EDB Tells Asharq Al-Awsat it Aims to ‘Promote the Gulf-Eurasia Investment Corridor’

Nikolai Podguzov met with Saudi Deputy Minister of Finance for International Relations Khalid Bawazier on the sidelines of FII held in Riyadh. Photo: Podguzov’s LinkedIn account
Nikolai Podguzov met with Saudi Deputy Minister of Finance for International Relations Khalid Bawazier on the sidelines of FII held in Riyadh. Photo: Podguzov’s LinkedIn account
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EDB Tells Asharq Al-Awsat it Aims to ‘Promote the Gulf-Eurasia Investment Corridor’

Nikolai Podguzov met with Saudi Deputy Minister of Finance for International Relations Khalid Bawazier on the sidelines of FII held in Riyadh. Photo: Podguzov’s LinkedIn account
Nikolai Podguzov met with Saudi Deputy Minister of Finance for International Relations Khalid Bawazier on the sidelines of FII held in Riyadh. Photo: Podguzov’s LinkedIn account

Chairman of the Management Board of the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) Nikolai Podguzov has said that the bank aims to build partnerships, deploy its structuring expertise, and promote the Gulf–Eurasia investment corridor.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Podguzov said EDB is participating in the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh as part of its strategic effort to deepen engagement with the Gulf region and explore cooperative investment and project financing opportunities beyond its traditional member states.

“At FII, the Bank aims to build partnerships, deploy its structuring expertise, and promote the Gulf–Eurasia investment corridor,” he said.

The Bank offers Gulf partners access to investment opportunities in green energy, transport infrastructure, logistics, and industry - sectors crucial for sustainable growth across Central Asia.

“We can offer our potential Gulf partners access to investment opportunities in Central Asia’s green energy, transport infrastructure, and logistics sectors. We are fully committed to championing Islamic finance across Central Asia and beyond. This aligns with our strategic goals for long-term regional development,” he said.

Cooperation opportunities with Saudi Arabia
Asked about the opportunities for financial and banking cooperation between the Eurasian Development Bank and Saudi banks, Podguzov said: “The Bank's extensive experience as an issuer of debt instruments (including ESG bonds) in local and international capital markets in various currencies creates the foundation for joint collaboration and partnership with Saudi Arabian financial institutions, including through the local financial market infrastructure, where the Saudi exchange Tadawul is a key participant. We also see potential for developing mutually beneficial cooperation with the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the Saudi Fund for Development, and national development banks, including Saudi Exim.”

“In addition, we identify significant potential for cooperation in the area of trade finance and export support programs. This includes the development of joint instruments such as letters of credit and guarantees to facilitate trade between the member countries of the Eurasian Development Bank and the Kingdom.”

Challenges
On the challenges facing banking and financial growth globally, Podguzov said: “There are quite a few of them. Elevated risks – lessons from the Global Financial Crisis are partially forgotten. Rising sovereign debt. Challenges related to the efficient implementation of digital solutions. Emergence of new alternative forms and sources of credit, which have yet to prove their resilience. Limited availability of longer-term and cheaper financing for developing countries and sustainable development.”

“Since I am a development banker, let me say a few things about the availability of financing for development. If we talk about private capital, what private capital wants is a good risk-return ratio. Development projects usually carry low margins. If margins will be higher, and risks lower, then private capital will be available. So the tasks are to better structure projects so that margins are sustained and risks are contained.”

Talking about development financial institutions, they are mission-driven banks, Podguzov told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“They are a right source of capital to fund the SDGs. But they face issues with their capital and efficiency of operations. For example, annual volumes of financing by multilateral development banks (MDBs) stay at $180 billion.”

“Over the past 25 years, the value of MDB assets relative to global GDP has actually fallen from 1.9% to 1.7%. That means that the MDB role in the global economy has in fact shrunk in real terms,” he added.

MDBs should invest more through better project expertise, more local knowledge and presence, and finally more capital, he stated.

Non-sovereign financing

The EDB is a leading institution in non-sovereign financing across Eurasia and Central Asia. It focuses on mobilizing external funds for large-scale private sector and public–private partnership (PPP) projects that drive sustainable economic growth and regional integration, Podguzov said.

“Our team has extensive experience in investing in transport infrastructure, industrial modernization projects aimed at improving environmental performance and efficiency, the construction of renewable energy facilities, and the development of energy initiatives. All projects are selected in line with international ESG principles, ensuring both financial returns and a positive social and environmental impact.”

