Energy Prices Soar, Stock Markets Slide on Iran War Fallout

Gas prices surged and stocks sank after US and Israeli forces began striking Iran at the weekend © - / US NAVY/US CENTRAL COMMAND/AFP
Gas prices surged and stocks sank after US and Israeli forces began striking Iran at the weekend © - / US NAVY/US CENTRAL COMMAND/AFP
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Energy Prices Soar, Stock Markets Slide on Iran War Fallout

Gas prices surged and stocks sank after US and Israeli forces began striking Iran at the weekend © - / US NAVY/US CENTRAL COMMAND/AFP
Gas prices surged and stocks sank after US and Israeli forces began striking Iran at the weekend © - / US NAVY/US CENTRAL COMMAND/AFP

Oil and gas prices soared, stock markets slid and the dollar firmed on Monday as the widening Iran war shook financial markets across the globe.

European natural gas prices rocketed more than 50 percent after Qatar's state-run energy firm said it had halted liquefied natural gas production following Iranian attacks on facilities at two of its main gas processing bases.

Meanwhile world crude futures surged nearly nine percent on fears of disruption to supplies.

Asian and European stock markets retreated as much as over two percent as investors exited trades in favour of the dollar and gold, seen as safer bets in times of economic unrest, according to AFP.

The greenback jumped nearly one percent against the British pound before paring gains, while the precious metal rose 3.1 percent to $5,410.70 an ounce.

There were sizeable gains to share prices of energy majors and defence companies, with BAE Systems jumping six percent in London.

"Investors are scuttling towards safe havens, seeking shelter as conflict widens in the Middle East," noted Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club.

After US and Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend, Israel bombarded Lebanon on Monday following rocket fire from Hezbollah.

Several American warplanes crashed in Kuwait -- from friendly fire -- and Iran lashed out against the region with missiles as the war expanded.

The bombings have also seen the vital Strait of Hormuz -- through which around 20 percent of global seaborne oil passes -- effectively shut and several ships attacked.

Airline share prices took a battering as carriers were forced to cancel flights -- with Qantas and Singapore Airlines each losing around five percent.

British Airways owner IAG lost 5.8 percent Air France-KLM fell 8.3 percent.

However, energy firms rallied, with Australia's Woodside Energy jumping more than six percent, and PetroChina adding almost four percent.

Shell rose nearly three percent and TotalEnergies more than four percent.

"If higher oil prices persist, it raises the risk of stickier headline inflation," wrote Saxo Markets' Charu Chanana.

This could prove troublesome for US President Donald Trump, who has promised his electorate low prices, as the United States approaches mid-term elections in November.

Rising energy prices, increased shipping costs and loss of revenue for air transport could have "a harmful effect on growth", said economist Eric Dor from the IESEG School of Management in Paris.

"If it's a matter of three days, it's not serious. But if it's over a longer period, then it will have an additional recessionary effect," he told AFP.

In theory, oil-importing countries have reserves, with OECD members required to maintain 90 days' worth of stocks, but prices above $100 cannot be ruled out according to analysts.

If the disruption at Hormuz continues, "no matter how much spare capacity, (it) is not going to fill that gap. That gap is just too big," said Amena Bakr, head of Middle East and OPEC+ research at analysts Kpler.

Key members of the OPEC+ oil cartel on Sunday announced a greater-than-expected increase to production quotas.



Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Gold prices were on track for a second consecutive weekly drop, despite edging up on Friday, as surging energy prices due to the Middle East war dimmed prospects for near-term US interest rate cuts.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $5,095.55 per ounce, as of 0633 GMT on Friday. US gold futures for April delivery fell 0.1% to $5,100.20.

The US 10-year Treasury yields eased, increasing the appeal of the non-yielding bullion. Bullion, however, has ‌lost more ‌than 1% so far this week. Since the war ‌started ⁠on February 28, ⁠it has dropped over 3% so far.

