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Saudi Arabia Unifies Competitiveness, Business Under Agile Governance

A beneficiary looks at a brochure for the Saudi Business Center (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A beneficiary looks at a brochure for the Saudi Business Center (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Unifies Competitiveness, Business Under Agile Governance

A beneficiary looks at a brochure for the Saudi Business Center (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A beneficiary looks at a brochure for the Saudi Business Center (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is moving ahead with restructuring its institutional framework to keep pace with the speed of economic transformation after the Cabinet decided to merge the National Competitiveness Center and the Saudi Business Center under the umbrella of the Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business.

The move reshapes the business environment, accelerates reforms and strengthens governance to support a more attractive economy.

Commerce Minister Dr. Majid Al-Qasabi said following the Cabinet decision that the merger represents a pivotal regulatory step reflecting a strategic direction toward enhancing institutional integration, improving the efficiency of monitoring business environment challenges and speeding up reforms to facilitate doing business.

The step supports private sector empowerment and contributes to boosting the Kingdom’s competitiveness.

According to several specialists, the decision is not merely a cosmetic change, but a unification of direction and intensification of efforts toward a single goal: a more efficient, faster and globally competitive investment environment.

They said the merger reshapes the business landscape and accelerates reforms in the Kingdom.

Unifying the track

The move comes as the Kingdom continues restructuring its institutions to match the pace of transformation, most recently by merging the two centers to serve entrepreneurs and foreign investors alike in terms of efficiency, speed and competitiveness.

Specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the step is distinctly strategic and reflects the Kingdom’s adoption of “agile governance.”

They said merging the National Competitiveness Center with the Saudi Business Center is not just a change of name, but a unification of direction and consolidation of efforts to serve one objective: a global investment environment.

Institutional integration

Shura Council member Fadl bin Saad Al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that there is a close link between competitiveness and business, noting that competitiveness outcomes ultimately serve economic activities through support, incentives, facilitation and addressing challenges.

Al-Buainain said the decision to merge the National Competitiveness Center and the Saudi Business Center under the name Saudi Center for Competitiveness and Business aims to enhance institutional integration by reorganizing and combining two independent entities.

He added that the step will improve the quality and alignment of outputs, help achieve competitiveness targets and support the business sector simultaneously.

It will also enhance work efficiency, enable direct identification of challenges without the need to refer them to another entity, and accelerate completion, which in itself is a strategic objective that strengthens institutional efficiency, boosts the Kingdom’s competitiveness and supports the business sector.

Corrective decisions

Al-Buainain described the merger as a healthy regulatory process that contributes to reducing costs, focusing efforts and ensuring high-quality outputs aligned with strategic targets.

He stressed that the move followed a considerable period of independent operation and performance measurement before the merger decision was taken based on administrative and executive considerations.

He added that continuous review is a key feature of government work, enabling corrective strategic decisions that achieve overall benefit.

The step could mark the beginning of merging other interrelated government entities across sectors and services, contributing to more dynamic operations, faster completion, higher-quality outputs and better handling of challenges.

Shared factors

Osama bin Ghanem Al-Obaidi, adviser and professor of international commercial law, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the decision comes at an ideal time to achieve the goals of Vision 2030 by unifying efforts, simplifying procedures and creating a more efficient and globally competitive business environment.

Al-Obaidi said several shared factors made the merger a logical step, most notably improving the business environment, supporting the private sector, working with government entities to develop regulations, linking with competitiveness indicators, supporting economic transformation and implementing reforms, as well as relying on studies and economic analysis.

He added that the core common factor was that both entities were working along nearly the same axis of raising the competitiveness of the Saudi economy and facilitating doing business, albeit from complementary angles, which explains their consolidation into a single entity.

