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Oil Prices Rise on Optimism Over Solid US Fuel Demand

FILE PHOTO: A pump jack drills oil crude from the Yates Oilfield in West Texas’s Permian Basin, as a 1.5MW GE wind turbine from the Desert Sky Wind Farm is seen in the distance, near Iraan, Texas, US, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack drills oil crude from the Yates Oilfield in West Texas’s Permian Basin, as a 1.5MW GE wind turbine from the Desert Sky Wind Farm is seen in the distance, near Iraan, Texas, US, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
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Oil Prices Rise on Optimism Over Solid US Fuel Demand

FILE PHOTO: A pump jack drills oil crude from the Yates Oilfield in West Texas’s Permian Basin, as a 1.5MW GE wind turbine from the Desert Sky Wind Farm is seen in the distance, near Iraan, Texas, US, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack drills oil crude from the Yates Oilfield in West Texas’s Permian Basin, as a 1.5MW GE wind turbine from the Desert Sky Wind Farm is seen in the distance, near Iraan, Texas, US, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo

Oil prices edged up on Thursday, extending the previous day's rally, driven by optimism over US fuel demand following an unexpected drop in crude and gasoline inventories, while reports that OPEC+ may delay a planned output increase offered support.
Brent crude futures gained 11 cents, or 0.15%, to $72.66 a barrel by 0805 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 13 cents, or 0.19%, to $68.74 per barrel.
Both contracts rose more than 2% on Wednesday, after falling more than 6% earlier in the week on the reduced risk of a wider Middle East conflict. US gasoline stockpiles fell unexpectedly in the week ending Oct. 25 to a two-year low on strengthened demand, the Energy Information Administration said, while crude inventories also posted a surprise drawdown as imports slipped. Nine analysts polled by Reuters had expected an increase in gasoline and crude inventories.
"The surprise decline in US gasoline stockpiles provided a buying opportunity as demand appeared stronger than anticipated," said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities.
"Expectations of a potential delay in the OPEC+ production increase were also supportive... If they do delay, WTI could recover to the $70 level," he said. Reuters reported OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, could delay a planned oil production increase in December by a month or more because of concern over soft oil demand and rising supply. The group is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. It had already delayed the increase from October because of falling prices.
A decision to postpone the increase could come as early as next week, two OPEC+ sources told Reuters.
OPEC+ is scheduled to meet on Dec. 1 to decide its next policy steps.
Manufacturing activity in China, the world's biggest oil importer, expanded in October for the first time in six months, suggesting that stimulus measures are having an effect. Markets are awaiting the results of the US presidential election on Nov. 5 as well as further details of China's economic stimulus. Reuters reported that China could approve the issuance of over 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) in debt over the next few years on the last day of its Nov. 4-8 parliamentary meeting. In the Middle East, Lebanon's prime minister expressed hope on Wednesday that a ceasefire deal with Israel would be announced within days as Israel's public broadcaster published what it said was a draft agreement providing for an initial 60-day truce. The push for a ceasefire for Lebanon is taking place alongside a similar diplomatic drive to end hostilities in Gaza.
But the market impact is likely to be muted.
"Most of the Middle East geopolitical risk was stripped out of the oil price after Israel's response to Iran over the weekend," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.
Iran said that Israeli strikes on Saturday, in retaliation for Iran's Oct. 1 attack on Israel, caused only limited damage.

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Al-Khateeb: Saudi Arabia Plays Pivotal Role in Development of Responsible, Sustainable Global Tourism

Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Al-Khateeb: Saudi Arabia Plays Pivotal Role in Development of Responsible, Sustainable Global Tourism

Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb emphasized that Saudi Arabia plays a central role in leading the development of responsible and sustainable global tourism.

“During our presidency of the G20 in 2020, we emphasized the establishment of the G20 Tourism Working Group, which has since created a comprehensive framework to drive flourishing, inclusive tourism that prioritizes the environment and encourages cooperation among nations and with the private sector,” he said.

