Banking and Energy Sectors Bolster Saudi Market, Index Poised for Further Gains

An investor stands in front of a screen displaying information from the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) in Riyadh (Reuters).
An investor stands in front of a screen displaying information from the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) in Riyadh (Reuters).
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Banking and Energy Sectors Bolster Saudi Market, Index Poised for Further Gains

An investor stands in front of a screen displaying information from the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) in Riyadh (Reuters).
An investor stands in front of a screen displaying information from the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) in Riyadh (Reuters).

Strong financial results and profits from the banking sector and energy companies have fueled significant gains in the Saudi stock market during recent trading sessions.

The market index closed on Wednesday at 12,149.19 points, a slight decline of 0.36%, with trading volumes reaching SAR 6 billion. This followed a notable rise on Tuesday, when the index closed at 12,193.64 points, marking its highest level in over two months.

On Wednesday, the market saw 620 million shares traded across more than 480,000 transactions, with shares of 90 companies increasing in value, while 138 companies recorded declines.

The biggest gainers included GO Telecom, Sumou, Dallah Healthcare, Al Akaria, and Seerah, while the largest decliners were Jahez, Anaam Holding, Banan, Zamil Industrial, and ACWA Power, with price changes ranging between +3.36% and -7.16%.

The most active stocks by trading volume were Anaam Holding, Al Baha, Shams, Jahez, and Americana, while the highest by trading value were Jahez, Saudi Aramco, Al Rajhi Bank, Anaam Holding, and SABIC.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Dr. Suleiman Al-Humaid Al-Khalidi, a financial market analyst and member of the Saudi Economic Association, said the banking and energy sectors have been critical to stabilizing the Saudi market index at the 12,000-point range.

“The banking sector in the Saudi stock market ranks among the most profitable globally and remains a major pillar of support for the index,” he said. He also highlighted the energy sector’s importance, particularly Saudi Aramco, with expectations for increased dividend payouts exceeding SAR 1.96 per share this year.

Al-Khalidi predicted that the market index would continue its upward trend over the remaining 14 trading sessions of the year, potentially reaching 12,800 points, and exceeding 13,500 points early in 2025. He added that ongoing positive economic developments would further support the market’s growth trajectory.

He pointed to robust economic indicators, including 2.8% GDP growth in Q3 of 2024 and a projected 4.8% growth in 2025. He also emphasized Saudi Arabia’s ambitious SAR 1.1 trillion budget and SAR 1.2 trillion expenditures, crediting government fiscal policies for creating an attractive environment for economic growth and investment.

Saudi Arabia has also become a global hub for economic, tourism, and investment activities, with the current market investment value reaching approximately $400 billion, aligned with the nation’s goal of $3 trillion in market investments.

For his part, financial market expert Ubaid Al-Muqati highlighted the growing interest in the Saudi stock market among both local and international investors, driven by the strength of the Saudi economy and strong corporate profitability.

He noted that the accumulation of value at lower price levels has stimulated activity in the TASI index, fostering daily speculative trading and generating steady returns. These gains, in turn, create periodic price peaks and troughs for stocks.

Al-Muqati explained that the market operates in cyclical waves, with both upward and downward movements. Over the past two months, the index corrected from a peak of 12,390 points to a support level of 11,590 points, losing approximately 1,000 points in the process. However, the index has since regained these points during the last 10 trading sessions.



Trump’s Copper, Aluminium Tariffs May Raise Costs for US Consumers 

President Donald Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One en route from Miami to Joint Base Andrews, Md., Monday, Jan. 27, 2025. (AP)
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One en route from Miami to Joint Base Andrews, Md., Monday, Jan. 27, 2025. (AP)
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Trump’s Copper, Aluminium Tariffs May Raise Costs for US Consumers 

President Donald Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One en route from Miami to Joint Base Andrews, Md., Monday, Jan. 27, 2025. (AP)
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One en route from Miami to Joint Base Andrews, Md., Monday, Jan. 27, 2025. (AP)

President Donald Trump's vow of tariffs on US copper and aluminium imports would result in higher costs for local consumers because of a shortfall of domestic production and the length of time it would take to renew the industry, analysts and industry participants said on Tuesday.

In a speech to Republican lawmakers on Monday, Trump said he would impose the tariffs on aluminium and copper - metals that are needed to produce US military hardware - as well as steel, to entice producers to make them in the United States.

"We have to bring production back to our country," he said.

Trump won the US presidency in November vowing to lower costs for consumers still smarting from an inflation surge in the first half of his predecessor Joe Biden's term. However, analysts argue his plan for tariffs on imports to bolster the country's manufacturing sector, another of his promises, may undercut his price-cutting pledge.

It was not clear how broadly the tariffs could be applied, but several mining CEOs have previously said they are preparing for different scenarios as markets brace for a potential change to trade flows.

"There’s a few unknowns here. Will these tariffs be enacted, and at what scale, and who will pay? Ultimately, they generally get paid by the consumer particularly in the case where there’s no domestic substitute," said analyst Daniel Morgan at Sydney investment bank Barrenjoey.

US aluminium and copper smelters have been closing and would need new infrastructure and power contracts to restart, among other measures, all of which take time, he said.

Aluminium producers in Canada such as Rio Tinto and Alcoa would be unlikely to take revenue hits, instead the costs would likely be rolled to automakers who would then pass them to US consumers, he added. Rio Tinto declined to comment.

An Alcoa spokesperson pointed to comments from CEO William Oplinger from a results call last week that flagged the potential for "wide ranging effects on supply, demand and trade flows". He estimated that a 25% tariff on current Canadian export volumes to the US could represent $1.5 billion to $2 billion of additional annual costs for US customers.

An executive at India's top mining lobby group noted the US is the biggest export market for its aluminium, and it expects India's government to take action by convincing Trump not to issue any levies.

"If Trump imposes tariffs, it will have an adverse impact particularly on aluminium because Europe is already on path to impose a carbon tax and the UK might do it too," said B.K. Bhatia, additional secretary general at the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries.

On copper, John Fennell, CEO of the International Copper Association Australia said any tariff on imports to the US would impact its industry given the country is a net copper importer, although it may speed the development of new mines such as Rio Tinto's Resolution in Arizona.

"This could be good for new mines like Resolution but that is many years off, and the pain would be felt by local manufacturers paying the tariffs in the interim," he said.

Freeport-McMoRan CEO Kathleen Quirk said last week that the miner would not be affected by any copper tariffs as they sell all their US copper domestically and their Indonesian metal goes to Asia. But she worried about any potential inflationary effects of copper tariffs.

In Japan, the world's third-largest steel maker, steel and aluminium tariffs during Trump’s previous term had a limited impact, noted Tomomichi Akuta, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting.

"The majority of Japan's steel exports are value-added specialty products. And since value-added products were excluded, we expect a similar approach this time. These value-added products are difficult to substitute, making them less likely to be targeted," Akuta said.