Russia to Boost Gas Supplies to China, Signs Deal for New Pipeline

FILE PHOTO: Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Russia to Boost Gas Supplies to China, Signs Deal for New Pipeline

FILE PHOTO: Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Russia's Gazprom has agreed to a modest rise in gas supplies to China via an existing pipeline and has signed a memorandum on building the vast Power of Siberia 2 pipeline but at prices lower than those charged to European buyers, state news agencies reported.

The move comes as Russia seeks to expand its energy ties with China, its largest trading partner, after losing significant market share in Europe due to sanctions following the 2022 Ukraine conflict.

Reuters reported last month that China was seeking to buy more Russian gas through an existing pipeline as talks between the two countries had failed to make significant progress on building a new link.

Alexei Miller, the CEO of Russian state-controlled Gazprom, told Russian news agencies on Tuesday that an agreement had been reached to increase supplies via the existing Power of Siberia pipeline, which runs from Eastern Siberia to China, to 44 billion cubic meters (bcm) a year from 38 bcm.

Russia and China also agreed a deal to construct the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, capable of delivering 50 bcm per year to China through Mongolia from the Bovanenkovo and Kharasavey gas fields in Yamal, Miller was quoted as saying.

"Today, a legally binding memorandum was signed on the construction of the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline and the Soyuz Vostok transit gas pipeline through Mongolia," Miller said, Russian news agencies reported.

The prices of gas supplies to China are lower than those Russia charged European buyers, Miller said, due to the vast distances and terrain over which pipelines had to be built, Miller said, adding that Power of Siberia 2 would be the world's biggest and most capital-intensive gas project. It was not clear who will build the pipeline and the final investments have not been disclosed.

Speaking after President Vladimir Putin met Chinese President Xi Jinping and Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh in Beijing, Miller said that prices for gas delivered through the Power of Siberia 2 will be negotiated separately, Russian news agencies reported.

China's state news agency Xinhua also reported on Tuesday that the two heads of state held in-depth discussions and signed over 20 bilateral cooperation documents in fields, including energy.

Gazprom shares edged up 0.5% in Moscow trading.

CHINA BUYING

The so-called "no limits" partnership between China, the world's biggest consumer of energy, and Russia, the world's biggest producer of natural resources, has strengthened since the West imposed onerous sanctions to punish Russia for the war in Ukraine.

China is now Russia's biggest trading partner, the biggest purchaser of Russian crude and Russian gas, the second-biggest purchaser of Russian coal and the third-biggest purchaser of Russian LNG, according to the Kremlin.

Gazprom supplies natural gas to China through a 3,000 km (1,865 mile) pipeline called Power of Siberia under a 30-year, $400 billion deal launched at the end of 2019.

In 2024, exports amounted to about 31 billion cubic meters (bcm). It is expected that supplies will reach the planned capacity of 38 bcm this year.

In February 2022, China also agreed to buy up to 10 bcm of gas annually by around 2026-2027 via a pipeline from Sakhalin Island in Russia's Far East.

Miller said an agreement had been reached to increase gas supplies via the Far Eastern route to 12 bcm from the 10 bcm.

But Russia's gas exports to China are still a small fraction of the record 177 bcm it delivered to Europe in 2018-19 annually.

Russian gas now accounts for just 18% of European imports, down from 45% in 2021, while the bloc's oil imports from Russia have fallen to 3% from around 30% over that time. The European Union plans to fully phase out Russian energy by 2027.



Iranian Gas to Iraq Resumes After South Pars Attack

An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
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Iranian Gas to Iraq Resumes After South Pars Attack

An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)

Iranian gas supplies to Iraq have resumed at a rate of five million cubic meters per day, the Iraqi electricity ministry said on Saturday, according ‌to the state ‌news agency.

Flows had ‌been ⁠halted after Israel ⁠attacked Iran's main gas field, South Pars, on Wednesday.

The current five million cubic meters is a fraction ⁠of the contracted 50 ‌million ‌cubic meters.

Iraqi officials ‌say volumes will increase gradually, ‌but have provided neither a timeframe nor details of the damage to ‌the Iranian gas facilities.

"Following the resumption of ⁠Iranian ⁠gas supplies, the national grid has recorded stability in production at 14,000 megawatts," Ahmed Moussa, an electricity ministry spokesperson, was quoted as saying by the state news agency.