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Business

Eni Warns Oil Market Risks Breaking Out of Current Range if Iran War Continues

Tugboats guide the crude oil tanker Odessa, carrying UAE crude after passing through the Strait of Hormuz with its Automatic Identification System transponder turned off, navigates the waters at Daesan port, where it is expected to discharge crude oil, in Seosan, South Korea, May 8, 2026. (Reuters)
Tugboats guide the crude oil tanker Odessa, carrying UAE crude after passing through the Strait of Hormuz with its Automatic Identification System transponder turned off, navigates the waters at Daesan port, where it is expected to discharge crude oil, in Seosan, South Korea, May 8, 2026. (Reuters)
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Eni Warns Oil Market Risks Breaking Out of Current Range if Iran War Continues

Tugboats guide the crude oil tanker Odessa, carrying UAE crude after passing through the Strait of Hormuz with its Automatic Identification System transponder turned off, navigates the waters at Daesan port, where it is expected to discharge crude oil, in Seosan, South Korea, May 8, 2026. (Reuters)
Tugboats guide the crude oil tanker Odessa, carrying UAE crude after passing through the Strait of Hormuz with its Automatic Identification System transponder turned off, navigates the waters at Daesan port, where it is expected to discharge crude oil, in Seosan, South Korea, May 8, 2026. (Reuters)

The global oil market will break out of its roughly $80-$100 range by the first quarter of 2027 at the latest, boosting inflation and reducing energy demand, if the Middle East conflict continues, Claudio Descalzi, the CEO of Italian state-controlled group Eni said.

The release of stockpiles has helped to keep crude prices largely within that range ⁠so far, he said in an interview with Il Sole 24 Ore newspaper published on Saturday.

Oil prices ended the week with solid gains despite easing from their midweek peaks following renewed US-Iran hostilities and attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude climbed above $75 a barrel before falling to the $70 averages, close to its pre-war trading.

Descalzi said the strategy carries growing risks because global reserves are finite.

“The long-term solution is greater energy security through diversification of supply sources and routes,” he said.

In March, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said its member countries have agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil in an attempt to bring down oil prices as the Iran crisis and the consequent disruption of shipments through the Strait of Hormuz inflicted massive shocks to energy markets.

The IEA’s maximum drawdown capability aims to decrease the safety margin in oil markets, increasing the likelihood of sharp, structural price fluctuations if any new supply disruptions emerge.

Every $5 increase in oil prices adds roughly $190 billion ⁠in annual costs to the global economy, according to Reuters calculations based on oil demand of 104 million barrels per day.

At current Brent prices, it would likely cost more than $70 billion to replace reserves drawn down ⁠to mitigate Iran war supply loss.

Descalzi said global oil stocks have fallen by an average 3.8 million barrels per day, accelerating ⁠to 4.6 million bpd in May, as a result of disruption linked to the Iran war that began at the end of February.

He said countries should focus on producers in North ⁠and sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia, while reducing dependence on controlled maritime passages.

Eni has limited exposure to the ⁠Middle East, while most of its upstream production is in Africa and Latin America.

Power demand generated by artificial ⁠intelligence technologies and the rapid expansion of data centers has increased the urgency of ensuring security of energy supply.

Business

Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at 'A+', Outlook Stable

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
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Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at 'A+', Outlook Stable

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Saudi Arabia's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at "A+" with a Stable Outlook, the agency said on Friday.

The rating reflects strong fiscal and external balance sheets, with government debt/GDP and sovereign net foreign assets (SNFA) considerably stronger than the "A" and "AA'" medians, and significant fiscal buffers in the form of deposits and other public sector assets, it added.

"Oil dependence and World Bank Governance Indicators (WBGI) have improved but remain weaknesses. Geopolitical risk is high, but the economy and public finances have been resilient to the US-Iran war," it stressed.

"Fitch forecasts real GDP growth will slow to 0.6% in 2026 due to disruption to trade caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz," it continued.

"Flows through the East-West pipeline supported oil production during the war and we expect output to be ramped up to meet external demand following the reopening of the Strait and to rebuild domestic stocks, but at an annual average of 9m b/d it will be below the 2025 level," it said.

"Non-oil growth will be hit by an inability to export petrochemicals during the closure of the Strait, but consumer spending held up and business confidence is recovering."

"Growth will rebound in 2027 as the normalization of flows through the Strait allows higher oil and petrochemicals production, before easing to 2.9% in 2028 The phased opening of gigaprojects (many of which have launched initial operations), the proximity of key events and guidance that the Public Investment Fund will keep domestic spending largely unchanged in its new five-year plan, will also support growth," Fitch noted.

The King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (SPA)

"The fiscal deficit is projected to narrow in 2026 owing to higher oil revenues, as prices will offset lower volumes. Spending will also rise, reflecting the impact of the war, but much of the jump in 1Q was the precautionary frontloading of spending from later in the year," it said.

