounce, as of 0842 GMT. US gold futures edged 0.4% higher to $2,553.80.

The dollar index slipped 0.2%, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive to buyers holding other currencies, Reuters reported.

The US inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is due at 1230 GMT. The headline CPI is expected to have risen 0.2% on a month-on-month basis in August, according to a Reuters poll, unchanged from the previous month.

The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll that found only nine of 101 expected a half-percentage-point cut next week.

Lower rates boost the appeal of holding non-yielding bullion.

A rate cut should suggest a weaker dollar and by extension gold would benefit but the market might have over-positioned ahead of the long awaited Fed pivot, so prices might go lower before marching much higher, said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"Gold maintains its range-trading, but with a positive bias. We may see fresh highs in gold in 2024 and I would not be surprised to see a test of $2,650," Norman added.

Other data points due this week include the US producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims.

Bullion has gained more than 22% so far this year and scaled successive record highs, fuelled by rate-cut optimism, geopolitical turmoil and robust central bank demand.

Among other metals, spot silver was up 1.3% at $28.76 per ounce, platinum inched 0.1% higher to $938.34 and palladium firmed 1.1% to $975.50.



Gold Extends Fall to Sixth Day ahead of Fed, US Inflation Data

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
TT

Gold Extends Fall to Sixth Day ahead of Fed, US Inflation Data

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)

Gold extended losses for a sixth straight session on Wednesday to hover near the two-week lows hit the day before on lowered expectations of deeper rate cuts, as traders turned their focus to the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and inflation data.

Spot gold fell about 0.2% to $2,617.79 per ounce by 1145 GMT, having touched its lowest level since Sept. 20 on Tuesday. US gold futures for December delivery was steady at $2,636.20.

"The precious metals sector seems somewhat disappointed after yesterday's meeting by China's National Development and Reform Commission, which reignited concerns about growth and demand from China in Q4. Also, gold is confronting the possibility of less aggressive rate cuts," Zain Vawda, market analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA, said, Reuters reported.

Non-yielding bullion is considered a safe investment and thrives in a low interest rate environment.

China is the world's largest consumer of gold, although record high prices and worries about economy have dampened consumer sentiment. A rebound in gold prices to a record peak also dashed the Indian bullion industry's expectations of a lucrative festival season.

Even after the losses, gold prices are set for an over 25% rise this year after prices hit a record peak of $2,685.42 on Sept. 26.

"The market is currently awaiting the upcoming inflation data for US. Since last week's payroll data, the market is discussing if we are in soft landing or no landing scenario," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

The minutes from Fed's September policy meeting are due at 1800 GMT, while the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data is due on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

"A significant rise in inflation could alter the scenario. However, considering the geopolitical situation and market uncertainties, we might continue to see range-bound trading with limited downside rallies," said Vawda.

In other metals, spot silver steadied at $30.69 per ounce. Platinum held steady at $949.70 and palladium fell 1% to $1,011.51.