Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
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Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko

Oil prices slid as much as $3 to a near two-week low during Asian trade on Tuesday on the back of a weaker demand outlook and after a media report said Israel is willing not to strike Iranian oil targets, which eased fears of a supply disruption.

Brent crude futures were down $2.81, or 3.6%, to $74.65 per barrel at 0640 GMT, having dropped earlier to $74.26, its lowest since Oct. 2, Reuters reported.

US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $2.72, or 3.7%, to $71.11 per barrel. The contract fell as low as $70.75, its weakest since Oct. 3.

Both benchmarks had settled about 2% lower on Monday. They are down almost $5 so far this week, nearly wiping out cumulative gains made in the seven sessions up to last Friday when investors were concerned about supply risks as Israel planned to retaliate against a missile attack from Iran.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the US that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the Washington Post reported late on Monday.

"Weakening demand has led to traders withdrawing the 'war premium' from prices," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

"However, geopolitics still continues to support oil at this level. Without geopolitics in the equation, oil would have tumbled even more, maybe even below $70 per barrel mark amid the current weakening demand narrative."

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Monday cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024, with China accounting for the bulk of the downgrade. China's demand is now seen growing by 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year, down from 650,000 bpd.

OPEC also lowered its global oil demand growth projection for next year to 1.64 million bpd from 1.74 million bpd.

China's customs data showed that September oil imports fell from a year earlier, as plants curbed purchases because of weak domestic fuel demand and narrowing export margins.

Independent market analyst Tina Teng said that while the demand outlook remains weak due to record high US production and soft Chinese demand, "oil retreated from the Middle East-tension-led surge as the market reaction may have been overdone."



Madinah Investment Forum to Kick Off on Sunday

Madinah Investment Forum to Kick Off on Sunday
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Madinah Investment Forum to Kick Off on Sunday

Madinah Investment Forum to Kick Off on Sunday

The Madinah Investment Forum, organized by Al-Madinah Al-Munawwarah Chamber under the theme "Invest in Madinah", will start on Sunday and run for two days.
The forum consists of a diverse range of programs, events, and four specialized dialogue sessions focusing on key aspects of the national investment strategy. It will host 18 speakers and more than 40 entities, and present 200 investment opportunities, valued at over SAR57 billion, in more than ten targeted sectors, SPA reported.
The event will highlight Madinah's significant achievements and showcase development and investment projects in the region. It will explore promising investment sectors, comparative and competitive advantages, and the region's potential to support investment growth. Key areas of focus include hospitality, logistics, agriculture, and real estate.
The forum's objectives include identifying investment opportunities in Madinah, fostering investment partnerships, attracting new investments, and introducing financing solutions and business sector services for major development projects.
The event is aimed at a broad audience, including local and international investors, government agencies, development organizations, private sector representatives, investment agencies, financial institutions, consulting firms, and professional service providers.