How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
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How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)

The Saudi capital underwent an unprecedented structural shift in its real estate market in 2025, driven by a forward-looking agenda led by Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince and Prime Minister. Far from incremental regulation, the year’s measures amounted to a deep corrective overhaul aimed at dismantling long-standing distortions, breaking land hoarding, expanding affordable housing supply, and firmly rebalancing landlord-tenant relations.

Together, the decisions ended years of speculation fueled by artificial scarcity and pushed the market toward maturity, one grounded in real demand, fair pricing, and transparency.

Observers dubbed 2025 a “white revolution” for Saudi real estate. The reforms severed the link between property and short-term speculation, restoring housing as a sustainable residential and investment product. Below is a detailed outline of the most significant of these historic decisions:

1- Unlocking land, boosting supply

In March, authorities lifted restrictions on sale, subdivision, development permits, and planning approvals for 81 million square meters north of Riyadh. A similar decision in October freed another 33.24 million square meters to the west.

The Royal Commission for Riyadh City was also mandated to deliver 10,000 - 40,000 fully serviced plots annually at subsidized prices capped at SAR 1,500 per square meter, curbing price manipulation and offering real alternatives for citizens.

2- Rent controls and contractual fairness

To stabilize households and businesses, the government froze annual rent increases for residential and commercial leases in Riyadh for five years starting in September. Enforced through the upgraded “Ejar” platform, the move halted arbitrary hikes while aligning growth with residents’ quality of life.

3- Tougher fees

An improved White Land Tax took effect in August, extending beyond vacant plots to include unoccupied built properties. Annual fees rose to as much as 10% of land value for parcels of 5,000 square meters or more within urban limits, raising the cost of land hoarding and incentivizing prompt development.

4- Investment openness and digital governance

A revised foreign ownership regime allowed non-Saudis - individuals and companies - to own property in designated zones under strict criteria, injecting international liquidity. Transparency was reinforced by the launch of the “Real Estate Balance” platform, providing real-time price indicators based on actual transactions and curbing phantom pricing.

5- Quality and urban standards

Policy shifted from quantity to quality with mandatory application of the Saudi Building Code and sustainability standards for all new developments, ensuring long-term operational value and preventing low-quality sprawl.

Structural shift

Sector specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat the measures represent a qualitative leap in market management, moving Riyadh from a scarcity and speculation-led cycle to a balanced market governed by genuine demand, efficient land use, disciplined contracts, and transparent indicators.

Khaled Al-Mobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., said the reforms were timely and corrective after years of rapid price escalation. He noted early positives: slowing price growth, a return to realistic negotiations, increased supply in some districts, and better-quality offerings focused on intrinsic value rather than quick appreciation.

Abdullah Al-Moussa, a real estate expert and broker, described the steps as addressing root causes, not symptoms.

He observed a behavioral shift, especially in northern Riyadh, from “hold and wait” to reassessment, alongside calmer price momentum, renewed interest in actual development, and clearer rental dynamics.

Saqr Al-Zahrani, another market expert, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the reforms tackled structural imbalances by breaking artificial scarcity created by undeveloped land banks.

Opening vast tracts north and west and introducing market-wide indicators restored “organized abundance,” aligning prices with real demand and purchasing power without heavy-handed intervention, he remarked.

He added that recent months have seen weaker demand for raw land and stalled auctions, contrasted with rising interest in off-plan sales and partnerships with developers.

Banks, too, have reprioritized toward projects with operational viability, lifting overall supply quality despite a temporary slowdown in some transactions.

Consumers, meanwhile, are showing greater patience and interest in self-build options, signaling a maturing market awareness.

Outlook

Experts expect the effects to continue through 2027, delivering broad price stability with limited corrections in overheated locations rather than sharp declines.

Homeownership, especially among young buyers, is projected to rise as capital shifts from land speculation to long-term development.

The 2025 decisions were not short-term fixes but the launch of a new social and economic trajectory for Riyadh’s property market, redefining real estate as a housing service and value-adding investment, not a speculative vessel.

As Riyadh advances toward becoming one of the world’s ten largest city economies, its real estate reset offers a model for aligning regulation with quality of life, transparency, and sustainable growth.



Dollar Set for Second Straight Weekly Fall despite US-Iran Clashes

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Set for Second Straight Weekly Fall despite US-Iran Clashes

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar was down and heading for a second straight weekly fall on Friday as investors stayed cautiously optimistic about a swift end to the Middle East conflict, after President Donald Trump said the ceasefire remained in place despite renewed US-Iran hostilities.

The two sides have occasionally exchanged fire since the ceasefire took effect on April 7, with Iran hitting targets in Gulf countries.

Analysts flagged that oil prices were modestly higher, a fragile ceasefire broadly held and reports indicated that US-Iran talks were continuing, according to Reuters.

They also noted that positioning has returned to historical averages and is no longer as supportive for the dollar as it was a few weeks ago.

“The hope for risk bulls is still that China is adding pressure on the US to reach some kind of deal in the Gulf before the 14-15 May Trump-Xi summit,” said Francesco Pesole, forex strategist at ING.

“The outlook is looking quite binary from here for the dollar, with the reaction in equities still likely to have a bigger bearing than oil volatility on the dollar,” he added.

Stocks were down in Europe but US stock index futures rose on Friday as a recovery in chipmakers helped offset worries about renewed US-Iran tensions.

The dollar index measured against key peers fell 0.28% at 97.96, after hitting 97.623 earlier this week, its lowest level since February 27, a day before the war started. It was set for a weekly drop of 0.22% after falling 0.31% the previous week.

