Oil Slumps More than 4% after Iran Downplays Israeli Strikes

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
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Oil Slumps More than 4% after Iran Downplays Israeli Strikes

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo

Oil prices tumbled more than $3 a barrel on Monday after Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran over the weekend bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear facilities and did not disrupt energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit their lowest levels since Oct. 1 at the open. By 0750 GMT, Brent was at $72.92 a barrel, down $3.13, or 4.1%, while WTI slipped $3.15, or 4.4%, to $68.63 a barrel, Reuters said.
The benchmarks gained 4% last week in volatile trade as markets priced in uncertainty around the extent of Israel's response to the Iranian missile attack on Oct. 1 and the US election next month.
Scores of Israeli jets completed three waves of strikes before dawn on Saturday against missile factories and other sites near Tehran and in western Iran, in the latest exchange in the escalating conflict between the Middle Eastern rivals.
The geopolitical risk premium that had built in oil prices in anticipation of Israel's retaliatory attack came off, analysts said.
"The more limited nature of the strikes, including avoiding oil infrastructure, have raised hopes for a de-escalatory pathway, which has seen the risk premium come off a few dollars a barrel," Saul Kavonic, a Sydney-based energy analyst at MST Marquee, said.
"The market will be watching closely for confirmation Iran won't counter attack in the coming weeks, which could see the risk premium rise again."
Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar expects market attention to turn to ceasefire talks between Israel and Iran-backed militant group Hamas that resumed over the weekend.
"Despite Israel’s choice of a low aggression response to Iran, we have doubts that Israel and Iran’s proxies (i.e. Hamas and Hezbollah) are on track for an enduring ceasefire," he said in a note.
Citi lowered its Brent price target in the next three months to $70 a barrel from $74, factoring in a lower risk premium in the near term, its analysts led by Max Layton said in a note.
Analyst Tim Evans at US-based Evans Energy said in a note: "We think this leaves the market at least somewhat undervalued, with some risk OPEC+ producers may push back the planned increase in output targets beyond December."
In October, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, kept their oil output policy unchanged including a plan to start raising output from December. The group will meet on Dec. 1 ahead of a full meeting of OPEC+.



Saudi Arabia Strengthening Economic Transformation Plan, Finance Minister Says

Saudi Flag / File/Reuters
Saudi Flag / File/Reuters
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Saudi Arabia Strengthening Economic Transformation Plan, Finance Minister Says

Saudi Flag / File/Reuters
Saudi Flag / File/Reuters

Saudi Arabia is strengthening its commitment to a plan designed to wean the economy off oil, its finance minister said on Wednesday.

Mohammed Al Jadaan was addressing the second day of the Future Investment Initiative (FII) conference in Riyadh, which is hosting top global business, technology and financial leaders.

"Overall, I think we are very, very excited and happy with what we have achieved in the Saudi 'Vision 2030', but we are not complacent. We are doubling down, making sure that we do the right thing," the finance minister said.

In one deal signed during the conference, PIF will be an anchor investor in a new $2 billion Middle East-focused private equity fund from Canada's Brookfield Asset Management, which it plans to use for investments in sectors such as industrials, technology and healthcare, Reuters reported.

At least half of the capital will be invested in Saudi Arabia and international companies that are looking to expand in the Kingdom, the two companies said in a joint statement on Wednesday.

Jerry Inzerillo, CEO of Diriyah, a $64 billion "giga-project" located at a UNESCO World Heritage site outside the capital Riyadh, told the audience at FII that the project was "on time and on budget" and that its value and assets could rise to "well over" $100 billion by 2030.

"We are having a great FII because we closed so many deals here," Inzerillo added.

Jadaan told the audience on Wednesday investors were confident in the kingdom's plans.

"I really did not come here for Saudi Vision promises. I came here for what Saudi Vision delivered," Jadaan quoted a "prominent" investor attending the event as telling him.