Finance Minister: Saudi Arabia to Maintain Expansionary Spending in 2026 Budget 

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at Tuesday's press conference. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at Tuesday's press conference. (SPA)
TT

Finance Minister: Saudi Arabia to Maintain Expansionary Spending in 2026 Budget 

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at Tuesday's press conference. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at Tuesday's press conference. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan stressed on Tuesday that the government will continue with expansionary spending in the 2026 budget, highlighting the importance of stability and medium-term planning.

He noted that total expenditure is expected to reach SAR1.313 trillion in 2026 and approximately SAR1.419 trillion in 2028, with revenues projected to grow, supported by accelerated economic growth.

During a press conference tackling the approval of Saudi Arabia’s general budget for the 2026 fiscal year, he stated: “Despite all spending on major strategies and projects, the government continues to focus on core services and their improvement to boost services provided to citizens, including education, health, social services, and municipal services, which will reach SAR533 billion in 2026.”

He revealed that the phase of maximizing impact will begin at the start of next year and will require significant efforts from both the government and the private sector.

Al-Jadaan provided a brief overview of Saudi Vision 2030, noting that 93% of the vision’s targeted performance indicators have been achieved or are on track, and 85% of the initiatives are either completed or progressing as planned, with 299 indicators having met their targets ahead of 2030.

He addressed the next phase, which will begin next year, focusing on maximizing impact and preparing for the post-2030 period, citing the 2025 budget figures, which closed with expenditures estimated at SAR1.336 trillion, revenues at approximately SAR1.091 trillion, and a deficit of roughly SAR245 billion.

“I spoke last year, and I will briefly repeat that budget deficits differ according to their purposes. For us in Saudi Arabia, during this period and in previous years, the deficit has been a targeted strategic deficit, based on a government policy that assessed the Kingdom’s economic capacity and financial strength to spend in order to achieve accomplishments, implement projects, and execute strategies, even if it required borrowing,” the minister said.

“The aim is for this borrowing of SAR245 billion to generate a return higher than its cost, which is what is happening in the Kingdom. Currently, economic growth, particularly in the non-oil sector, has averaged 5% over the past four to five years,” he went on to say.

“The returns on most of the expenditures we are making now will come in the coming years, not immediately. Therefore, it may be appropriate to continue, and this is what we will continue to do in 2026, 2027, and 2028, increasing spending as long as the return on this spending exceeds the cost of borrowing.”

He highlighted a statement by Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister, that the primary goal is the citizen and the support they receive. The minister noted that these are very simple examples of social support provided in the 2025 budget.

“The structural transformations in the economy that have occurred since the launch of Saudi Vision 2030 are usually difficult to achieve in economies over a short period from the launch of the Vision — whether in terms of private sector investment as a percentage of GDP changing by approximately 40% in a period of less than eight years since the actual implementation of the Vision's programs began,” he remarked.

“It is extremely difficult to move the private investment share in GDP by 40% in such a timeframe, yet this has been achieved in the Kingdom, which indicates a very high level of confidence from investors in the economy,” he said.

Al-Jadaan also pointed out that the contribution of non-oil activities is remarkable in terms of its growth and the level the Kingdom has reached, describing it as historic with the figure reaching 55.4%, expecting the 2030 target will be met by the end of 2030 or even earlier.

Moreover, he addressed the increase in the number of micro, small and medium enterprises in the Kingdom, which stood at approximately 500,000 a few years ago and has now reached 1.7 million. This means that 1.2 million job opportunities have been created and launched through Vision 2030, he noted.

Al-Jadaan also expected that by the end of 2025, real GDP growth would reach 4.4%, and that nominal GDP would rise to reach SAR5.6 trillion by 2028.

The Kingdom has not yet reached full sustainability, as government revenues are still affected by oil prices, he added, stressing that long-term sustainability will be achieved through meeting the targets of Vision 2030.

Moreover, he indicated that Vision 2030 was not intended to make the Kingdom cease relying on oil altogether, saying oil remains a very important element and a major national wealth that will continue for many years and decades to come.

The minister spoke about the sustainability phase and the significant growth achieved by the Public Investment Fund (PIF) in recent years, with its assets rising from SAR150 billion to more than SAR800 billion in a very short period, describing it as a major achievement.

