FII Summit in Miami: Al-Jadaan Says Saudi Economy Resilient, Able to Manage Crises

Future Investment Initiative summit opens in Miami (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Future Investment Initiative summit opens in Miami (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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FII Summit in Miami: Al-Jadaan Says Saudi Economy Resilient, Able to Manage Crises

Future Investment Initiative summit opens in Miami (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Future Investment Initiative summit opens in Miami (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 took center stage as the Future Investment Initiative (FII) summit opened in Miami, with the kingdom delivering a balanced message that combined strategic caution with investment confidence.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan warned of geopolitical disruptions that could surpass the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, while stressing the resilience of the Saudi economy and its ability to manage crises.

Meanwhile, Public Investment Fund (PIF) Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan outlined a new phase of growth driven by an upcoming five-year strategy, saying the kingdom has evolved from building internally to a global platform that invites capital to seize unprecedented opportunities.

Against a backdrop of accelerating global economic and geopolitical shifts, the fourth edition of the FII PRIORITY summit kicked off in Miami on Thursday under the theme “Capital in Motion.”

The event, which runs through Friday and will conclude with remarks by US President Donald Trump, brings together more than 1,500 participants, including business leaders, policymakers, and investors from the United States, Latin America, the Middle East, Europe, Asia, and Africa.

It aims to reshape global capital flows and promote inclusive, sustainable growth.

The summit comes at a time when the world is undergoing what the FII Institute described as a “redistribution, repricing, and reimagining of capital,” adding that understanding and responsibly shaping these shifts is a shared global priority.

Al-Jadaan warns of escalating risks

Speaking during a panel discussion, Al-Jadaan said current geopolitical tensions could trigger global economic consequences more severe than those seen during COVID-19, calling for swift international action to contain the fallout.

“What we saw in the last few weeks is an impact beyond what we have seen even post-COVID, in terms of supply chain disruption, and if this continues, I think we will see even more severe impact,” Al-Jadaan said.

“We really need to make sure we resolve the conflict very quickly and come together to do that for the global economy not to be impacted even more.”

“You will need to mute a lot of the media noise for you to really understand what’s happening on the ground,” al-Jadaan said.

Al-Jadaan added that while oil has dominated media coverage, it is refined products – including fertilizers, steel, and aluminum – that have been most affected.

Long-term investment safeguards energy security

Al-Jadaan highlighted Saudi Arabia’s proactive approach to crisis management and energy security, pointing to the East-West pipeline as a key example.

He said the kingdom invested heavily in the pipeline over 50 years without immediate returns, but it now serves as a vital strategic alternative and secure route for oil supplies.

The pipeline is currently being used efficiently to manage global oil flows and mitigate the impact of the energy crisis, reinforcing Saudi Arabia’s role as a stabilizing force in international energy markets.

He added that the Saudi economy has demonstrated strong crisis management capabilities, supported by solid fiscal buffers and structural flexibility under Vision 2030, positioning it as a model of certainty in a volatile global environment.

A model of certainty and resilience

Al-Jadaan said investors are currently focused on three key factors: certainty, resilience, and growth prospects. He noted that Saudi Arabia offers a distinctive model, backed by financial stability and a proven ability to navigate crises.

Economic resilience, he added, has become a strategic approach embedded in Saudi policy, supported by investment in human capital and advanced technologies, enabling the kingdom to maintain positive growth despite global volatility.

Gulf transformation into an integrated economic force

At the regional level, Al-Jadaan praised the growing coordination and economic resilience among GCC countries, saying they have demonstrated strong adaptability as a unified economic bloc.

“They (GCC states) are a lot more resilient working together,” al-Jadaan said.

The transformation into a unified economic bloc has enhanced investment opportunities across sectors such as logistics, defense, real estate, and technology, making the region more attractive and transparent to investors.

He stressed that global economic stability depends on regional stability and secure supply chains for essential industries, urging international cooperation and noting that economies investing in people and technology will be best positioned for sustainable growth.

