Erdogan’s Saudi Visit to Boost Economic, Investment Ties

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
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Erdogan’s Saudi Visit to Boost Economic, Investment Ties

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)

Türkiye President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s visit to Saudi Arabia has given fresh momentum to economic ties between the two countries and opened new avenues for cooperation in trade, energy, and joint investments.

A joint statement issued at the end of Erdogan’s visit to Riyadh on Wednesday said the two sides were determined to move ahead with strengthening their political and economic partnership.

The statement said that Erdogan and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman “held a session of official talks during which they reviewed the historical relations between the two brotherly countries and ways to develop them in all fields.”

The statement showed Saudi-Turkish alignment on deepening economic and investment cooperation and on capitalizing on opportunities offered by Saudi Vision 2030 and the Century of Türkiye Vision.

“In the economic, trade, and investment sectors, both sides commended the strength of the economic ties between the two countries and agreed on further strengthening them, particularly in sectors of mutual priority. They also agreed to capitalize on the investment opportunities offered by the (Saudi Vision 2030) and (Century of Türkiye Vision), for the mutual benefit of both economies,” the statement read.

Emphasizing boosting non-oil trade and activating the Saudi-Turkish Business Council, the statement said the leaders “praised the level of trade exchange and stressed the importance of continued joint efforts to develop the non-oil trade volume, intensify mutual visits between officials in the public and private sectors, and hold trade events in both countries through the (Saudi-Turkish Business Council).”

Energy cooperation

Energy featured prominently in the discussions, with both sides stressing the importance of cooperation in oil, petrochemicals, and renewable energy, and exploring electricity interconnection, clean hydrogen, and energy supply chains to enhance energy security and sustainability.

“Both sides agreed to enhance cooperation in the fields of oil, oil derivatives, and petrochemical supply, and to work together to exploit investment opportunities in the petrochemical and agricultural nutrients sectors, as well as to cooperate on innovative uses of hydrocarbons,” the statement read.

“Both sides affirmed their desire to enhance cooperation in the fields of electricity and renewable energy, leveraging both countries’ extensive experience in renewable energy integration and the Kingdom’s large-scale energy investments.”

“They committed to expediting feasibility studies for electrical interconnection between the two countries, exchanging expertise in electricity and renewable energy technologies and grid automation, electrical grid security and resilience, renewable energy projects, grid interconnection, energy storage technologies, and promoting the participation of companies from both sides in implementing these projects,” it affirmed.

“They also emphasized the importance of strengthening cooperation in energy efficiency and conservation, raising awareness of its importance, and exchanging expertise in the energy services sector and capacity building in this field.”

The two sides also underscored cooperation in mining and the production of critical minerals in support of the global energy transition.

“Both sides agreed to strengthen cooperation in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral resources. They also emphasized the importance of international cooperation and joint ventures in critical minerals to ensure the security of supply chains essential for the global energy transition.”

Several agreements and memoranda of understanding were signed during a meeting of the Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council on the sidelines of the visit, covering energy, justice, space, and research and development.

Regarding the Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council, the statement said: “Both sides commended the level of coordination and cooperation within the framework of the (Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council), aimed at achieving shared interests and advancing them to new horizons across all sectors.”

“They emphasized the importance of strengthening cooperation and partnership in the following areas: digital economy, artificial intelligence, emerging technologies, and space technologies; transportation, logistics, and civil aviation; law and justice; culture; tourism; sports and youth; scientific and educational cooperation; media; environment, water, agriculture, and food security; customs, defense industries; Health.”

Reflecting the strong desire to deepen strategic energy cooperation, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and Turkish Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan Bayraktar signed an agreement to collaborate on renewable power generation projects totaling about $2 billion in investment.

The agreement aims to enhance cooperation in renewable energy and green technologies and to support the development and implementation of high-quality projects that help diversify the energy mix, strengthen energy security, and accelerate the shift toward a low-carbon economy in line with both countries’ priorities.

It includes the development and implementation of solar power plants in Türkiye with a total installed capacity of up to 5,000 megawatts in two phases.

The first phase includes two solar projects in the Turkish provinces of Sivas and Karaman, with a combined capacity of 2,000 megawatts. In contrast, the second phase covers additional projects under agreed frameworks, adding an extra 3,000 megawatts.

Projects under the first phase will offer electricity prices that are highly competitive with those of other renewable plants in Türkiye. With investments of about $2 billion, the plants will supply electricity to more than two million Turkish households.

A state-owned Turkish company will purchase the electricity generated by the plants for 30 years, while the projects will maximize the use of locally sourced equipment and services during implementation.