However, he stressed that the PIF does not distribute profits to the government, explaining that the objective is long-term investment for the benefit of future generations, and noting that, in theory, loans could be reduced by requesting distributions, but this would not align with the sustainability objective.

On spending on health and education, the minister noted that expenditures will exceed SAR460 billion next year, saying this does not conflict with privatization.



Oil Climbs and Equities Sink amid Mixed Messages on 'Talks'

FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
TT

Oil Climbs and Equities Sink amid Mixed Messages on 'Talks'

FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

Oil prices jumped and equities fell Thursday as investors tracked developments in the Middle East amid hopes that US and Iranian officials will bring an end to a conflict that has ramped up fears of an unprecedented global energy crisis.

Markets have been buoyed since late Monday after Donald Trump backed down on a threat to destroy Iran’s energy infrastructure and said the two sides were in peace talks.

But while crude prices are down from last week and the mood on trading floors has been better than most of March, uncertainty and the virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz -- through which around 20 percent of oil and gas passes -- continue to cast a dark shadow.

Washington presented a 15-point plan to end the war, including Iran giving up its enriched uranium and opening up the waterway, while Tehran's state-run TV reported officials had put forward their own five conditions for hostilities to end.

Trump on Wednesday threatened to "unleash hell" if Iran did not strike a deal, but Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said his country does not intend to negotiate.

But the US president also said Iran was taking part in peace talks and the denials were because negotiators feared being killed by their own side.

"Pressure on energy prices, shipping flows and broader financial conditions remains one of the few meaningful sources of leverage (Iran) retains," said Saxo Markets' Charu Chanana.

"There is therefore little incentive to relinquish that leverage prematurely, particularly if market stress strengthens its negotiating position.

However, she added: "It would be imprudent to assume diplomacy is absent simply because it is not visible. In conflicts of this nature, public rhetoric and private negotiation often diverge materially.

"Markets understand this dynamic, and they also tend to inflect before the political endgame is formally in place."

With investors holding on to hope that a deal can be struck, oil prices have stabilized this week, with Brent just above $100 and WTI around $90.

Both contracts rallied Thursday.

Stocks in Wall Street and Europe rose but Asian markets struggled after a two-day rally.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul, Sydney, Taipei, Singapore, Manila, Bangkok and Jakarta fell along with London, Paris and Frankfurt.

City Index's Fiona Cincotta said for any recovery to gain traction, "investors will want to see clearer signs of de-escalation, including the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz".

Her remarks come after the head of the International Chamber of Commerce, John Denton, warned the conflict could cause the "worst industrial crisis" in decades.

"The head of the International Energy Agency has warned that the world is facing an energy crisis more severe than the oil shocks of the 1970s," he added.

"From a business perspective, we believe this could yet become the worst industrial crisis in living memory."

Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization said disruptions to fertilizer supplies posed a double threat to global food security through scarcity and high prices, with a third of the global fertilizer supply normally transiting the Strait of Hormuz.


EU to Vote on Trump Tariff Deal -- but Eyes Rest of World

The European Parliament will vote on whether to cut EU tariffs on some US imports. CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP/File
The European Parliament will vote on whether to cut EU tariffs on some US imports. CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP/File
TT

EU to Vote on Trump Tariff Deal -- but Eyes Rest of World

The European Parliament will vote on whether to cut EU tariffs on some US imports. CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP/File
The European Parliament will vote on whether to cut EU tariffs on some US imports. CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP/File

European Union lawmakers are on track to give a green light -- with conditions -- Thursday to the bloc's tariff deal with US President Donald Trump, which Europe hopes to salvage while also racing to diversify its trade ties around the globe.

Brussels and Washington clinched the deal last summer that had set tariffs at 15 percent for most EU goods.

But Trump's 2025 tariff blitz, including hefty levies on steel, aluminium and car parts, has jolted the 27-country bloc into cultivating trade ties around the world.

From deals signed with South America to Australia, the EU has its eyes on many prizes.

But that doesn't mean the EU intends to walk away from the 1.6 trillion euro ($1.9 trillion) relationship with its main trade partner, the United States, AFP reported.

The European Parliament is voting Thursday on whether to cut EU tariffs on some US imports -- as a first step towards implementing the 2025 deal -- but with additional safeguards.

