Saudi Arabia Aims for Global Carbon Market Share Equal to Regional Emissions

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
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Saudi Arabia Aims for Global Carbon Market Share Equal to Regional Emissions

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM), a Saudi company which is the first of its kind in the MENA region, said the company currently holds about 1.3% of the global carbon trading market.

In exclusive remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat during the Portfolio Egypt 2024 conference in Cairo on Monday, ElGizy predicted that by 2030, the company’s carbon trading volume could reach 100 million tons, making it one of the largest carbon markets worldwide.

“We aim to achieve a market share that matches the region’s carbon emissions,” she said.

Since 2013, global carbon emissions have exceeded 35 billion tons each year, with growth slowing in recent years. In 2021, Arab countries emitted over 2 billion tons of carbon dioxide, representing 5.45% of global emissions, according to European Union statistics.

The VCM enables companies, governments, and individuals to buy and sell credits that represent reductions in carbon dioxide emissions.

These credits can offset emissions that cannot be reduced through other methods, such as improving energy efficiency or using renewable energy sources. This market is increasingly viewed as an effective way to address climate change.

ElGizy announced that the company has increased the region’s carbon trading share from zero to 1.3% of the global market. This growth is attributed to two recent auctions held by the company.

Last year, around 200 million tons of carbon emissions were removed globally, equivalent to emissions from a country like Spain. ElGizy projected that the market’s trade value could reach $100 billion by 2030 and $250 billion by 2050.

According to the World Bank, carbon pricing revenues reached a record $104 billion in 2023.

In October 2022, the VCM held its first auction, selling about 1.4 million metric tons of carbon credits. The second auction in June 2023 sold around 2.2 million tons.

ElGizy announced plans for a third auction in November, expected to feature 2.5 to 3 million metric tons of carbon credits, coinciding with the launch of a new carbon trading platform at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan.

She emphasized that several Saudi and regional companies would participate in this auction, noting its significant size and impact. For perspective, she explained that the first auction's 1.4 million tons represented emissions from 250,000 family cars each year.

Looking ahead, ElGizy expects the company’s carbon trading volume to reach 100 million tons by 2030, positioning it among the largest carbon markets globally. She also highlighted the need for trade to shift from the Global North to the Global South and expressed a goal for Saudi Arabia to lead in regional carbon markets.



Lagarde: ECB's October Decision Will Reflect Greater Confidence on Inflation

ECB President Christine Lagarde. (EPA)
ECB President Christine Lagarde. (EPA)
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Lagarde: ECB's October Decision Will Reflect Greater Confidence on Inflation

ECB President Christine Lagarde. (EPA)
ECB President Christine Lagarde. (EPA)

The European Central Bank (ECB) is increasingly confident that inflation will fall back to its 2% target and this should be reflected in its October policy decision, ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Monday.

She said cross-border banking mergers in Europe were "desirable" to boost their competitiveness, just as Italy's UniCredit was looking to increase its stake and possibly take over Germany's Commerzbank.

The ECB cut interest rates from record highs in June, and cut again earlier this month, but Lagarde gave few hints at the time about the bank's next move, leaving markets guessing.

Lagarde's comments on Monday will bolster already abundant bets on a further cut in October given a rapid deterioration of the growth outlook and falling energy costs.

Inflation in the 20-nation currency bloc likely fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since mid-2021 this month, a raft of national data suggests.

This, along with poor growth indicators, has raised bets on a 25 basis point rate cut in October and markets now see a 75% chance of a move, up from 25% seen early last week.

Lagarde also acknowledged the recent run of poor growth readings.

“Looking ahead, the suppressed level of some survey indicators suggests that the recovery is facing headwinds,” she told a regular hearing of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs.

Still, she repeated the bank's usual line that the recovery is expected to strengthen and rising real incomes should allow households to consume more.

She added that the labor market, the source of some price pressures via rapid wage growth, remains resilient, even if wage growth is moderating and corporate profits are absorbing some pay increases.

Meanwhile, Lagarde said cross border mergers among Europe's biggest banks are needed, just as Italy's UniCredit was looking to increase its stake and possibly take over Germany's Commerzbank.

“Cross borders mergers -- banks that can actually compete at a scale, at a depth and at range with other institutions around the world, including the American banks and the Chinese banks -- are in my opinion desirable,” she told a parliamentary hearing.

She added that her comments should not be taken as a direct intervention in any particular deal.