Boost to foreign investment

Turkish Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek said the agreement would significantly boost foreign direct investment inflows into Türkiye.

Writing on X on Wednesday, Simsek said "the pace of FDI is picking up, underscoring the growing credibility of our economic program."

"An FDI inflow of USD2bn in Türkiye’s renewable energy projects will accelerate the green transition, enhance energy security, and structurally reduce reliance on energy imports," he added.

Simsek also noted that foreign direct investment in Türkiye reached $12.4 billion in the first 11 months of 2025, up 28% from the same period in 2024.

Economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye have seen substantial growth over the past two years, reflected in rising trade volumes.

Türkiye’s interest in further strengthening ties was evident in Erdogan’s decision to bring a large business delegation of around 200 company heads and representatives to Riyadh, alongside officials from regional offices of Turkish companies.

The private sector plays a central role in the Saudi-Turkish partnership. Participants at the Saudi-Turkish Economic Forum, held on the sidelines of Erdogan’s visit, stressed the need to enter a new phase focused on implementing joint projects.

Trade growth accelerates

Turkish direct investments in Saudi Arabia have exceeded $2 billion, concentrated in manufacturing, real estate, construction, agriculture, and trade.

Nail Olpak, head of Türkiye’s Foreign Economic Relations Board, said trade with Saudi Arabia was growing at a rapid pace, noting that despite a slowdown in overseas activity by Turkish contractors, they continue to carry out major projects in the kingdom.

According to the latest official Saudi data, total trade between the two countries reached about $8 billion in 2025, up 14% from the previous year. By the end of last year, 1,473 investment licenses had been issued to active Turkish companies.

Saudi Arabia exports crude oil and petrochemical products to Türkiye and imports a range of goods, including carpets, processed stone for construction, tobacco products, food, and furniture.

Data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed bilateral trade of $5.59 billion in 2015, $5.007 billion in 2016, $4.845 billion in 2017, $4.954 billion in 2018, and $5.107 billion in 2019.

After a decline in 2020 and 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, trade rebounded to $6.493 billion in 2022 and $6.825 billion in 2023, exceeding $7 billion in 2024.

Türkiye’s exports to Saudi Arabia rose to $3.1496 billion in 2025, out of the total bilateral trade of about $8 billion.



Trump Says He’ll Place 25% Tariff on Autos from EU, Accusing Bloc of Not Complying with Trade Deal

Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
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Trump Says He’ll Place 25% Tariff on Autos from EU, Accusing Bloc of Not Complying with Trade Deal

Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)

President Donald Trump said Friday that he will increase the tariffs charged on cars and trucks from the European Union next week to 25%, a move that could jolt the world economy at a fragile moment.

Trump said in the post that the EU “is not complying with our fully agreed to Trade Deal,” though he did not flesh out his objections in the post.

Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had agreed to the trade deal last July. It set a 15% tariff on most goods.

Both the US and the EU had previously confirmed their commitment to preserving the trade framework, known as the Turnberry Agreement, which was named after Trump’s golf course in Scotland.

But the status of the 2025 deal was first cast into doubt after the Supreme Court this year ruled that the Republican president lacked the legal authority to declare an economic emergency and charge tariffs on EU goods.

The initial agreement had been a tariff ceiling of 15% on goods from the EU, but the Supreme Court ruling reduced that to 10% as the Trump administration launched a new set of import taxes based on other laws.

The Trump administration is in the middle of investigations on trade imbalances and national security risks to impose a new tariff regime, which could ultimately put the agreement with the EU in risk of violation.

The EU had said it expected the bilateral deal would save European automakers about 500 million to 600 million euros ($585 million to $700 million) a month.

The value of EU-US trade in goods and services amounted to 1.7 trillion euros ($2 trillion) in 2024, or an average of 4.6 billion euros a day, according to EU statistics agency Eurostat.

“A deal is a deal,” the European Commission said in February after the Supreme Court ruling. “As the United States’ largest trading partner, the EU expects the US to honor its commitments set out in the Joint Statement — just as the EU stands by its commitments. EU products must continue to benefit from the most competitive treatment, with no increases in tariffs beyond the clear and all-inclusive ceiling previously agreed.”


Chevron's Upstream Strength Lifts First-quarter Earnings Past Estimate

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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Chevron's Upstream Strength Lifts First-quarter Earnings Past Estimate

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Chevron exceeded Wall Street estimates for its first-quarter earnings on Friday, as elevated oil prices linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran helped boost results from its upstream business.