Fitch forecasts that lower oil revenues will widen the deficit to 4.7% in 2027, consistent with a fiscal breakeven oil price of USD94/b.

Spending is expected to decline in 2027, due to an easing of war-related pressures, lower capex and ongoing efforts to reduce rigidities in current spending. Expenditure adjustment will allow the deficit to narrow in 2028 despite a projected further fall in oil prices.

"Our fiscal projections are consistent with a further increase in debt/GDP, which we project at 41.3% at end-2028 (projected peer median of 58.1%), from 31.8% at end-2025. based on deposits remaining around 10% of GDP," said Fitch.

"Fitch forecasts a small current account surplus for 2026 due to higher oil export revenues. Lower oil prices and ongoing domestic demand growth that has a heavy component of imported goods, services and labor, will lead to a deficit of 5% of GDP by 2028. Current account deficits will be financed by external borrowing and the ongoing reorientation of public assets to domestic from foreign investments," it continued.

"Banks have been resilient to the war and did not require any support measures from the central bank," it stressed. "At end-1Q, non-performing loans were 1.1% and the Tier 1 capital ratio 19.2%, both improved from end-2024. Credit growth has slowed, particularly mortgages, in response to policy measures, and is being outpaced by deposit growth."

Fitch maintained its mid-year 2026 sector outlook for Saudi banks at "neutral".

Business

Renewed US-Iran Conflict Narrows Egypt’s Economic Growth Prospects

 A traditional market in Egypt’s Giza Governorate. (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
 A traditional market in Egypt’s Giza Governorate. (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
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Renewed US-Iran Conflict Narrows Egypt’s Economic Growth Prospects

 A traditional market in Egypt’s Giza Governorate. (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
 A traditional market in Egypt’s Giza Governorate. (Asharq Al-Awsat) 

The renewed US-Iran conflict in the Middle East is expected to further curb Egypt’s economic growth prospects as global oil prices are forecast to rise again, while several sectors of the economy continue to grapple with the effects of months of conflict, analysts say.

In its latest World Economic Outlook report released days ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its forecast for Egypt’s economic growth in fiscal year 2026-27 to 4.4 percent, down from the 4.8 percent projected in April. The IMF cited “the continuing impact of the Iran conflict — particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — on the Middle East, weaker investment, higher financing costs, and persistent uncertainty.”

Economist Wael El-Nahas said the downgrade is “not limited to Egypt but reflects the global economy as a whole in light of the conflict’s repercussions,” describing the revision as both natural and expected.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, El-Nahas noted that the current period of skirmishes between the two sides could be viewed as a period of tacit understandings, allowing oil supplies to keep flowing while limiting sharp increases in food prices and other commodities. However, he warned that a renewed conflict would bring “a much worse period.”

Financial markets researcher Mohamed Mahdy Abdulnabi told Asharq Al-Awsat that geopolitical tensions are the main driver behind the weaker growth outlook.

He said Egypt faces several challenges under the current circumstances, including higher borrowing costs, greater reluctance among lenders to extend new financing, declining foreign investment, stagnation in the private sector, and continued losses at the Suez Canal.

President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has previously estimated the canal’s losses at $10 billion, citing regional tensions and their impact on Red Sea shipping.

Abdulnabi warned that if the conflict persists, pressure on Egypt’s economy will intensify. “When global oil prices fell below $70 a barrel, the Egyptian government did not cut domestic fuel prices. But as soon as prices began rising again, discussion resumed over the automatic fuel pricing mechanism and the need to increase fuel prices,” he remarked.

The government raised fuel prices by between 14 and 30 percent last March, just 10 days after the US-Iran conflict erupted, amid rising energy import costs.

El-Nahas warned that global oil prices could climb above $100 a barrel, noting that Egypt’s current state budget is based on an assumed oil price of about $75 a barrel. Any increase, he said, would raise the country’s energy import bill and widen the budget deficit. He also cautioned that it could trigger another round of fuel price hikes, further worsening the cost-of-living crisis.

Egypt’s annual inflation rate stood at 14.3 percent in June, down slightly from 14.6 percent in May.

Despite the risks, El-Nahas stressed that some sectors, particularly tourism, still have strong growth prospects despite the renewed US-Iran conflict.