Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday as the dollar eased, with traders' attention turning to key US inflation data that may influence the Federal Reserve's next policy decision.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,524.54 per ounce, as of 0842 GMT. US gold futures edged 0.4% higher to $2,553.80.

The dollar index slipped 0.2%, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive to buyers holding other currencies, Reuters reported.

The US inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is due at 1230 GMT. The headline CPI is expected to have risen 0.2% on a month-on-month basis in August, according to a Reuters poll, unchanged from the previous month.

The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll that found only nine of 101 expected a half-percentage-point cut next week.

Lower rates boost the appeal of holding non-yielding bullion.

A rate cut should suggest a weaker dollar and by extension gold would benefit but the market might have over-positioned ahead of the long awaited Fed pivot, so prices might go lower before marching much higher, said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"Gold maintains its range-trading, but with a positive bias. We may see fresh highs in gold in 2024 and I would not be surprised to see a test of $2,650," Norman added.

Other data points due this week include the US producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims.

Bullion has gained more than 22% so far this year and scaled successive record highs, fuelled by rate-cut optimism, geopolitical turmoil and robust central bank demand.

Among other metals, spot silver was up 1.3% at $28.76 per ounce, platinum inched 0.1% higher to $938.34 and palladium firmed 1.1% to $975.50.



Libya Oil Exports Plunge as NOC Cancels Cargoes due to Crisis

FILE PHOTO: A general view shows Libya's El Sharara oilfield December 3, 2014. REUTERS/Ismail Zitouny/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view shows Libya's El Sharara oilfield December 3, 2014. REUTERS/Ismail Zitouny/File Photo
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Libya Oil Exports Plunge as NOC Cancels Cargoes due to Crisis

FILE PHOTO: A general view shows Libya's El Sharara oilfield December 3, 2014. REUTERS/Ismail Zitouny/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view shows Libya's El Sharara oilfield December 3, 2014. REUTERS/Ismail Zitouny/File Photo

Libyan oil exports fell around 81% last week, Kpler data showed, as the National Oil Corporation cancelled cargoes amid a crisis over control of Libya's central bank and oil revenue.

The standoff began last month when western Libyan factions moved to oust a veteran central bank governor, prompting eastern factions to declare a shutdown to all oil output.

Libyan ports shipped 194,000 barrels per day (bpd) on average of crude last week, down about 81% from just over 1 million bpd in the previous week, Kpler's data showed, Reuters reported.

Although Libya's two legislative bodies said last week they agreed to jointly appoint a central bank governor within 30 days, the situation remains fluid and uncertain.

The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), which is attempting to defuse the crisis, said on Tuesday it would resume facilitating talks on Wednesday in Tripoli.

NOC, which manages Libya's fossil fuel resources, has not declared force majeure on all port loadings and has so far opted to use the measure on individual cargoes, trading sources with knowledge of the matter said.

It had declared force majeure on all crude production at El Feel oilfield on Sept. 2 and on exports from the Sharara field on Aug. 7, before the crisis over the central bank began.

NOC last week cancelled several Es Sider cargoes, Reuters reported and two trading sources told Reuters NOC has also cancelled cargoes of the Amna and Brega crude grades.

Some tankers have been allowed to load crude from storage at Libyan ports to fulfil contractual obligations and avoid financial penalties, an NOC source has told Reuters.

NOC said on Aug. 28 that oil production had dropped by more than half from typical levels to about 590,000 bpd. It was not immediately clear where production levels now stand.