The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.41 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 95 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. Despite the strong beat, overall profit marked its lowest level in five years, partly due to unfavorable timing effects tied to financial derivatives.

Chevron's upstream segment, its largest business unit, generated $3.9 billion in earnings, up 4% year-on-year as higher oil prices led to increased revenue.

"Despite heightened geopolitical volatility and related supply disruptions, Chevron delivered solid first-quarter performance, underscoring the resilience of our portfolio and the value of disciplined execution," CEO Mike Wirth said in a statement.

The conflict with Iran, which began on February 28, significantly disrupted global energy markets. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was nearly halted, tightening supply and pushing oil prices up as much as 50% during the reported quarter.

Net income for the January-March period totaled $2.2 billion, down from $3.5 billion a year earlier. However, Chevron's exposure to the Middle East turmoil remains limited, accounting for less than 5% of its total production.

DOWNSTREAM RESULTS IN THE RED

In contrast, downstream operations swung to a loss of $817 million, from a profit of $325 million last year. This decline was largely due to accounting mismatches from derivative-related timing effects, which are expected to start reversing in the next quarter.

Larger rival Exxon also disclosed a similar hit from timing effects.

Chevron anticipates that paper positions worth about $1 billion will close and result in profit in the second quarter, Chief Financial Officer Eimear Bonner said in an interview.

Excluding timing effects that are typical in a volatile environment, she said Chevron's underlying business was strong.

"We can see cash flow growing, we can see earnings growing, and all our plans are on track."

The company said it could see additional timing effects if oil prices continue to rise and further "unwinds" when prices fall.

LIMITED MIDDLE EAST EXPOSURE

Chevron has lower production exposure to the Middle East compared with its peers. Production in the US remained robust, exceeding 2 million barrels per day for the third consecutive quarter, the company said.

First-quarter volumes declined slightly to 3.86 million barrels of oil equivalent per day compared with the previous three months due to downtime at the Tengiz field in Kazakhstan after a fire.

Free cash flow also swung to a negative $1.5 billion due to lower operating cash flow. On an adjusted basis excluding impacts to working capital, the metric was still down from the year-ago quarter.

Bonner reaffirmed the company's target of achieving at least 10% annual growth in adjusted free cash flow through 2030. During the quarter, Chevron paid $3.5 billion in dividends and repurchased $2.5 billion worth of shares. The buyback figure was lower than the previous quarter, though Bonner said the company continues to target full-year buybacks between $10 billion and $20 billion.

Chevron's results were strong, though some investors may be disappointed by the lack of buyback increases, said Biraj Borkhataria, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets, in a research note. He added that stronger cash generation this year could help lift repurchases in the second quarter.

The company said that capital expenditure in the first three months of 2026 was higher than last year, partly due to investments tied to its Hess acquisition, although this was offset by reduced spending in the Permian Basin.

Chevron shares were up less than 1% in pre-market trading.


Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as High Oil Prices Feed inflation worries

A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
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Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as High Oil Prices Feed inflation worries

A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)

Gold prices fell more than 1% on Friday and were headed for a weekly loss of a similar magnitude, as elevated oil prices continued to fan inflation concerns that would discourage central banks from cutting interest rates.

Spot gold was down 1.1% at $4,573.33 per ounce at 1149 GMT, and on track for a weekly loss of 2.8%. US gold futures for June delivery fell 1% to $4,585.20.

"Gold remains negatively correlated to oil in the short term, as it impacts interest rate expectations," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Iran said on Thursday it would respond with "long and painful strikes" on US positions if Washington renewed attacks, reiterating its claim to the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported.

Brent crude prices have touched double the levels seen at the start of the year, raising concerns about a global economic slowdown and higher inflation as fuel prices surge.

US inflation accelerated in March as the war raised gasoline prices, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates on hold well into next year.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, following similar decisions this week by the Fed and the Bank of Japan.

Gold, traditionally seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty and inflation, can come under pressure in a high interest rate environment as it loses its appeal to yield-bearing assets like US Treasuries.

However, Staunovo said UBS retained a constructive outlook over the next six to 12 months.

"Uncertainty surrounding upcoming (US) midterm elections, expectations of a weaker US dollar over time, and declining real interest rates (as the Fed cuts) will likely support investment demand alongside continued central bank demand," he said.

He added that these factors could drive prices towards $5,900/oz by late 2026.

Spot silver prices fell 0.3% to $73.53 per ounce, platinum was down 0.5% at $1,975.65, and palladium lost 0.1% to $1,522.18.