Islamic financing
“We are also working to develop Islamic finance across Central Asia and aim to serve as a key regional platform for its growth. In late 2024, the EDB joined the Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) as an Associate Member and, in early 2025, became a member of the Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions (AAOIFI). These memberships reinforce our commitment to high supervisory standards and global best practices,” he said.

As part of this initiative, the EDB is exploring the potential issuance of sukuk to finance strategic projects and expand sustainable financing tools.

“Our team is also undertaking economic studies that are relevant to Central Asia. Together with the Islamic Development Bank and the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), we recently published a study on Islamic finance in Central Asia. The region currently hosts 18 Islamic banks and 14 non-bank financial institutions, as well as takaful, ijara, and Islamic fintech operators.”

However, the Islamic capital market, particularly sukuk, is developing at a slower pace. According to the report, Islamic banking assets in the region are projected to grow to $2.5 billion by 2028 and $6.3 billion by 2033, while the sukuk market is expected to reach $2.05 billion by 2028 and $5.6 billion by 2033, led by Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Direct investments
In October, the EDB releases its first macroeconomic study of the Gulf countries, analyzing the period 2020–2024. Over the past five years, mutual trade between Central Asia and the Gulf states has increased 4.2 times, reaching $3.3 billion, while accumulated direct investments have risen 1.8 times to $16.2 billion, Podguzov said.

The potential for additional trade between the regions is estimated at $4.9 billion, equivalent to 150% of the current level.

In a recent milestone, the EDB became the first development institution to issue dirham-denominated bonds in Kazakhstan, diversifying its investor base, creating a pricing benchmark for future issuers, and further strengthening financial ties between the Gulf Cooperation Council and Eurasia, he added.



Germany Growth Forecasts Slashed as Mideast War Hits Economy

Germany's economy is struggling with fierce Chinese competition in sectors from cars to chemicals © Ronny HARTMANN / AFP/File
Germany's economy is struggling with fierce Chinese competition in sectors from cars to chemicals © Ronny HARTMANN / AFP/File
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Germany Growth Forecasts Slashed as Mideast War Hits Economy

Germany's economy is struggling with fierce Chinese competition in sectors from cars to chemicals © Ronny HARTMANN / AFP/File
Germany's economy is struggling with fierce Chinese competition in sectors from cars to chemicals © Ronny HARTMANN / AFP/File

Leading economic institutes more than halved their growth forecast for Germany on Wednesday, warning that the energy shock caused by the Middle East war would hit Europe's top economy hard.

A group of leading institutes slashed their joint GDP growth forecast for 2026 to 0.6 percent, down from a September prediction of 1.3 percent.

Inflation is now forecast to rise to 2.8 percent, up from 2.0 percent, "weighing on household purchasing power".

"The energy price shock triggered by the Iran war is hitting the recovery hard," said economist Timo Wollmershaeuser of the Ifo institute, adding that increased government spending was nevertheless "preventing a stronger slide", AFP reported.

Oil and natural gas prices have surged since the end of February, when the United States and Israel attacked Iran, killed its supreme leader and plunged the Middle East into war.

Iran has since closed the Strait of Hormuz to ships of countries it considers allied with the US and Israel, effectively blocking a sea lane that normally transports about a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas.

Higher inflation in Germany would hit consumer spending, the institutes said, weighing on an already weak economy that has barely grown since a burst of pent-up demand after the Covid pandemic in 2022.

The government on Wednesday introduced rules allowing petrol stations to only raise prices once a day, at noon.

But motorist Sebastian, a 49-year-old estate agent who did not want to give his surname, told AFP at a Frankfurt petrol station that this was not enough to protect his spending power.

"Whether the price of petrol changes once a day or 10 times a day doesn't really matter," he said, adding it was "certainly not enough" to lower his costs.

Germany's economy, struggling with fierce Chinese competition in sectors from cars to chemicals, was in the doldrums even before US President Donald Trump last year imposed sweeping new tariffs before starting the Mideast war in late February.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who took office last May, vowed to borrow and spend hundreds of billions through a special infrastructure fund over coming years in what was dubbed a spending "bazooka" aimed at getting the economy back on its feet.

But the economists said that much of the money was simply paying for day-to-day spending.

"Government expenditure on consumption is rising much more sharply than investment," economist Oliver Holtemoeller of the Halle Institute for Economic Research said. "That was not the idea behind changing the financing rules."

The outlook for the longer term was also dire.

Citing low productivity, industrial decline and an ageing population, the institutes warned that Germany's economy would soon be unable to grow sustainably.

"We have also reassessed the structural changes in the German economy and, in particular, revised our forecast for industrial growth downwards," Wollmershaeuser said.

