Saudi Arabia Raises its Non-Oil Economic Growth Forecast to 6.2% in 2026

 A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Raises its Non-Oil Economic Growth Forecast to 6.2% in 2026

 A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia has raised its forecast for non-oil economic growth in 2026 to 6.2%, marking a jump from previous estimates of 5%.

Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim revealed that the Kingdom is targeting 4.8% non-oil economic growth in 2024, increasing to 6.2% by 2026, while emphasizing the long-term importance of investing in human capital.

Speaking during a panel discussion titled “The Future of Growth” at the World Economic Forum 2025 in Davos, Alibrahim stated that economic transformation and sustainable growth require bold, inclusive leadership and a long-term vision. He cited Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 as a model for reducing dependency on oil and diversifying investment portfolios.

Global economic growth rates currently stand at 3.2–3.3%, significantly below the historical average of 4%, he noted.

He stressed the importance of building institutional capacities and investing in human capital as foundational elements for sustainable economic growth, emphasizing that these factors are essential for any successful economic strategy.

On US economic policies with Donald Trump returning for a second term as president, the minister stated they would not have an immediate impact on the global economy, as they involve long-term restructuring. He added that Saudi Arabia maintains strong relations with the United States.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan reiterated the need to improve global methodologies for measuring gross national income (GNI) to better reflect the realities of emerging economies. He emphasized that enhancing measurement frameworks would improve the efficiency of international institutions, support sustainable development in emerging markets, and contribute to global economic equity.

Meanwhile, Saudi Tourism Minister Ahmed Al-Khateeb outlined plans to transform Riyadh into a global business hub by hosting around 25 major international conferences, including the Future Investment Initiative and the LEAP Technology Conference.

Al-Khateeb also announced the launch of the largest travel and tourism event of its kind, set to take place in November. He invited global stakeholders to participate, describing the forum as a significant attraction for the international tourism sector.

Speaking during a panel discussion titled “The Role of Tourism and Travel in Building Trust” at Davos, Al-Khateeb highlighted the rapid growth of Saudi Arabia’s travel and tourism sector, which outpaced global growth rates last year with an increase of over 70%, the highest among G20 nations.

This growth, he explained, is linked to Saudi Arabia’s efforts to open its borders to encourage tourism, a key part of Vision 2030, which aims to diversify the Kingdom’s economy.

The minister noted that Saudi Arabia offers a wide range of attractions, from the scenic mountains of the south to the Red Sea coastline in the west. He emphasized that the Kingdom is investing in human capital to strengthen the sector, pointing to the ambition of young Saudis eager to join the tourism industry.



Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders remained cautious ahead of US tariffs due to be announced at 2000 GMT, fearing they could exacerbate a global trade war and dampen demand for crude.

Brent futures were down 7 cents, or 0.09%, at $74.42 a barrel by 0858 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents, or 0.07%, to $71.15.

The White House confirmed on Tuesday that President Donald Trump will impose new tariffs on Wednesday, though it provided no detail on the size and scope of the trade barriers, according to Reuters.

Trump's tariff policies could stoke inflation, slow economic growth and escalate trade disputes.

"Crude prices have paused last month's rally, with Brent finding some resistance above $75, with the focus for now turning from a sanctions-led reduction in supply to Trump's tariff announcement and its potential negative impact on growth and demand," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Traders will be watching for levies on crude imports, potentially driving up prices of refined products, he added.

For weeks Trump has touted April 2 as "Liberation Day", bringing new duties that could rattle the global trade system.

The White House announcement is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (2000 GMT).

"The balance of risk lies to the downside, given that weaker than expected tariff measures are unlikely to drive a significant rally in Brent, while stronger than expected measures could trigger a substantial selloff," BMI analysts said in a note.

Trump has also threatened to impose secondary tariffs on Russian oil and on Monday he ramped up sanctions on Iran as part of his administration's "maximum pressure" campaign to cut its exports.

"Markets likely to be volatile ahead of the final announcements on tariffs and the scale of them. The threat of secondary tariffs on Russian crude continues to provide some support for prices, with more downside risk at present around tariff uncertainty," said Panmure Liberum analyst Ashley Kelty.

US oil and fuel inventories painted a mixed picture of supply and demand in the world's biggest producer and consumer.

US crude oil inventories rose by 6 million barrels in the week ended March 28, according to sources citing the American Petroleum Institute. Gasoline inventories, however, fell by 1.6 million barrels and distillate stocks were down by 11,000 barrels, the sources said.

Official US crude oil inventory data from the Energy Information Administration is due later on Wednesday.