Fears of inflation and questions about the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates if high oil prices persist are somewhat counteracting gold's appeal, said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

"Given the ongoing uncertainty about the duration and scope of the conflict in the Middle East, I expect gold to remain on the ⁠radar for investors as a safety play." Heightening geopolitical ‌tensions, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said ‌on Thursday that Tehran will keep the strategic Strait of Hormuz closed as ‌leverage against the US and Israel, which has stoked concerns about ‌global energy supply and risk assets.

Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel, as attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf and warnings from Iran shattered prospects of quick de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. As oil prices surged, US President Donald ‌Trump again demanded Fed Chair Jerome Powell cut interest rates.

Traders, however, expect the Fed to keep rates ⁠steady in the current ⁠3.5%-3.75% range at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. While recent inflation data suggest price growth is under control, the war and the resulting spike in crude prices have yet to filter through the data.

Investors are awaiting the release of the delayed January Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, expected on Friday. Gold discounts in India widened this week to their deepest point in nearly a decade as demand stayed subdued and some traders steered clear of paying import duties, while the escalating Middle East war boosted safe-haven demand in China.

Spot silver was down 1% at $82.91 per ounce. Spot platinum lost 1% to $2,111.45 and palladium fell 1% to $1,603.


Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
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Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)

Panama Canal Administrator Ricaurte Vásquez said Thursday that the conflict in the Middle East and rising fuel costs could ultimately benefit the interoceanic waterway as global shippers adjust routes.

In an interview with The Associated Press, Vásquez said that higher energy, fuel and navigation costs could make the Panama Canal a more attractive option for commercial traffic.

“When costs increase, in general when the price of marine fuel rises, the Panama Canal becomes a more attractive route,” Vásquez said.

Oil prices have risen amid the war in the Middle East, which has led to the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in response to US and Israeli attacks. About one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through the waterway at the mouth of the Gulf.

If higher energy costs persist, routing cargo through Panama can cut voyages by between three and 15 days, depending on the route, while reducing fuel consumption, he said.

Vásquez said higher fuel costs are expected to affect container ships, bulk carriers and tankers transporting liquefied natural gas. If Middle Eastern supplies are disrupted, shipments may be replaced by other sources, including the United States, which could redirect some LNG cargo from Europe to Asia via Panama.

Gerardo Bósquez, an executive with the Panama Maritime Chamber, said a prolonged conflict could reshape global trade routes, with gas transport among the segments likely to benefit.

Vásquez cautioned that any changes will not be immediate and will depend on how long cargo operators expect the conflict and instability in the Gulf last.


ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025.  REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
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ONS Data: UK Economy Lost Steam Unexpectedly at Start of 2026

FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025.  REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A direction sign is seen near the Bank of England building in London, Britain, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville//File Photo

Britain's economy stagnated unexpectedly in January and expanded weakly in preceding months, according to official data on Friday that showed only tepid growth during the lead-up to the US-Israeli war in Iran.

The figures mean British gross domestic product has been essentially flat since June, ending January at the same level as six months earlier.

GDP rose during the three months to January by 0.2%, the Office for National Statistics ⁠said, against expectations ⁠in a Reuters poll of economists for a 0.3% increase.

The flat reading for January alone also dashed the median prediction for a 0.2% month-on-month increase.

Sterling slipped against the US dollar on the back of the figures, which showed no ⁠growth in the dominant services sector in January, against modest upticks in manufacturing and construction output.

Last month, the Bank of England said it expected the economy to grow 0.3% in the first quarter as a whole and 0.9% over 2026 as a whole - although that was before the conflict in Iran kicked off, prompting a surge in oil prices.

Earlier this week, finance minister Rachel Reeves ⁠said ⁠it was too soon to say how soaring energy prices would affect Britain's economy.

But investors see it as more exposed than other Western European economies due to its weak public finances, reliance on natural gas for electricity generation, and already high rates of inflation.

Financial markets no longer believe the Bank of England is likely to cut interest rates this year, and investors will be watching the central bank's communications carefully at next Thursday's interest rate announcement.