Russia is on the Verge of Recession, Says Economy Minister

The Russian flag waving in front of the Kremlin in Moscow, July 1, 2018. (AFP / Yuri Kadobnov)
The Russian flag waving in front of the Kremlin in Moscow, July 1, 2018. (AFP / Yuri Kadobnov)
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Russia is on the Verge of Recession, Says Economy Minister

The Russian flag waving in front of the Kremlin in Moscow, July 1, 2018. (AFP / Yuri Kadobnov)
The Russian flag waving in front of the Kremlin in Moscow, July 1, 2018. (AFP / Yuri Kadobnov)

Russia's economy is on the verge of sliding into recession, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday.

Russia this month cut interest rates for the first time since 2022, easing borrowing costs to 20% from 21%. But for months, businesses have complained of high rates stifling investment and economic growth has started to ease.

"According to the figures, there is a cooling, but all our figures are in the rear-view mirror," Reshetnikov said.

"According to the current feelings of businesses and business indicators, we are already, it seems to me, on the verge of going into recession. On the verge."

At the same session, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina said the current slowdown in GDP growth was "a way out of overheating".

Alexander Vedyakhin, First Deputy CEO of Russia's largest lender Sberbank said in an interview with Reuters this week that tight monetary policy was creating overcooling risks and said much lower interest rates of 12-14% would be acceptable to restart investment lending.

"There is a danger of the economy overcooling and that we will not be able to get out of this dip, and that further growth may be subdued," Vedyakhin said.



UK Unemployment Rises to Near Four-year High

FILE PHOTO: Boats sail on the River Thames near to The Houses of Parliament, in London, Britain, June 9, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Boats sail on the River Thames near to The Houses of Parliament, in London, Britain, June 9, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
TT

UK Unemployment Rises to Near Four-year High

FILE PHOTO: Boats sail on the River Thames near to The Houses of Parliament, in London, Britain, June 9, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Boats sail on the River Thames near to The Houses of Parliament, in London, Britain, June 9, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo

Britain's unemployment rate has edged upwards to remain near a four-year high, official data showed Thursday with businesses hit by a UK tax hike with US tariffs also kicking in.

The rate climbed to 4.7 percent in the three months to the end of May -- the highest level since June 2021 -- the Office for National Statistics said in a statement.

That compared with 4.6 percent in the February-April period, the ONS added.

Thursday's data covers the start of a hike in business tax laid out in the Labour government's inaugural budget last October, AFP reported.

April also saw the beginning of a baseline 10-percent tariff imposed on the UK and other countries by US President Donald Trump.

Thursday's data also revealed slowing growth in average wages, which firmed expectations that the Bank of England will cut its key interest rate next month.

This despite official data Wednesday showing that British inflation jumped unexpectedly to an 18-month high in June.

"Slowing activity in the labor market, coupled with pay pressures easing, will likely prompt the Bank of England to lower interest rates next month," Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, said following the latest unemployment reading.

"With domestic activity remaining sluggish, the... (BoE) will likely want to provide support via looser policy to prevent a more significant deterioration in the labor market."

Recent data showed Britain's economy unexpectedly contracted for a second month running in May, placing strain on Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his government.