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Saudi Arabia's Real Estate Sector Sees Positive Growth Driven by Changing Economic Factors

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia's Real Estate Sector Sees Positive Growth Driven by Changing Economic Factors

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)

Saudi Arabia's real estate sector is experiencing positive growth driven by significant social and economic changes in the Kingdom, according to a recent report by S&P Global.

“Significant social and economic changes are making the Kingdom a major target market for international brands in the fashion, luxury, and food and beverage segments. As a result, demand for premium retail space is increasing,” the report said.

However, S&P Global noted that Saudi Arabia’s retail landscape is expected to face several challenges, including oversupply.

“Saudi retail real estate could face a supply wall. Knight Frank forecasts Riyadh’s supply to grow by 50% by 2027 and Jeddah’s to grow 75% over the same period. This could lead to rental discounts, revenue-sharing lease models, and other incentives to maintain occupancies,” said S&P Global.

In a broader context, the report cautioned that oversupply in the oil market will continue to outweigh slow oil demand growth through 2025 and beyond, and this could negatively impact the level of investment and spending in the region, particularly that Saudi Arabia and its spending on Vision 2030 remain highly dependent on oil prices.

In the Emirates, S&P projected that Dubai and Abu Dhabi are experiencing resilient demand and modest rental growth for retail real estate, with prime super-regional malls continuing to dominate the market, which has led to mall owners expanding their offerings.

Dubai’s commercial real estate sector is booming, as vacancy rates remain at an all-time low of 8.6%, and demand for grade-A offices drives up rentals, S&P Global said.

“Supportive regulations for businesses, dynamic economic environment, and the low tax regime sustains the city’s attractiveness for global businesses and family offices,” said the report.

Despite the positive outlook, the report mentioned challenges linked to the escalated and prolonged geopolitical conflict could lead to an expatriate exodus from the region, severely impacting real estate prices and rents.

Also, it said consumer trends are shifting towards innovative shopping experiences and new brands, which may pose challenges to traditional shopping malls.

The report also noted that while the luxury goods sector benefits from sustained high-end spending, broader consumer budgets are strained by economic uncertainty, high interest rates, and inflation.

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Business

Saudi Stocks Close Higher at 11,122 Points amid Mixed Performance

A market display screen inside the headquarters of the Saudi Tadawul Group in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A market display screen inside the headquarters of the Saudi Tadawul Group in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Stocks Close Higher at 11,122 Points amid Mixed Performance

A market display screen inside the headquarters of the Saudi Tadawul Group in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A market display screen inside the headquarters of the Saudi Tadawul Group in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s main stock index (TASI) ended Sunday’s session up 0.1 percent to close at 11,122 points, with liquidity of about 3.6 billion riyals ($960 million).

Among leading stocks, Al Rajhi Bank rose 1 percent to 69.1 riyals, while SABIC gained 2 percent to 58.4 riyals.

Petro Rabigh topped the list of gainers, rising 10 percent to 12.65 riyals, following the company’s announcement of its first-quarter 2026 financial results.

In contrast, Saudi Aramco, the index’s heaviest-weighted stock, fell 0.22 percent to 27.16 riyals.

Shares of NADEC and Alawwal Bank declined 4 percent each, while Kingdom Holding Company fell 3 percent.

Ban topped the list of decliners, dropping 8 percent.

Business

Saudi Economy Surpasses $1 Trillion Mark, Grows 80% Since Vision 2030’s Launch

The Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business offers support for investors in the local market (SPA)
The Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business offers support for investors in the local market (SPA)
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Saudi Economy Surpasses $1 Trillion Mark, Grows 80% Since Vision 2030’s Launch

The Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business offers support for investors in the local market (SPA)
The Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business offers support for investors in the local market (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s economy has surpassed the $1 trillion mark for the first time, expanding by 80 percent since the launch of Vision 2030, according to the Kingdom’s 2025 Vision 2030 report.

The milestone underscores the impact of fiscal reforms and diversification efforts aimed at reducing dependence on oil. Non-oil activities now account for 55 percent of the economy, up from 45 percent in 2016, while non-oil government revenues have risen more than 170 percent, from SAR185.7 billion ($49.5 billion) in 2016 to SAR505 billion ($134.6 billion) last year.

The report said the gains reflected investment in growth sectors, legal reforms and a more attractive business climate.

Fiscal discipline, rising liquidity

Saudi authorities noted that fiscal policy remained anchored in spending discipline and sustainability, with deficit targets ranging between 5 percent and 7 percent of gross domestic product.

Liquidity reached a record SAR3.167 trillion in 2025, up from about SAR1.799 trillion in 2016.

Officials said expansionary spending had been directed toward strategic sectors linked to economic growth and living standards.

Debt low, reserves rise

Despite higher spending, Saudi Arabia has maintained one of the lowest debt burdens in the G20, with public debt below 50 percent of GDP. Foreign reserves rose to SAR1.7 trillion ($453.3 billion), their highest level in five years.

Real GDP growth accelerated from 1.7 percent in 2016 to 4.5 percent last year, the report said.