Al-Rumayyan: Saudi economy remains robust

Al-Rumayyan said Saudi Arabia’s economy remains “strong, stable and resilient,” as PIF prepares to unveil a new five-year strategy within weeks.

He outlined a strategic shift in the sovereign wealth fund’s approach, moving from predominantly self-funded investments toward a broader model that invites both domestic and international partners.

He emphasized that PIF operates as a long-term investor, measuring returns “not in quarters, but in decades,” while maintaining a diversified and structurally resilient portfolio.

Since its establishment, PIF has undergone several phases, initially focusing on building the national economy and, since 2015, accelerating sector development.

The next phase will involve greater participation from local and international investors, moving beyond a reliance on direct investments.

The governor said the upcoming strategy, expected to be revealed within weeks, will focus on mobilizing third-party capital and creating more opportunities for global investors to participate in Saudi-led projects.

“We put the foundation for many of these investments initially,” the PIF governor said. “Now we are looking in a greater way at how to invite people to come and work with us.”

He noted that major global asset managers, including BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, have already begun establishing funds in partnership with PIF to invest in the Saudi economy.

Al-Rumayyan highlighted the evolution of PIF from its early role as a “nation builder” to its current position as a global investor and ecosystem developer, with a recent increased focus on domestic deployment.

He said the fund is now entering a new phase aimed at “crowding in” private sector participation across key sectors, including infrastructure, real estate, data centers, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy.

The shift reflects a broader ambition to transform Saudi Arabia into a global investment hub.

“In the past, we tried to bring Saudi to the world,” he said. “Now we are in a stage where we want to bring the world to Saudi.”

Al-Rumayyan pointed to large-scale developments such as Red Sea Global as examples of this approach, noting that the project has already attracted 19 international hotel operators and is expanding partnership models in infrastructure and risk-sharing mechanisms.

He added that “de-risking” projects for investors remains a central pillar of PIF’s strategy, enabling greater participation from private capital.

On artificial intelligence, Al-Rumayyan said Saudi Arabia is “very well positioned” to benefit from the technology, citing strong access to computing infrastructure, energy resources, and a supportive regulatory environment.

He stressed that AI should be viewed as an enabler rather than a standalone product, with its value driven by efficiency gains across industries.

“We see AI as a tool,” he said. “The end product is what our companies deliver, cutting costs and improving efficiency.”

He highlighted partnerships with major US technology firms, including Microsoft, Google, and Oracle, as well as tangible results from companies such as Saudi Aramco, which he said reduced drilling costs by about 20% and improved delivery efficiency by 30% through AI adoption.

Al-Rumayyan also underscored the FII's role as a global platform for building partnerships, stressing that networking and collaboration are key outcomes beyond formal discussions.

“It’s not only the dialogue,” he said. “It’s the relationships and the knowledge that people take away.”

Attias: platform to shape global investment flows

FII Chairman and acting CEO Richard Attias affirmed that the Miami summit serves as a global platform to understand shifts in the international economy amid rapid cross-border flows of capital and technology.

Speaking to reporters, Attias said the summit opened with a session on “the New LATAM Order,” reflecting growing interest in the region. He described Miami as a strategic meeting point between North and South America and a hub for redirecting investments.

Sessions featured business leaders and political officials, as well as closed-door meetings among investors.

Summit agenda

The summit’s agenda covers global investment and economic relations, including discussions on US-Gulf investment partnerships under pressure and the evolving structure of agreements between the United States and Latin America.

It also focuses on technology transitions, particularly artificial intelligence and the digital economy.

Energy and resources are also on the agenda, with sessions on how energy deals will reshape power and profitability, and the race for critical minerals. Other discussions address aviation and tourism, including whether accounting defines competitiveness in the aviation sector and where smart investments in travel infrastructure are headed.

Broader topics include global economic outlooks, the flow of power and capital, and how to address a $3 trillion exit backlog, as well as closed sessions for decision-makers to set investment priorities.



