Egypt's Non-oil Private Sector Output Keeps Growing, PMI Shows

The construction site of the futuristic Iconic Tower skyscraper in a business district, built by China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) in the New Administrative Capital (NAC) east of Cairo, Egypt, January 19, 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
The construction site of the futuristic Iconic Tower skyscraper in a business district, built by China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) in the New Administrative Capital (NAC) east of Cairo, Egypt, January 19, 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
TT

Egypt's Non-oil Private Sector Output Keeps Growing, PMI Shows

The construction site of the futuristic Iconic Tower skyscraper in a business district, built by China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) in the New Administrative Capital (NAC) east of Cairo, Egypt, January 19, 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
The construction site of the futuristic Iconic Tower skyscraper in a business district, built by China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) in the New Administrative Capital (NAC) east of Cairo, Egypt, January 19, 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

Egypt's non-oil private sector output grew for the third consecutive month in January, marking the longest period of expansion since late 2020, S&P Global reported on Tuesday, but demand conditions eased.

The headline seasonally adjusted S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell slightly to 49.8 in January from 50.2 in December, indicating a ‌marginal weakening ‌in overall operating conditions. ‌A ⁠PMI reading ‌below 50.0 suggests contraction, while above 50.0 indicates growth.

Despite that decline, the PMI remained above its long-term average, reflecting a robust pace of non-oil GDP growth, Reuters reported. Output increased for the third month, ⁠driven by stronger demand from abroad, although domestic ‌sales slipped slightly after ‍two months of ‍expansion.

The reduction in backlogs of work, ‍the fastest in nearly three years, led to a significant decline in employment, the largest since October 2023.

"A note of caution was sounded by a decline in backlogs of work in January, ⁠which indicates that firms may have less room to expand in the coming months," said David Owen, Senior Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Companies also reduced their selling prices for the first time since mid-2020, as cost pressures eased.
Looking ahead, Egyptian firms remain cautiously optimistic, with expectations for activity ‌levels over the next 12 months only marginally positive.



Barclays Says Brent Crude Oil Could Reach $100 a Barrel

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is seen behind a 3D printed oil pipeline in this illustration taken June 22, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is seen behind a 3D printed oil pipeline in this illustration taken June 22, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
TT

Barclays Says Brent Crude Oil Could Reach $100 a Barrel

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is seen behind a 3D printed oil pipeline in this illustration taken June 22, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is seen behind a 3D printed oil pipeline in this illustration taken June 22, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Barclays boosted its Brent crude oil futures price forecast to around $100 per barrel on Saturday, up from $80 on Friday, after the United States and Israel bombed several sites in Iran.

"Oil markets might have to face their worst fears on Monday. As things stand right now, we think Brent could hit $100 (per barrel), as the market grapples with the threat of a ⁠potential supply disruption amid ⁠a spiraling security situation in the Middle East," the bank said in a report.

The United States and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday, targeting its top leaders and calling for the overthrow ⁠of its government, while Iran responded with missiles fired at Israel and neighboring Gulf countries.

Oil prices rose about 2% on Friday, with traders bracing for supply disruptions as nuclear talks between the US and Iran had yet to reach an agreement.

Brent settled at $72.48 a barrel.

About a fifth of the oil consumed globally passes through the Strait of ⁠Hormuz between ⁠Oman and Iran, making any disruptions in the area a major risk to global oil supplies.


Oil Prices Set for Swings Next Week as US-Israel Strikes Raise Supply Uncertainty

Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
TT

Oil Prices Set for Swings Next Week as US-Israel Strikes Raise Supply Uncertainty

Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)

Oil markets currently closed for the weekend are set to see price swings next week as the impact from the US and Israeli strikes on oil supplies from the Middle East remains unclear.

Scenarios before the latest conflict with Iran foresaw a quick price spike that fades if the attacks didn't affect oil shipping and infrastructure such as Iranian pipelines and its Kharg island terminal. However, there would be a bigger price spike and longer-lasting impact if oil infrastructure or supplies were interrupted, for instance because of disruption of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices have already risen on war fears. International benchmark Brent crude closed at a seven-month high of $72.87 on Friday, Reuters reported.

Iran exports some 1.6 million barrels of oil a day, most of it going to China, where privately owned refineries are less concerned about the US sanctions that prevent Iran from selling its oil elsewhere. If that supply is disrupted, Chinese customers would look elsewhere for oil on the global market, potentially driving up prices.

Another question is around the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil supply pass through each day. Middle East exporters Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates send most of their exports through the strait. However analysts say Iran has no incentive to try to close the strait because it would cut off its own exports and hurt its only big customer, China.

Limited strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and the Revolutionary Guard that avoid regime change or all-out war could see prices jump $5-$10 based on fear alone, according to Rystad Energy in a prewar scenario.

A wider war involving Iranian disruption of tanker traffic could see crude push past $90 per barrel and US gas prices “well above” $3 per gallon, according to another prewar scenario from Clayton Seigle at the Center for Strategic & International Studies. US gas prices averaged $2.98 per gallon last week according to US motoring club AAA.


Israel Shuts Down Gas Fields After US-Israel Strikes on Iran

The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
TT

Israel Shuts Down Gas Fields After US-Israel Strikes on Iran

The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch

The Israeli Energy Ministry has ordered the temporary shutdown of parts of the country's natural gas reservoirs after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran on Saturday.

The Leviathan gas field offshore Israel, operated by Chevron has been shut down, three sources told Reuters. Energean’s production vessel that serves several Israeli fields has also been shut down, the company said in a statement.

Israel’s ministry said the decision was based on “the current situation and in accordance with security assessments”, Reuters reported.

It said country’s energy needs would be met through alternative sources and that the electricity sector was prepared to operate power stations using alternative fuels if necessary.