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UN's FAO: World Food Prices Dip in May

A woman sells dried foods at a street market in Hanoi, Vietnam, 06 June 2025. EPA/LUONG THAI LINH
A woman sells dried foods at a street market in Hanoi, Vietnam, 06 June 2025. EPA/LUONG THAI LINH
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UN's FAO: World Food Prices Dip in May

A woman sells dried foods at a street market in Hanoi, Vietnam, 06 June 2025. EPA/LUONG THAI LINH
A woman sells dried foods at a street market in Hanoi, Vietnam, 06 June 2025. EPA/LUONG THAI LINH

Global food commodity prices declined in May, driven by marked drops in cereal, sugar, and vegetable oil prices, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in a basket of internationally traded food commodities, averaged 127.7 points in May, reflecting a 0.8% decrease from the April figure.

The May reading was up 6% from a year earlier but over 20% below a March 2022 peak following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine that started a devastating war between two of the world's leading grains producers.

The FAO cereal price index fell 1.8% month-on-month, led by a sharp drop in global maize prices. Strong harvests and ample supplies in Argentina and Brazil, along with expectations of a record crop in the United States, weighed on prices, Reuters reported.

Wheat prices edged lower due to improved crop conditions in the northern hemisphere.

By contrast, rice prices rose 1.4%, supported by firm demand for fragrant varieties and currency movements.

Vegetable oil prices declined 3.7% from April, with declines across all major oils. Palm oil prices fell due to seasonal output increases in Southeast Asia. Soy oil prices dropped on higher South American supplies and weak demand for biofuel.

Rapeseed oil eased on improved European Union supply prospects, while sunflower oil declined amid weak global demand.

The FAO sugar price index decreased by 2.6%, reflecting concerns over the global economic outlook, weaker demand from food and beverage industries, and expectations of a production recovery next season.

Meat prices rose 1.3% from April. Beef, pork and sheep meat prices increased, with beef reaching a record high. Poultry prices declined, pressured by surplus supplies in Brazil following import restrictions linked to a bird flu outbreak.

The FAO dairy price index rose 0.8%, supported by strong demand from Asia. Butter prices remained at historic highs, while cheese and whole milk powder prices also increased.

In a separate report, the FAO forecast record global cereal production of 2.911 billion metric tons in 2025, up from 2.848 billion in its previous estimate and 2.1% above 2024.

With production expected to surpass consumption, global cereal stocks are anticipated to grow by 1.0%, partially recovering from last year's contraction. 

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Trump Threatens 100% Tax on European Imports if Countries Impose Tax on Digital Services

US President Donald Trump speaks at a rally to kick off the 16-day Great American State Fair as part of Washington, DC's celebration of the nation's 250th birthday, on the National Mall in Washington, DC, USA, 24 June 2026. (EPA)
US President Donald Trump speaks at a rally to kick off the 16-day Great American State Fair as part of Washington, DC's celebration of the nation's 250th birthday, on the National Mall in Washington, DC, USA, 24 June 2026. (EPA)
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Trump Threatens 100% Tax on European Imports if Countries Impose Tax on Digital Services

US President Donald Trump speaks at a rally to kick off the 16-day Great American State Fair as part of Washington, DC's celebration of the nation's 250th birthday, on the National Mall in Washington, DC, USA, 24 June 2026. (EPA)
US President Donald Trump speaks at a rally to kick off the 16-day Great American State Fair as part of Washington, DC's celebration of the nation's 250th birthday, on the National Mall in Washington, DC, USA, 24 June 2026. (EPA)

President Donald Trump on Friday threatened a 100% tax on imports from any country that imposes a tax on digital services from United States companies.

In a post on social media, Trump took aim at European countries that he said are discussing “imminent” implementation of taxes on American companies.

“Please let this statement serve to represent that any Country that imposes such a Tax will immediately be met with a 100% TARIFF on any and all Goods sent to the United States of America,” Trump wrote.

He added that the new tax would supersede any previously negotiated trade deals. Trump said the penalty would apply to any country that moves forward with such a tax, but he singled out European nations in his post.

Trump has repeatedly pushed against foreign efforts to tax or regulate American tech giants. Last year he threatened new tariffs on any country that moved to do so. A post from last August said that digital taxes and regulation “are all designed to harm, or discriminate against, American Technology.”

Business

US Goods Trade Deficit Hits 14-month High in May as Imports Surge

APM Terminals' facility at the Port of Los Angeles in California. (Reuters)
APM Terminals' facility at the Port of Los Angeles in California. (Reuters)
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US Goods Trade Deficit Hits 14-month High in May as Imports Surge

APM Terminals' facility at the Port of Los Angeles in California. (Reuters)
APM Terminals' facility at the Port of Los Angeles in California. (Reuters)

The US trade deficit in goods swelled to a 14-month high in May as businesses boosted imports, likely to avoid shortages and higher prices related to the Middle East conflict, suggesting trade remained a drag on economic growth in the second quarter.