Oil to Fabric: Middle East Crises Reshape Global Fashion

A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
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Oil to Fabric: Middle East Crises Reshape Global Fashion

A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)

Rising oil prices are no longer just an energy market story; they are feeding directly into the cost of clothing. From petrochemical plants to fabric mills and retail racks, a complex supply chain is passing on higher costs, pushing up the final price consumers pay.

According to the “Materials Market 2025” report by the Organization for Textile Exchange, polyester makes up about 59% of global fabric output, with roughly 88% produced from non-recycled petroleum sources, leaving the industry exposed to energy price swings.

Oil prices have surged about 32% since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran on Feb. 28, approaching $100 per barrel.

Fabrics under oil pressure

Amal Saqr, a textile design consultant, said the sector is highly sensitive to shifts in oil prices because of its reliance on synthetic fibers.

More than 60% of fabrics used in global clothing production depend on petroleum-based materials such as polyester, nylon and acrylic, she said, adding that any rise in oil prices feeds directly into fabric costs.

She pointed to 2008, when polyester prices jumped about 30% within three months as oil hit record highs, forcing Asian spinning mills to cut output by 20% to 25%.

Disruptions in the Red Sea between 2023 and 2024 also drove shipping costs up by about 300%, raising raw material costs and straining supply chains.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis began targeting ships linked to Israel on Nov. 19, 2023, using drones and missiles.

Natural fabrics not immune

Natural fibers such as cotton and linen avoid direct reliance on oil, but are still exposed to energy costs, Saqr said, noting that farming depends on fertilizers, fuel and transport.

The global fertilizer crisis in 2021 pushed prices up about 80%, driving cotton prices higher by roughly 40%. Later disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz added another 40% increase in fertilizer costs due to shipping delays.

Global cotton production reached about 24.5 million tons in 2024, or roughly 19% of total fiber output, making it less dominant than synthetic fibers but relatively more stable in pricing, according to the Textile Exchange report.

Rising production costs

Higher energy prices are hitting every stage of production, from spinning to dyeing and drying, Saqr said.

With already thin margins, textile factories face a stark choice: raise prices or cut output, both of which ultimately hit consumers.

World Bank data shows operating costs for textile factories in several countries have risen by about 18% following recent energy price increases.

Import markets feel it fast

Import-dependent markets are quick to absorb shocks from shipping or energy disruptions, Saqr said.

Shipping costs from Asia have lifted synthetic fabric prices by 10% to 18%, while imported cotton prices have climbed by 15% to 25%.

Rerouting shipments from the Strait of Hormuz to the Cape of Good Hope has added 10 to 14 days to transit times, leading to shortages and swings in the availability of fabrics and garments.

Value chains under rethink

Burak Cakmak, chief executive of the Saudi Fashion Commission, said the impact of oil prices is not immediate, as final pricing reflects a full value chain including production, marketing and distribution.

Instead of passing costs on, many brands are rethinking how to create value, improving efficiency and working more closely with suppliers, he said.

He also pointed to a shift toward localized production, with brands operating closer to their markets and managing inventory more tightly to control costs and improve flexibility.

Sustainability gains urgency

Sustainability is no longer just an environmental concern; it is tied to efficiency and long-term economic viability, Cakmak said.

The sector is moving toward circular models, including recycling and waste reduction, practices that are becoming essential to improving operations.

Designers double down

Anna Zinola, director of Istituto Marangoni in Riyadh, said rising oil prices are reinforcing, not reshaping, designers’ shift toward more conscious material choices.

Sustainability is embedded in the curriculum as a core approach guiding every design decision, she said.

Students are trained to balance cost, sustainability and consumer demand, while exploring material innovations that combine environmental and commercial goals.

Prices set to rise

Reports by McKinsey and Euratex expect global clothing prices to rise by 8% to 12% over the next year, as supply chain pressure persists and shipping costs remain elevated.


