Oil Dips on Worries China Stimulus Plans Not Enough to Boost Demand

FILE PHOTO: The PetroChina logo is seen near a car charging at the Chinese state oil giant's electric vehicle (EV) charging station in Beijing, China February 2, 2024. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The PetroChina logo is seen near a car charging at the Chinese state oil giant's electric vehicle (EV) charging station in Beijing, China February 2, 2024. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo
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Oil Dips on Worries China Stimulus Plans Not Enough to Boost Demand

FILE PHOTO: The PetroChina logo is seen near a car charging at the Chinese state oil giant's electric vehicle (EV) charging station in Beijing, China February 2, 2024. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The PetroChina logo is seen near a car charging at the Chinese state oil giant's electric vehicle (EV) charging station in Beijing, China February 2, 2024. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo

Oil prices fell on Wednesday as investors reassessed the ability of China's stimulus plans to boost the economy enough to drive more fuel demand growth in the world's largest crude importer.
Brent crude futures were down 19 cents, or 0.25%, at $74.98 a barrel at 0700 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was down 28 cents, or 0.39%, at $71.28 per barrel, Reuters reported.
Prices rose about 1.7% on Tuesday after China announced its most aggressive economic stimulus since the COVID-19 pandemic, with interest rate cuts and government funding.
Analysts, however, warned that more fiscal help was needed to boost confidence in the world's second-largest economy and that eroded the initial impact on oil prices.
"The lack of a more concrete fiscal approach still instils some reservations over whether the economic boost can be sustained," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
Yeap said there was an overall lack of traction to the oil market, with trades lower than usual, which was likely also due to a drop in US consumer confidence. It fell in September to its lowest in three years, with particular concern about the availability of jobs.
Still, declining US crude oil and fuel stockpiles provided some support for the market, which has generally risen since prices hit their lowest since 2021 on Sept. 10.
US oil stockpiles dropped by 4.34 million barrels last week while gasoline inventories fell by 3.44 million barrels and distillate stocks fell by 1.12 million barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
An intensifying conflict in the Middle East between Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon and Israel also supported crude prices, with cross-border rockets launched by both sides increasing fears of a broadening war in the key producing region.
A hurricane threatening the US Gulf Coast has changed course towards Florida and away from oil and gas-producing areas near Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.



IMF: Pakistan Wins More Financing Assurances from Saudi Arabia, UAE, China

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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IMF: Pakistan Wins More Financing Assurances from Saudi Arabia, UAE, China

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Pakistan has received “significant financing assurances” from China, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates linked to a new International Monetary Fund (IMF) program that go beyond a deal to roll over $12 billion in bilateral loans owed to them by Islamabad, IMF Pakistan Mission Chief Nathan Porter said on Thursday.

Porter declined to provide details of additional financing amounts committed by the three countries but said they would come on top of the debt rollover.

The IMF's Executive Board on Wednesday approved a new $7 billion loan for cash-strapped Pakistan, more than two months after the two sides said they had reached an agreement.

The loan — which Islamabad will receive in installments over 37 months — is aimed at boosting Pakistan's ailing economy.

“I won't go into the specifics, but UAE, China and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia all provided significant financing assurances joined up in this program,” Porter told reporters on a conference call.

The global lender said its immediate disbursement will be about $1 billion.

In a statement issued Thursday, the IMF praised Pakistan for taking key steps to restore economic stability. Growth has rebounded, inflation has fallen to single digits, and a calm foreign exchange market have allowed the rebuilding of reserve buffers.

But it also criticized authorities. The IMF warned that, despite the progress, Pakistan’s vulnerabilities and structural challenges remained formidable.

It said a difficult business environment, weak governance, and an outsized role of the state hindered investment, while the tax base remained too narrow.

“Spending on health and education has been insufficient to tackle persistent poverty, and inadequate infrastructure investment has limited economic potential and left Pakistan vulnerable to the impact of climate change,” it warned.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in a statement hailed the deal that his team had been negotiating with the IMF since June.

Sharif, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, told Pakistani media that the country had fulfilled all of the lender’s conditions, with help from China and Saudi Arabia.

“Without their support, this would not have been possible,” he said, without elaborating on what assistance Beijing and Riyadh had provided to get the deal over the line.

The Pakistani government has vowed to increase its tax intake, in line with IMF requirements, despite protests in recent months by retailers and some opposition parties over the new tax scheme and high electricity rates.

Pakistan for decades has been relying on IMF loans to meet its economic needs.

The latest economic crisis has been the most prolonged and has seen Pakistan facing its highest-ever inflation, pushing the country to the brink of a sovereign default last summer before an IMF bailout.

Inflation has since tempered, and credit ratings agency Moody’s has upgraded Pakistan’s local and foreign currency issuer and senior unsecured debt ratings to “Caa2” from “Caa3”, citing improving macroeconomic conditions and moderately better government liquidity and external positions.