Trump to Be Guest of Honor at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative Summit in Miami

Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Trump to Be Guest of Honor at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative Summit in Miami

Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Future Investment Initiative (FII) Institute announced that US President Donald Trump will participate as a guest of honor and speaker at the fourth edition of the “Priority Future Investment Initiative” summit in Miami, scheduled to be held from March 25 to 27.

Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech in person during the summit's closing session on March 27. The appearance marks the second time Trump has addressed this international gathering of leaders, investors, and decision-makers on the platform, reflecting the growing strategic importance of this summit in global economic circles.

Trump's participation comes at a very sensitive time for the global economy, which is reeling under the weight of escalating energy crises and sharp jumps in oil prices that have exceeded the $100 mark.

The global audience in Miami will be waiting to see Trump's vision on how to manage these developments and his philosophy towards the movement of capital in light of current geopolitical conflicts.

In last year's edition, Trump reaffirmed that the golden age of the United States had officially begun, considering the economic progress that had occurred since he took office to be "amazing."

This year's summit is being held under the slogan "Capital in Motion," where it seeks to explore how capital moves, adapts, and leads in a rapidly fragmenting world.

The agenda focuses intensively on the role of investment, technology, and policies in achieving sustainable and inclusive growth, while highlighting Latin America region and the Americas as a center of the current global transformation.

The summit brings together an elite group of senior officials, investors, and innovators, and prominent from the Saudi side is a high-level presence that includes the Governor of the Public Investment Fund and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Future Investment Initiative Foundation Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb, and the Ambassador of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques to the United States, Princess Reema bint Bandar Al Saud.

The list of speakers also includes prominent names, such as Steve Witkoff, the US envoy to the Middle East, and Dina Powell McCormick, Vice President of Meta, in addition to the participation of Donald Trump Jr.

The slogan of the fourth edition, "Capital in Motion," reflects an accelerated global reality that knows no stillness, where resources, talents, and ideas flow across borders, industries, and technologies at an unprecedented pace. In light of slowing global growth, persistently high interest rates for longer, and sharp geopolitical rifts, the summit is redrawing the map of investment returns.

The summit is expected to attract more than 1,500 delegates from around the world, forming an economic bridge linking the Middle East, the United States, and the emerging Latin American markets.


IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
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IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)

The International Monetary Fund said that the economic impact of the ongoing conflict on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states will depend on its duration, scope and intensity, with strong financial buffers and export flexibility expected to limit the fallout.

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack noted that outcomes will vary by country, largely depending on geographic location and the ability to resume exports. She explained that higher oil prices could help some countries offset production losses either partially or fully, depending on how quickly export flows recover.

She pointed to the Gulf’s substantial sovereign buffers and solid economic foundations, built through years of structural reforms aimed at diversifying income and strengthening logistics infrastructure. These measures have improved the region’s resilience to external shocks.

The IMF’s assessment broadly aligns with recent analysis by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s, which highlighted Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline as a strategic alternative export route that reduces reliance on key maritime chokepoints.

Elevated oil prices may also compensate for declining output, while the region’s large financial reserves are expected to support a swift recovery once the conflict subsides.

Kozack also highlighted pressure on regional financial markets, with Gulf stock indices declining and bond spreads widening in line with global volatility driven by inflation concerns and rising geopolitical risks.

Economists broadly view the region’s ample financial assets and foreign reserves as a buffer that will support a quicker rebound. Lessons from past energy crises have also helped Gulf states develop more flexible financial and logistics systems.

Standard & Poor’s recently underscored Saudi Arabia’s strong fiscal position and stable credit rating, citing substantial financial buffers and prudent policies. It also noted that alternative export routes such as the East–West pipeline allow the Kingdom to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, reducing risks to trade and growth.

Inflation risk

At the global level, the IMF is closely monitoring disruptions to energy markets, warning that sustained price increases could drive inflation higher and slow economic growth.

Oil and gas prices have surged by more than 50 percent over the past month, with Brent crude rising above $100 per barrel. If maintained for a year, this could push global inflation up by about 40 basis points and reduce economic output by between 0.1 and 0.2 percent, according to the Fund.

The IMF has signaled it stands ready to support member states, although no requests for emergency financing have been received so far.

It remains in close contact with finance ministers and central bank governors as the conflict enters its third week with no clear end in sight.

Kozack added that central banks should closely monitor whether inflation pressures extend beyond energy prices and whether inflation expectations remain stable.

The Fund is expected to incorporate the impact of the conflict into its updated global economic forecasts, due in mid-April during its Spring Meetings with the World Bank.