Competitiveness gains

Saudi Arabia rose 15 places between 2021 and 2025 in the IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook to rank 17th globally, placing fourth among G20 countries last year.

The government introduced more than 1,000 reforms and 1,200 regulatory measures in recent years, including allowing full foreign ownership in most sectors and implementing a new bankruptcy law. The measures improved transparency, dispute resolution and legal certainty for investors.

Saudi Arabia has also expanded support for small and medium-sized enterprises through Monshaat, the SME Bank and Saudi Venture Capital Company.

The number of SMEs exceeded 1.7 million by the end of 2025, employing around 8.88 million people and contributing 22.9 percent to GDP. More than 474,000 businesses are owned by young Saudis, according to the report.

Growth outlook

The International Monetary Fund projects Saudi growth of 3.1 percent this year and 4.5 percent in 2027. The World Bank forecasts growth of 4.3 percent in 2026 and 4.4 percent next year.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) expects growth of 4 percent this year and 3.6 percent in 2027. For its part, Saudi Arabia’s Finance Ministry forecasts growth of 4.6 percent in 2026 and 3.7 percent next year.

Business

Vision 2030 Redefines Saudi Arabia's Wealth from Oil Supplier to Global Energy Hub

Solar power in Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Solar power in Saudi Arabia (SPA)
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Vision 2030 Redefines Saudi Arabia's Wealth from Oil Supplier to Global Energy Hub

Solar power in Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Solar power in Saudi Arabia (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has chosen to rethink its relationship with its resources, asking a different question: How can we make what we have work to its fullest potential in a rapidly changing world?

This was the essence of Vision 2030, which saw valuable opportunities in diversifying energy sources and maximizing the value of oil and gas to achieve greater prosperity, keeping pace with global environmental changes.

The first clear sign of this shift was the renaming of the Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources to the Ministry of Energy, a clear indication of expanding the horizon from oil and gas alone to a comprehensive energy system that includes renewables at its core.

A Naturally Qualified Land

This choice was not made without study. The Kingdom possesses geographical enablers that give it an exceptional competitive position: a climate conducive to successful solar energy projects, vast areas suitable for wind power projects, and geographical diversity that contributes to the development of hydrogen energy, all supported by accumulated investment capabilities and research expertise.

On this fertile ground, a series of initiatives and projects were launched: The National Renewable Energy Program, the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Renewable Energy Initiative, and the establishment of the National Renewable Energy Data Center, followed by solar and wind power projects aimed at enhancing electricity generation efficiency.

The results speak clearly: The production capacity for electricity generation from renewable sources increased from 3 gigawatts in 2020 to 46 gigawatts in 2025. The total number of projects related to this sector reached 64, distributed among 40 solar power projects, 9 wind power projects, and 15 energy storage projects.

Hydrogen: The Big Bet

At the heart of NEOM, an unparalleled project is being born: the green hydrogen project, the largest and first of its kind globally, with a production capacity of 600 tons of green hydrogen per day.

To support this direction, the first phase of the Yanbu Green Hydrogen Hub was launched, equipped with facilities for generating electricity from renewable sources, desalination plants, electrolysis units, facilities for converting hydrogen into green ammonia, and a dedicated export terminal.

The Battery Race

Figures in the energy storage sector are no less exciting; the Kingdom is approaching China in the global battery storage project cost race, with a cost of $409 per kilowatt for projects with a four-hour storage capacity, compared to $404 for China.

The total capacity of proposed energy storage projects reached 30 gigawatt-hours, while 8 gigawatt-hours have been connected to the electricity grid.

In a remarkable achievement, Aramco successfully operated the world's first renewable energy storage system to support gas well production operations, with a capacity of 1 megawatt-hour, capable of supporting 5 wells for 25 years.

This system relies on a Saudi patent and represents a reliable alternative to traditional solar energy solutions, offering high efficiency in harsh climatic conditions and intelligent response to changing energy needs.

SPARK... When Industry Becomes the Value

Vision 2030 recognized that production alone is no longer sufficient, and that true value lies in building industries, localizing supply chains, and enhancing local content. This is where the idea for King Salman Energy Park "SPARK" was born, with investments exceeding 12 billion Saudi Riyals (3.2 billion dollars) and involving more than 60 local and international investors.

SPARK is located in a strategic position close to energy sources, shipping, and export networks, and includes a dry port allowing faster access. So far, 7 factories have been opened, while another 14 are currently under construction.

Balance, Not Compromise

While the world moves towards transitioning to alternatives to oil and gas, the Kingdom adopts a different vision, believing that an accelerated transition could harm global security and growth, given that renewable energy alone cannot fully meet developmental needs.

Therefore, the Kingdom continues to invest in exploring and developing oil fields, most notably the development of the unconventional Jafurah field, the largest of its kind in the Middle East, which will contribute to maximizing the value chains of gas and petrochemical industries.

Thus, the Kingdom walks a fine line, balancing the preservation of global energy supplies with investment in technologies that eliminate carbon emissions, positioning itself today as a comprehensive energy hub and a model of prudent management.