FII Forum Focuses on Harnessing AI to Reshape Global Landscape

Panel discussion attended by Investment Minister on sidelines of FII conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Panel discussion attended by Investment Minister on sidelines of FII conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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FII Forum Focuses on Harnessing AI to Reshape Global Landscape

Panel discussion attended by Investment Minister on sidelines of FII conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Panel discussion attended by Investment Minister on sidelines of FII conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Artificial intelligence dominated discussions on the second day of the Future Investment Initiative (FII) conference in Riyadh, held under the patronage of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, and attended by a large audience of local and international participants.

Speakers stressed the need to harness AI to reshape the global landscape and achieve a balance of power, prosperity and sustainable development.

The ninth edition of the FII continued its sessions at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center, featuring panels on AI as a strategic field, the importance of critical and rare minerals underpinning the transition to clean energy and the digital economy, AI’s energy demands, and the role of digital trade as a growing pillar of the global economy.

Experts highlighted the need to build alliances and systems that keep pace with AI growth and to explore strategies ensuring the technology’s sustainable development. The global AI market, they noted, is expected to reach $4.8 trillion by 2033.

Leaders of major global companies and changemakers joined panel discussions to explore the latest AI advances and shape a more inclusive era of technological progress.

The sessions also addressed key sectors, emphasizing investment in renewable energy and how to strike a balance between cost and sustainability.

Non-Oil Growth

Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim said in a panel discussion that the private sector remains the main driver of non-oil growth, noting its rising contribution to GDP since the launch of Saudi Vision 2030 in 2016 - a sign, he said, of the effectiveness of economic policies and reforms that have strengthened the business environment.

The Kingdom gives top priority to structural reforms and enhancing private sector dynamism, Alibrahim said, adding that ongoing efforts have improved market efficiency, increased competitiveness and expanded economic opportunities for investors and entrepreneurs.

He said Saudi Arabia’s business culture had undergone a fundamental transformation since Vision 2030, becoming focused on efficiency, speed and innovation. This shift, he added, has strengthened the economy’s ability to keep pace with global transformations and achieve major gains in performance and productivity.

Alibrahim stressed that economic resilience should be seen as a competitive advantage, not merely an ability to withstand shocks.

Strengthening resilience, he said, helps attract investment, boost market confidence and ensure stable, sustainable growth. Saudi Arabia, he added, is deepening its global economic integration and accelerating innovation-driven entrepreneurship, reinforcing its position as a leading economic hub linking regional and international markets.

He concluded that technology has become a cornerstone of global economic stability, accelerating crisis response, identifying future risks and enhancing coordination among economies. “Investing in technology and innovation is a strategic path to sustainable growth,” he said.

Regional Headquarters

Minister of Investment Eng. Khalid al-Falih said Saudi Arabia has become a global investment destination under the guidance of Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman, who has directed efforts to enable multinational companies to operate in the Kingdom.

He said 700 global companies have now obtained licenses to conduct business in Saudi Arabia, while the government is also facilitating the work of international organizations such as the United Nations. The Kingdom, he added, is implementing a roadmap to become one of the most competitive environments for family businesses to grow and thrive.

Al-Falih said Saudi Arabia’s stable regulatory and investment climate makes it highly attractive to investors. Licensing procedures, he noted, have become faster and more flexible, enabling family-owned investment groups around the world to benefit from the Kingdom’s advanced business environment.

He said the Saudi stock market’s capitalization stands at around $3 trillion and is expected to grow by 20 percent over the next seven years — reflecting the strength and diversity of the national economy.

The minister added that the Kingdom continues to develop financial and regulatory incentives to attract investors. The “Invest in Saudi Arabia” platform, he said, will help highlight available investment opportunities and facilitate cross-border capital flows in coordination with financial institutions.

Tourism’s Expanding Role

Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb said Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector is growing rapidly, with plans to double its contribution to GDP to 10 percent by 2030, bringing it in line with the global average.

Speaking during an FII panel, Al-Khateeb said the Kingdom’s tourism activity is expanding at an unprecedented rate and aims to capture 3 to 4 percent of the global tourism market.

He said Saudi Arabia plans to welcome about 50 million international visitors annually by 2030, out of a total target of 150 million tourists. The focus, he added, will be on attracting upper-middle and high-income travelers. Tourism, he said, has become one of the main pillars of Vision 2030 and is undergoing a major transformation to diversify national income away from oil dependency.

Riyadh Expo 2030

Talal Al-Marri, CEO of Riyadh Expo 2030, said infrastructure work for the global exhibition will begin before the end of this year. He said 179 countries will be invited to participate in the event, which is expected to attract around 42 million visits across a total area of 6 million square meters.

Al-Marri said Saudi Arabia is committed to achieving the goals of Vision 2030, and described the FII conference as a global platform for exchanging views on the “future of development and innovation.”

He added that Expo 2030 would provide “a real opportunity for human connection and bringing people together in one place to share opportunities,” describing Riyadh as “the ideal city to lead this global challenge.”

AI as a Global Resource

In a panel titled AI and computing becoming a global resource, speakers said generative AI can help optimize portfolio structures but requires further model development and research.