In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Al-Khateeb discussed the recent G20 tourism meeting in Brazil, noting a report from the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC), sponsored by Saudi Arabia, which highlighted the ongoing impact of COVID-19, particularly on women and young workers.

“The study, covering 185 countries, showcased creative initiatives, including those in Saudi Arabia, that address these issues and provide inspiration for G20 members and beyond,” the minister remarked.

Saudi Arabia has achieved top global rankings, marking the highest growth in international tourist numbers and tourism revenue among G20 countries in 2024 compared to 2019, outperforming other countries based on available data.

The minister affirmed that tourism is a key driver in the transformation underway in Saudi Arabia as part of Vision 2030, which has opened the Kingdom to the world.

“With our private sector partners, we will have invested $800 billion in this sector by the end of the decade, creating some of the world’s most advanced, innovative cities, resorts, and cultural sites. These developments embrace sustainability, aiding Saudi Arabia in its goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2060,” he added.

He highlighted significant investments in infrastructure, including new and renovated airports, along with hosting major global sports and entertainment events.

“Our focus on tourism is driving notable economic, social, and cultural change. By the end of 2023, the tourism sector employed 925,500 people, a 62% increase compared to the end of 2019. Our investments in tourism destinations across the Kingdom are creating opportunities for both large and small communities,” he said.

Al-Khateeb stressed that tourism is a vital sector for the evolving Saudi economy, with preliminary estimates of its direct contribution to the Kingdom’s GDP at 4.4% in 2023, up from 3.6% in 2019. “Our goal is to reach 10% by 2030,” he said. “In 2023, we met our initial target of welcoming 100 million tourists to Saudi Arabia, seven years ahead of the 2030 goal, and we have now set a new target of 150 million tourists by the end of the decade.”

He noted that Saudi Arabia ranked 12th globally in 2023 in terms of international tourism revenue, rising 15 places since 2019, with tourists spending SAR141 billion ($38 billion).

Tourists benefit from investments in infrastructure and connectivity that make travel within Saudi Arabia easier and faster. The electronic visa program now covers 66 countries, facilitating smoother travel to the Kingdom.

“Saudi Arabia is at the forefront of integrating artificial intelligence in the tourism sector,” he continued. “In addition to designing customized experiences for tourists, Saudi Arabia recently hosted the Global AI Summit, a gathering of AI experts, policymakers, and influencers from around the world.”

The Minister reiterated Saudi Arabia’s commitment to ensuring a rewarding experience for pilgrims, with over SAR5.9 billion ($1.3 billion) invested in improving infrastructure at holy sites.

“We have introduced new tourist visa regulations and a smart Hajj identity, providing pilgrims with accessible information,” he added.

On Saudi Arabia’s role in transforming tourism into a driving force for inclusive development, Al-Khateeb said: “Tourism in Saudi Arabia is bringing about significant societal changes, creating opportunities, especially in empowering women and youth.”

By the end of 2023, women’s participation in the tourism sector reached 46%, with more than 925,000 employees, he underlined. The Ministry of Tourism has also launched initiatives investing over SAR375 million ($100 million) in human capital, in collaboration with top international colleges and schools to enhance the skills of Saudi trainees in the tourism sector.

He emphasized Saudi Arabia’s vision of tourism as a primary force for social change globally, promoting “greater tolerance, acceptance, and collaboration among the world’s peoples.”

Al-Khateeb anticipates significant growth in the travel and tourism sector over the next decade, with an estimated value of $16 trillion, accounting for 11.4% of the global economy, according to the WTTC.

He concluded by stating that Saudi Arabia is a global leader in achieving these goals, fostering partnerships between the public sector and governments worldwide, and encouraging knowledge sharing and innovation.

“We are proud of our pioneering work with various international organizations, including the G20, the United Nations World Tourism Organization, and the World Economic Forum, and we are committed to building a bright and lasting legacy for global tourism,” the minister stated.