Dollar Gains as Iran War Keeps Central Banks in Wait-and-see Mode

US dollar banknotes. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes. (Reuters)
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Dollar Gains as Iran War Keeps Central Banks in Wait-and-see Mode

US dollar banknotes. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes. (Reuters)

The dollar edged up against the euro on Wednesday on lingering concerns about the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, even after President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire to give Tehran more time to present a unified proposal for ending the conflict. Iran seized two ships in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, tightening its grip on the strategic waterway, after Trump called off attacks indefinitely with no sign of peace talks restarting.

Markets have been swayed by alternating bouts of optimism that a deal is within reach and fears that the conflict could drag on, causing prolonged disruptions to energy markets.

"It's tough to have a really strong conviction at this point," said Dominic Bunning, head of G10 FX strategy at Nomura. That said, "overall it seems like both sides are more inclined to make progress than to re-escalate."

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last up 0.06% at 98.44, with the euro down 0.09% at $1.1731. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.09% against the greenback to 159.26 per dollar. Sterling strengthened 0.01% to $1.3507.

CENTRAL BANKS ON HOLD

Markets are pricing in low odds that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, given the risk that the war could fuel higher inflation.

Fed funds futures traders now see only a 35% chance of one cut by the end of 2026. Traders previously had forecast two cuts, with Kevin Warsh - Trump's nominee to lead the US central bank - seen as more likely to cut rates than Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Warsh said on Tuesday he had made no promises to Trump about cutting rates, seeking to assure senators considering his confirmation that he would act independently of the White House while pursuing broad reforms.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said earlier this month that the Fed should "wait and see" before deciding whether to lower rates amid the war in Iran, noting that the US economy had been "very strong" in January and February.

"Since the war began, comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent make it seem like he recognizes that it might take Warsh some time to cut interest rates," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.

"And this is what I think we're going to see next week. You've got five G10 central banks that meet and none of them are going to do anything. It's a watch-and-wait" situation, Chandler said.

The Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and Bank of Canada are all scheduled to hold policy meetings next week.


Türkiye Central Bank Holds Rates at 37% as it Eyes Iran War Fallout

Central Bank of Türkiye (official website)
Central Bank of Türkiye (official website)
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Türkiye Central Bank Holds Rates at 37% as it Eyes Iran War Fallout

Central Bank of Türkiye (official website)
Central Bank of Türkiye (official website)

Türkiye's central bank held its key interest rate at 37% as expected on Wednesday, deciding not to hike but warning that fallout from the Iran war could yet change the inflation outlook.

It was the second straight policy meeting at which the bank held steady despite some expectations that it could tighten, suggesting it was preparing to stand pat well into the summer, analysts said.

The central bank also did not adjust its overnight lending and borrowing rates from 40% and 35.5% respectively. Since the war started in late February, it has halted an easing cycle that began in late 2024 and taken other liquidity steps that pushed the lira overnight rate up to the 40% limit - moves that prompted some analysts to predict a 300-point hike this week.

The bank said it is closely monitoring any "potential second-round effects" on inflation, for which "leading indicators suggest a slight increase in the underlying trend in April".

"Amid geopolitical developments and the resulting uncertainties, energy prices remain elevated and exhibit notable volatility," its policy committee added.

In a Reuters poll, 19 of 23 economists predicted no change to borrowing costs, while four forecast a rate hike. The war-related surge in energy prices has rattled import-heavy economies like Türkiye where inflation was 30.87% last month, but where expectations have risen. On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump extended the war ceasefire indefinitely.

The ceasefire allowed the central bank "to refrain from tightening," William Jackson, economist at Capital Economics, said in a note. "So long as energy prices don't spike again, we think the CBRT will opt to leave interest rates on hold for at least a few more months."

Economists generally anticipate that rate cuts may resume in September. The Reuters poll predicted rates would be cut to only 32.75% by year-end. A separate poll found end-2026 consumer price inflation at 27.53%, compared with 25.38% in a previous poll.

In its quarterly inflation report in February - before the war began - the central bank had kept its end-2026 interim inflation target at 16%, while lifting its forecast range to 15-21% from 13-19% previously.

A year ago, the central bank temporarily reversed course and hiked rates in the face of political instability that rattled markets, though it returned to rate cuts by mid-2025.