Dollar Slips again on Caution over US Economy

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
TT

Dollar Slips again on Caution over US Economy

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The dollar slipped on Tuesday after declining for a week, weighed down by the Federal Reserve's caution over the economy and as US lawmakers came closer to passing a bill expected to widen the nation's fiscal deficit.

The greenback sold off broadly on Monday following last week's downgrade of the US sovereign rating by Moody's on deficit concerns. Now attention turns to a critical vote in Washington over US President Donald Trump's sweeping tax cuts.

Dollar selling continued on Tuesday, leaving the US currency down 0.35% against the yen at 144.305 hitting a fresh 12-day low. The euro rose 0.14% to $1.1259, and the Swiss franc strengthened, pushing the dollar down 0.2% to 0.83280 francs, Reuters reported.

Bucking the trend was the Australian dollar which edged lower after the Reserve Bank of Australia's cut benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points and left the door open to further easing in the months ahead. It was last down 0.59% to $0.64195, trimming a 0.8% gain on Monday.

"Ultimately, the RBA's statement does not indicate that it is considering pausing or ending the interest rate cycle. This is why the AUD took a slight hit this morning," Antje Praefcke, FX Analyst at Commerzbank, wrote in a note.

But traders remain focused on the US, with Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic telling CNBC on Monday the U.S. central bank may only be able to cut interest rates by a quarter point over the rest of the year given concerns about rising inflation stoked by higher tariffs.

Trump is expected to join the congressional debate over his tax bill on Tuesday. The vote comes after Moody's stripped the US government of its top-tier credit rating, citing concerns over the nation's growing $36.2 trillion debt pile.

"The market is still very wary of the lack of austerity coming from the fiscal side in the US" said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank.

"We think that is potentially a driver for dollar weakness over the coming quarters as the market is likely to demand a higher premium to lend money to the US," he added.

Trump's bill would add $3 trillion to $5 trillion to the debt, according to nonpartisan analysts. Ballooning fiscal debt, trade frictions, and weakened confidence have weighed on US assets. The US dollar index has tumbled as much as 10.6% from its January highs, one of the sharpest retreats for a three-month period.

The dollar got a breather after Trump paused many of the largest tariffs he announced last month. But comments from Japan's top trade envoy on Tuesday that Tokyo was firm in its anti-tariff stance pointed to no easy off-ramp in the negotiations in the weeks and months ahead.

And in the wake of Trump's tariff turmoil, Britain on Monday agreed to the most significant reset of defence and trade ties with the European Union since Brexit

The pound was last up 0.16% at 1.33840 having risen 0.6% on Monday.

"Optimism surrounding key UK economic data and a major political breakthrough has fuelled sterling’s gains alongside broad-based dollar weakness," wrote George Vessey, lead FX and macro strategist at Convera.

Elsewhere, the Chinese yuan weakened against the as China cut key benchmark lending rates while corporate seasonal demand for dollars remained high.



Iran's Currency Sinks to a New Record Low

FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
TT

Iran's Currency Sinks to a New Record Low

FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS

Iran's currency slipped to the lowest level in its history on Monday, nearing 1,250,000 rial to the US dollar on the open rate market, various outlets including the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported.

The Iranian rial stood around 55,000 to the US dollar in 2018, when US sanctions were reimposed by the first Trump administration to force Tehran to the negotiating table by limiting its oil exports and access to foreign currency.

Iranian media blamed the government's recent economic liberalization policies for adding pressure to the open rate market, Reuters.

The open rate market is where ordinary Iranians buy foreign currency, whereas businesses typically use state-regulated rates.

However, the government's recent decision to allow importers to tap into the open market to import essential goods has added pressure on the market and increased the dollar's price, semi-official Fars news agency said.

Iran's economy is at risk of recession, with the World Bank forecasting an economic shrinkage of 1.7% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2026. The risk is compounded by rising inflation, with Iran's Statistical Center announcing monthly inflation of 48.6% in October, the highest in 40 months. Despite inflationary pressures, Iran said last month it would increase fuel prices in December under certain conditions, primarily impacting drivers using more than 100 liters per month.


Gold Rises on Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Weaker Dollar

A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
TT

Gold Rises on Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Weaker Dollar

A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)

Gold prices rose on Monday, driven by growing expectations of a US interest rate cut that pressured the dollar, ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting this week.

Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,209.43 per ounce by 0851 GMT. US gold futures for December delivery fell 0.1% to $4,239.40 per ounce.

The dollar index edged lower, hovering near the one-month low reached on December 4, making dollar-priced gold more affordable for overseas buyers.

"Gold is benefiting from a weaker U.S. dollar and market participants expecting the Fed to cut interest rates this week," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Data last week showed that US consumer spending grew moderately in September. That reflected a slowdown in economic momentum amid rising costs and weakness in the labor market as private payrolls saw their steepest decline in over two-and-a-half years in November.

According to CME's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed's December 9-10 policy meeting, following the release of weak economic data and dovish remarks from several Fed officials.

Lower interest rates typically bolster demand for non-yielding assets like gold.

"We still look for more rate cuts next year, which should push gold to $4,500/oz next year," added Staunovo.

Silver was up 0.3% at $58.43 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $59.32 on Friday.

"Silver is benefiting from the same factor as gold. Additionally the expectation of improving industrial demand as a result of monetary and fiscal stimulus helped silver to outperform gold in recent weeks," Staunovo said.

The white metal has doubled in price this year, driven by supply deficits and its designation as a critical mineral by the US.

Elsewhere, platinum gained 0.6% to $1,650.90 and palladium rose 1% to $1,471.26.


Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port
TT

Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) signed a contract with Arabian Agricultural Services Company (ARASCO) to establish a logistics center for storage and distribution at King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

Valued at SAR200 million, the center will span 40,000 square meters and aims to bolster food security in the Kingdom while increasing port capacity.

The move aligns with the objectives of the National Transport and Logistics Strategy to solidify the Kingdom's position as a global logistics hub.

The contract further strengthens Mawani’s ongoing efforts to boost the efficiency of national supply chains and optimize operations at King Abdulaziz Port.

The investment is designed to bolster King Abdulaziz Port's capabilities in grain unloading and storage by constructing warehouses capable of handling up to 100,000 metric tons.