In an era when "demographic change is hitting with full force", he said, "potential growth will come to a standstill by the end of the decade, and we will have to get used to average GDP growth rates of zero percent".

Speaking to broadcaster Welt TV, Economy Minister Katherina Reiche said the government was working on reducing labour taxes and energy costs but that Germans would have to get used to working more over the course of their lives.

"We need to make this country vigorous again," she said. "Germany needs to get its will to win back."


19 Migrants Found Dead by Italian Coastguard off Lampedusa

Hellenic coast guard performs SAR operation, following migrant's boat collision with coast guard off the Aegean island of Chios, near Mersinidi, Greece, February 4, 2026. REUTERS
Hellenic coast guard performs SAR operation, following migrant's boat collision with coast guard off the Aegean island of Chios, near Mersinidi, Greece, February 4, 2026. REUTERS
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19 Migrants Found Dead by Italian Coastguard off Lampedusa

Hellenic coast guard performs SAR operation, following migrant's boat collision with coast guard off the Aegean island of Chios, near Mersinidi, Greece, February 4, 2026. REUTERS
Hellenic coast guard performs SAR operation, following migrant's boat collision with coast guard off the Aegean island of Chios, near Mersinidi, Greece, February 4, 2026. REUTERS

The bodies of 19 migrants were recovered from a boat off the coast of Lampedusa on Wednesday by the Italian coastguard, the island's mayor told AFP.

Mayor Filippo Mannino said seven other migrants, including two children, were being treated for "hypothermia and intoxication from hydrocarbon fumes".

The coastguard rescue was staged some 135 kilometers (85 miles) off the Italian island, according to news agency ANSA.

The coastguard did not respond to AFP requests for information.

The rescue operation occurred in the early hours of Wednesday inside Libya's search-and-rescue zone, ANSA reported.

"All are believed to have died of hypothermia," wrote the agency, which cited strong winds, rain, and temperatures of 10C, in the area.

Lampedusa is a key landing point for migrants crossing the Mediterranean Sea from North Africa, with many dying trying the dangerous journey.

So far this year, 624 migrants have died or gone missing in the central Mediterranean, according to the UN's International Organization for Migration.

Lampedusa's last migrant disaster occurred in August last year, when 27 people died in two shipwrecks off the coast.

According to the interior ministry, 6,117 migrants have landed on Italy's shores so far this year.


Dollar Falls for Second Day as Middle East Ceasefire Expectations Rise

US dollar bills (Reuters)
US dollar bills (Reuters)
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Dollar Falls for Second Day as Middle East Ceasefire Expectations Rise

US dollar bills (Reuters)
US dollar bills (Reuters)

The dollar dropped for a second day on Wednesday as expectations of a ceasefire in the Middle East conflict grew after the US signalled that an end to the war could be near, even though markets remained on edge on fears of escalation.

The White House said US President Donald Trump would address the nation "to provide an important update on Iran" at 9 p.m. EDT on Wednesday (0100 GMT on Thursday).

Trump said on Tuesday the US could end its military campaign against Iran within two to three weeks, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Fox News Washington could see the "finish line" in the Iran war, according to Reuters.

Expectations that a ceasefire could be near have reversed some of the most popular trades since the war began in late February.

The yen recovered from this year's low of 160.46 per dollar, moving back through the psychologically important 160 level that had fanned concerns about intervention by Japanese authorities. The euro hit its highest level in a week.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last down 0.3% at 99.456, slipping to a one-week low after a 0.65% fall on Tuesday.

"Markets are increasingly buying into the notion of de-escalation in the Middle East overall," said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, FX analyst at Danske Bank.

"Markets are optimistic. We're seeing some relief with rates going lower, equities going higher and the price action in euro-dollar reflects that quite well."

The euro edged up 0.5% versus the dollar to $1.1603, after rising 0.8% on Tuesday.

The Japanese yen was up 0.1% at 158.46 per dollar. Sterling strengthened 0.7% to $1.3313.

At the same time, there were still signs of escalation in the conflict.
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the next few days in the war against Iran would be decisive and warned Tehran that the conflict would intensify if it did not make a deal.

The dollar should remain supported by the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, while the yen is being underpinned by rising expectations of a Bank of Japan hike in April, said Sho Suzuki, market analyst at Matsui Securities.

"We may see a tug-of-war between dollar strength and yen strength, with USD/JPY trading sideways in the upper 150s," he said.

The Australian dollar strengthened 0.7% to $0.6946. New Zealand's kiwi strengthened 0.4% to $0.5770.