The sharp deterioration in the goods trade deficit reported by the Commerce Department on Friday also reflected a decline in exports.

Recent business surveys have shown front-loading of orders by firms. Sponsors of the surveys attributed the behavior to the US-led war against Iran, which raised commodity prices, including for oil and fertilizers, and disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

But after the United States and Iran last week signed a preliminary peace deal, shipments through the strait have picked up, driving oil prices sharply lower. Even if supply chains returned to normal, economists warned that the trade deficit would likely remain elevated because of an artificial intelligence investment boom that is largely reliant on imports.

"The widening trade deficit is bad news for national income growth, and it suggests that net exports might drag down real GDP growth too," said Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics. "The AI boom had better generate a corresponding increase in services exports to offset the influx of equipment. If it doesn't, then this AI bubble is a losing proposition for the economy."

The goods trade gap increased 27.4% to $105.8 billion last month, the highest level since March 2025, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the deficit at $85.0 billion.

Imports of goods increased $10.9 billion, or 3.6% to $313.4 billion, also a 14-month high. They were driven by a 6.3% surge in imports of automotive vehicles. Imports of consumer goods soared 5.7%. Despite high inflation, mostly stemming from the Iran war, consumer spending has remained strong, thanks to large tax refunds this year and a stock market rally.

BROAD INCREASE IN IMPORTS

Imports of industrial supplies, which include petroleum, increased 4.8%. Capital goods imports rose 0.4%. They surged 41.9% on a year-on-year basis, reflecting the AI spending spree.

Imports of foods, feeds and beverages increased 4.3%, while those of other goods advanced 11.5%. Overall imports have remained high despite tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.

Goods exports dropped $11.8 billion, or 5.4%, to $207.7 billion in May. They were weighed down by a 9.2% plunge in exports of consumer goods. Industrial supplies exports tumbled 7.0%, while those of capital goods dropped 5.0%. Exports of other goods decreased 6.8%. But food, feed and beverage exports increased 3.9%. Automotive vehicle exports rose 0.5%.

"Imports are moving sharply higher and this will subtract from GDP growth this quarter," said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS. "The import drag on domestic economic growth is back because factories here cannot make it here no matter how Washington economic officials try to spin it."

Trade had been a drag on gross domestic product for two straight quarters. Growth estimates for the second quarter were converging around a 2.5% annualized rate before the trade data.

The economy grew at a 2.1% annualized rate last quarter after expanding at a 0.5% pace in the October-December quarter.

Business

Gold Gains as Dollar Weakens; Still on Track for Fourth Straight Weekly Loss

British gold bars and sovereign coins on display in a London shop. (Reuters)
British gold bars and sovereign coins on display in a London shop. (Reuters)
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Gold Gains as Dollar Weakens; Still on Track for Fourth Straight Weekly Loss

British gold bars and sovereign coins on display in a London shop. (Reuters)
British gold bars and sovereign coins on display in a London shop. (Reuters)

Gold edged higher on Friday as the dollar weakened and expectations of US interest rate hikes eased slightly following inflation data, though prices were still on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline. Spot gold was up 0.51% to $4,046.70 per ounce by 9:39 a.m. EDT (1339 GMT).

US gold futures for August delivery rose 0.35% to $4,061.40 per ounce.

The US dollar eased from recent highs after the release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Thursday. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index surged 4.1% in the 12 months through May, matching economists' forecasts in a Reuters poll. Traders are pricing in about a 60% chance of a US rate hike in September, lower than an earlier expectation of 64%, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Gold is seeing a modest rebound after coming under selling pressure earlier this week, said Jim Wyckoff, a market analyst at American Gold Exchange. Higher interest rates and tighter monetary policy reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion, as they tend to boost bond yields and increase returns on interest-bearing assets. Spot gold hit more than a seven-month low earlier this week and prices were down 2.6% for the week.

TD Securities said in a note that, given gold's inverse relationship with both higher oil prices and a stronger US dollar, sustained strength in energy markets could put further downward pressure on the precious metal in the months ahead. Gold started trading at a premium in India this week for the first time in a month and a half, as a price correction lifted buying, while demand stayed subdued in China, the top consumer. Among other precious metals, spot silver rose 0.42% to $58.1109 per ounce.

Platinum gained 0.21% to $1,604.45 and palladium jumped 1.25% to $1,199.25.