They said investment in AI is now a key global trend amid surging demand and rapid progress, noting that Saudi Arabia — through its Public Investment Fund — is spearheading several leading initiatives in the field and positioning itself as a frontrunner in this emerging industry.

The panelists added that AI models must be built in more balanced and distinctive ways to avoid monotony and repetition, and that the availability of clean energy would open major opportunities for the sector and help achieve future goals.



Azour to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Has Strong Financial Buffers to Confront War Impact

Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
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Azour to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Has Strong Financial Buffers to Confront War Impact

Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)

“This is a multidimensional shock.” That is how Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, summed up the bleak outlook gripping the region, describing the current war as an earthquake not seen in geopolitics and economics for five decades.

He said it has struck one of the world’s most vital economic corridors, shaking energy markets, disrupting trade routes and eroding business confidence, creating uncertainty that demands unconventional responses.

He added that Saudi Arabia has, in recent years, built strong financial institutions and diversified its income, giving it room to maneuver despite the pressure.

The IMF has cut its 2026 growth forecasts for Gulf states in its World Economic Outlook, citing the fallout from the Iran war. The impact varies sharply by country, depending on exposure to energy markets and trade, and the availability of alternatives to secure oil exports.

Among oil exporters hit by the conflict, five of eight economies are now expected to contract in 2026. Qatar faces the steepest downgrade due to extensive infrastructure damage. Oman, by contrast, sees only a slight downgrade, as its maritime outlet lies entirely outside the Strait of Hormuz, and it is expected to benefit from stronger fiscal and current account balances driven by higher oil prices.

Saudi Arabia stands out, with growth projected at about 3.1% this year, supported by alternative oil pipelines.

Speaking at a virtual discussion on the IMF’s latest assessment of the war’s impact on Middle East and North Africa economies, Azour said this exceptional shock, hitting the core of global trade and energy routes, is being met in Saudi Arabia with institutional resilience.

He said the Kingdom has built strong financial “buffers” through income diversification and institutional strengthening, giving it the fiscal space to advance Vision 2030 and shield its mega projects from regional turbulence.

Strong financial institutions

Responding to a question from Asharq Al-Awsat, Azour said Saudi Arabia has anchored its fiscal policy to a medium-term framework.

He described the Kingdom’s “reordering of project priorities” as a healthy and normal response to shifting global conditions, aimed at preserving Vision 2030’s core goals of economic diversification and job creation.

He added that strong financial institutions give the Kingdom the flexibility to absorb disruptions to trade routes.

Cracks in energy infrastructure

Azour said the shock has centered on hydrocarbons, with data showing a sudden halt in the flow of more than 12 million barrels a day of oil and gas. The disruption has spread beyond energy to the real economy, with tourism across most Gulf Cooperation Council countries declining noticeably.

Business confidence has weakened, reflected in widening credit spreads and currency volatility. The Egyptian pound has been among the clearest indicators of these sharp aftershocks.

‘Baseline scenario’

Looking ahead, Azour outlined a “baseline scenario” in which hostilities end by midyear. Even then, he said, markets should expect oil prices to rise by $10 a barrel. He warned of a more severe scenario in which oil averages $130 for a prolonged period, turning the crisis from a supply shock into a heavy burden on oil importers such as Jordan and Tunisia, triggering a sharp contraction in their current accounts.

Interconnected regional interests

Azour underscored the region’s deep interdependence, saying countries such as Pakistan, Egypt and Jordan rely structurally on Gulf states not only for energy, but for financial lifelines.

Any disruption in the Gulf quickly translates into falling remittances, which account for about 5% of GDP in some countries, and a halt in capital flows. A prolonged war, he warned, could turn the energy crisis into a food security disaster for vulnerable states due to rising fertilizer and basic commodity costs.

‘Keep your powder dry’

In his strongest remarks, Azour said governments’ room for maneuver is shrinking under the weight of pandemic-era debt. He cited advice from a “Gulf finance minister” to “keep your powder dry,” urging countries to use their limited buffers with agility.

He stressed the need for precise policy calibration, replacing broad subsidies with targeted cash support for vulnerable groups, maintaining monetary tightening to curb inflation, and recognizing exchange rate flexibility as the key shield against severe shocks.

Azour said the crisis, despite its severity, should mark a turning point, forcing a fundamental rethink of the region’s long-term economic strategies.

Heavy reliance on single trade and energy routes, he said, has become an existential risk in a world of fast-moving geopolitical volatility. The post-war phase should not mean a return to old models, but a shift toward building a “resilience economy.”

He said this shift requires parallel action, accelerating diversification of production to reduce exposure to energy price shocks, while deepening regional economic integration, which the crisis has shown is not just a political choice, but a shared economic safeguard.

He also highlighted the need to strengthen food and water security through innovation, to ensure livelihoods are not left vulnerable to disruptions in global supply chains.

In a message to policymakers, Azour said lasting financial stability depends not only on crisis management, but on embedding structural shock absorbers within economic systems, enabling countries to absorb major shocks and move toward more sustainable and inclusive growth, away from the volatility of geopolitics and prolonged conflict.