Investors flocked to the safe-haven dollar and sold currencies of oil-dependent economies such as Japan and the euro area after oil prices surged following Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Markets are also bracing for the US non-farm payrolls report later on Friday, and it may take an outlier number, particularly a sufficiently weak one, to really move the dial on dollar volatility.

"An unchanged unemployment rate and labour force participation rate are also expected, so the report should not alter the outlook for the Fed," said Volkmar Baur, forex analyst at Commerzbank.

The euro was up 0.35% at $1.1765, poised to end the week a touch firmer.


FAO: World Food Prices Rise to More Than Three Year High in April

People buy food at Ningxia Night Market in Taipei, Taiwan May, 6, 2026. REUTERS/Ann Wang
People buy food at Ningxia Night Market in Taipei, Taiwan May, 6, 2026. REUTERS/Ann Wang
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FAO: World Food Prices Rise to More Than Three Year High in April

People buy food at Ningxia Night Market in Taipei, Taiwan May, 6, 2026. REUTERS/Ann Wang
People buy food at Ningxia Night Market in Taipei, Taiwan May, 6, 2026. REUTERS/Ann Wang

World food prices climbed in April to their highest in more than three years, with vegetable oils particularly elevated due to the Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said on Friday.

FAO Chief Economist Máximo Torero said vegetable oil prices are being driven by elevated energy costs that are in turn raising demand for biofuels made using organic materials, such as oil-rich ⁠plants.

He added, however, ⁠that despite war-linked disruptions, agri-food systems were showing resilience, with cereal prices having increased only moderately thanks to adequate supplies from previous seasons.

The FAO Food Price Index, which measures changes in a basket of globally traded food commodities, rose for a third consecutive month in April to average 130.7 points, the UN agency said, up ⁠1.6% from its revised March level and the highest since February 2023.

The index hit a peak of 160.2 in March 2022 after the start of the Ukraine war, Reuters reported.

The FAO's April vegetable oil price index rose 5.9% month-on-month to its highest since July 2022 as a result of increased soy, sunflower, rapeseed oil and palm oil prices, the latter, notably, underpinned by biofuels policy incentives.

By contrast, April cereal prices rose just 0.8% from March and were up 0.4% from a year ago, reflecting modestly higher prices for ⁠the likes ⁠of wheat and maize linked to weather concerns, rising fertilizer costs and increased biofuels demand.

There are expectations for reduced 2026 wheat plantings, the UN agency said, as farmers shift to less fertilizer-intensive crops given prices for the inputs have surged.

Elsewhere, April meat prices rose 1.2% month-on-month to a record high amid limited slaughter-ready cattle in Brazil, the FAO said, while sugar dropped 4.7% thanks to forecasts for ample supply in Brazil, China and Thailand.

In a separate report, the FAO slightly raised its 2025 global cereal production estimate to a record 3.040 billion metric tons, 6% above levels seen in the prior year.


Gold Set for Weekly Gain as Markets Focus on US-Iran Peace Deal Prospects

FILE PHOTO: Gold ornaments are placed for polishing inside a Senco Gold & Diamonds jewelry workshop in Kolkata, India, January 29, 2026. REUTERS/Sahiba Chawdhary/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold ornaments are placed for polishing inside a Senco Gold & Diamonds jewelry workshop in Kolkata, India, January 29, 2026. REUTERS/Sahiba Chawdhary/File Photo
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Gold Set for Weekly Gain as Markets Focus on US-Iran Peace Deal Prospects

FILE PHOTO: Gold ornaments are placed for polishing inside a Senco Gold & Diamonds jewelry workshop in Kolkata, India, January 29, 2026. REUTERS/Sahiba Chawdhary/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold ornaments are placed for polishing inside a Senco Gold & Diamonds jewelry workshop in Kolkata, India, January 29, 2026. REUTERS/Sahiba Chawdhary/File Photo

Gold rose on Friday and was headed for a weekly gain on easing fears of inflation and higher interest rates, as investors remained optimistic about a US-Iran peace deal despite renewed hostilities.

Spot gold was up 0.85% at $4,709.06 per ounce, as of 0739 GMT. Bullion has gained 2% so far this week.

US gold ‌futures for June ‌delivery rose 0.1% to $4,716.50. The United States ‌and ⁠Iran exchanged fire ⁠on Thursday in the most serious test yet of their month-long ceasefire, but Iran said the situation returned to normal while the US said it did not want to escalate.

"The comments that we've had from the Trump administration this morning that the ceasefire is holding and that there's still lingering optimism that ⁠a deal will get done between the US ‌and Iran - that's kind of ‌supporting the gold market for now," said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial ‌market analyst at Capital.com.

Gold prices have fallen more than 10% ‌since the war began in late February, pressured by higher oil prices. Elevated crude oil prices can stoke inflation, increasing the likelihood of higher interest rates. While gold is seen as an inflation hedge, high ‌interest rates tend to weigh on the non-yielding asset.

"We just wait for the next ⁠headline about ⁠whether the US and Iran are getting close to agreeing on something. I think that there could be some choppy price action in the next 24 hours going into the end of the week," Rodda said.

Markets now await the monthly US employment report due later in the day to assess how the Federal Reserve will move forward with monetary policy this year. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 62,000 last month after rebounding by 178,000 in March, a Reuters survey of economists predicted.

Spot silver rose 1.5% to $79.68 per ounce, platinum gained 1.2% to $2,045.38, and palladium was up 1.4% at $1,500.91.