The potential green light comes after months of delay as lawmakers resisted approving the accord due to transatlantic tensions over Greenland -- and then put it on hold again following the US Supreme Court's ruling striking down Trump's levies.

The ball started rolling again after the European Commission, in charge of EU trade policy, said it would stick to the pact despite the US ruling and called on lawmakers to do the same, having received reassurances from Washington.

Trump, however, retaliated after the ruling with a new tariff regime -- pushing EU lawmakers to tighten the existing agreement with numerous safeguards.

- Losing access to US energy? -

Lawmakers leading on trade have added several provisions: making an EU tariff reduction automatically lapse in March 2028, and tying tariff cuts on steel and aluminium goods to similar reductions by the US side.

Not all members of the parliament are convinced. French EU lawmakers from the centrist Renew group have said they will vote against the agreement.

"The only political value this agreement had to offer was stability and predictability, even if many say it's an unfair deal. If it no longer even provides predictability, there's no reason to support the deal, even if it has been improved," said MEP Pascal Canfin.

The United States has urged the bloc to implement the agreement.

Washington's ambassador to the EU Andrew Puzder told the Financial Times that if the bloc delayed further, it risked losing "favorable" access to US liquefied natural gas at a time when the Middle East war has led to surging energy costs.

Before the US tariff deal is implemented by the bloc, it still needs to be negotiated with EU member states -- although Brussels hopes talks will go quickly.

- 'Trump factor' -

It is the EU's vulnerability to the consequences of wars and other shocks that has pushed Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen to make diversifying trading partners a priority, to cut overdependence on the United States and China.

The frenzy began with a long-awaited accord signed with the South American Mercosur bloc in January. Weeks later, Brussels struck another pact with India and just this week clinched a stalled deal with Australia.

"The Trump factor sped up their conclusion, for us as well as for our partners," economist Andre Sapir said.

Spurred by Trump, Sapir said, the EU has been pushing to create the world's largest network of free trade areas -- a strategy with a "defensive dimension" allowing it to resist trade "coercion".

"This free trade network carries weight in our discussions with the two giants, the United States and China," he said.

"These agreements are part of our arsenal," Sapir, of the Bruegel think tank, added. "Our strategic weapons in the international order."


China Shipping Giant Cosco Resumes Bookings to Some Gulf Countries

A cargo ship operated by Cosco Shipping is docked at the foreign trade container terminal of Qingdao Port, operated by Shandong Port Group, in China's eastern Shandong province on March 25, 2026. (Photo by CN-STR / AFP)
A cargo ship operated by Cosco Shipping is docked at the foreign trade container terminal of Qingdao Port, operated by Shandong Port Group, in China's eastern Shandong province on March 25, 2026. (Photo by CN-STR / AFP)
TT

China Shipping Giant Cosco Resumes Bookings to Some Gulf Countries

A cargo ship operated by Cosco Shipping is docked at the foreign trade container terminal of Qingdao Port, operated by Shandong Port Group, in China's eastern Shandong province on March 25, 2026. (Photo by CN-STR / AFP)
A cargo ship operated by Cosco Shipping is docked at the foreign trade container terminal of Qingdao Port, operated by Shandong Port Group, in China's eastern Shandong province on March 25, 2026. (Photo by CN-STR / AFP)

Chinese shipping giant Cosco said on Wednesday that it was resuming new bookings for container shipments to some Gulf countries, after a three-week suspension in response to the Middle East war.

The state-owned, Shanghai-based firm was among several major shipping groups to pause operations in the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway through which one-fifth of the world's oil and gas passes normally.

Tehran has said several times it was not targeting friendly nations, but transits through the Strait had nevertheless largely ground to a halt.

Iran said in a statement circulated by the International Maritime Organization on Tuesday that "non-hostile vessels" would be granted safe passage through the waterway.

Cosco "resumed new bookings for general cargo containers for shipments" from the "Far East" to the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq "with immediate effect", according to a company statement.

It did not mention shipments travelling in the opposite direction, from the Gulf.

"New booking arrangements and the actual carriage are subject to change due to the volatile situation in the Middle East region," it added.

Cosco, which operates one of the world's largest oil tanker fleets, announced on March 4 that it would suspend new bookings for services for routes through the Strait of Hormuz owing to the "escalating conflicts in the Middle East region and resultant restrictions on maritime traffic".