Alternative Routes for Middle East Oil and Gas Due to Hormuz Disruption

 The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
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Alternative Routes for Middle East Oil and Gas Due to Hormuz Disruption

 The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)

The US-Israeli war with Iran has disrupted shipping through ‌the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important oil chokepoint, exposing the Middle East's limited alternatives for exporting its hydrocarbons.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) called it the largest supply disruption on record, bigger than the oil shocks of the 1970s and the loss of Russian pipeline gas after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine combined.

These are the existing and possible alternative oil and gas export bypasses of the Strait of Hormuz:

EXISTING PIPELINES:

EAST–WEST PIPELINE (SAUDI ARABIA)

Saudi Arabia's 1,200-km East–West pipeline can transport up to 7 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, with effective exports estimated at around 4.5 million bpd, depending on tanker and jetty availability.

From Yanbu, shipments can travel ‌to Europe via ‌the Suez Canal or south via the Bab el-Mandeb ‌strait ⁠to reach Asia, ⁠a route carrying security risks from Yemen's Houthi militants, who have attacked tankers during the Gaza war.

HABSHAN–FUJAIRAH PIPELINE (UAE)

The Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (ADCOP) runs from Abu Dhabi's Habshan onshore fields to Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman, outside Hormuz. Operated by ADNOC and commissioned in 2012, the 360-km pipeline has capacity of about 1.5–1.8 million bpd. Oil loadings at Fujairah, however, have been affected by drone attacks since the Iran war started ⁠at the end of February.

KIRKUK-CEYHAN PIPELINE (IRAQ- TÜRKIYE)

Iraq's main northern export route ‌runs from Kirkuk to Türkiye's Mediterranean port of ‌Ceyhan via the Kurdistan region. The pipeline restarted last September after a 2-1/2-year shutdown following an ‌interim deal between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government. On March 17, Iraq began ‌pumping 170,000 bpd, with plans to reach 250,000 bpd, after Iraq's national oil company SOMO signed export contracts via Türkiye, Jordan and Syria.

GOREH-JASK PIPELINE

Iran may be able to utilize the Jask terminal, fed by the 1 million bpd Goreh-Jask pipeline, to bypass the Strait, the ‌IEA said in its latest oil market report. The construction of the terminal is not fully complete but a loading ⁠from Jask was tested ⁠in 2024, it said.

POSSIBLE ALTERNATIVE ROUTES:

IRAQ–OMAN PIPELINE Iraq said last September it was considering a pipeline from Basra to Oman’s port of Duqm on the Gulf of Oman.

The project remains at an early conceptual stage, with routes under study including an overland line via neighboring countries or a costly subsea pipeline.

IRAQ–JORDAN PIPELINE

The proposed 1 million bpd pipeline would ship crude from Basra to Jordan's Red Sea port of Aqaba, bypassing Hormuz.

First proposed in the 1980s and approved in principle in 2022, the project remains stalled by cost, security and political hurdles.

GULF–SEA OF OMAN CANAL

A canal bypassing Hormuz - similar to the Suez or Panama Canals - remains purely conceptual. A project to cut through the Hajar Mountains toward Fujairah would face extreme engineering challenges and could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.


US Official Says Gas Prices Have Peaked Despite Iran War

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
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US Official Says Gas Prices Have Peaked Despite Iran War

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Tuesday that gasoline prices appeared to have peaked after a surge linked to the Iran war -- a marked shift in tone a day after President Donald Trump publicly rebuked his earlier, more cautious outlook.

"I don't know the future of energy prices -- often I will speculate or look at those things. I would say, gasoline prices, it looks like they peaked about a week or so ago," Wright told the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee.

He said the high point was $1 a gallon cheaper than the peak during the administration of Trump's predecessor Joe Biden, adding: "Yet we're in the midst of ending a 47-year conflict in the Middle East, a major energy producing region."

The remarks mark an abrupt pivot from comments Wright made on CNN on Sunday, when he warned that prices might not fall below $3 per gallon until next year due to disruptions in global oil flows.

But Trump swiftly distanced himself from that assessment, telling politics news outlet The Hill that Wright was "totally wrong" to suggest a prolonged period of elevated prices. He said prices would fall "as soon as this ends," referring to the Iran war.

The rebuke underscores tensions within the administration as it grapples with the economic fallout from the conflict, which has rattled global energy markets.

Oil prices surged after disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz -- a critical shipping chokepoint off Iran's southern coast -- pushed US gasoline above $4 a gallon for the first time since 2022.

Data from AAA show the national average for regular gasoline at $4.02 on Tuesday, down slightly from $4.118 a week earlier -- lending some support to Wright's claim that prices were coming down.

Still, prices remain sharply higher than roughly $3.15 a year ago, underscoring the political sensitivity of fuel costs ahead of November's congressional elections.

The current crisis is rooted in decades of US-Iran tensions dating back to the 1979 revolution and hostage crisis.

The latest flare-up has seen shipping restrictions, military pressure and a fragile ceasefire that appeared close to expiring as of Tuesday, with no clear path to lasting resolution.

While oil benchmarks have eased from recent highs, any renewed disruption in the Gulf could quickly reverse that trend.