Global Supply Chains Reshape, Focus Shifts to Saudi Arabia

A container ship at a Saudi port (SPA)
A container ship at a Saudi port (SPA)
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Global Supply Chains Reshape, Focus Shifts to Saudi Arabia

A container ship at a Saudi port (SPA)
A container ship at a Saudi port (SPA)

At a time when global supply chains are being reshaped by rising geopolitical tensions and disruptions to key routes, led by the Strait of Hormuz crisis, Saudi Arabia has emerged as a central player in redirecting trade flows.

Leveraging a unique position linking East and West, and advanced logistics infrastructure reinforced by Vision 2030, the kingdom is positioning itself as a leading destination for global investment in the sector.

What began as a crisis response is now a strategic opening, drawing major logistics firms seeking safer, more reliable hubs.

Specialists say that as reliance on Saudi Red Sea ports grows and alternative routes expand, the kingdom is consolidating its role as a core node in global supply chains and a launchpad for cross-border logistics investment.

Global logistics hub

Nashmi al-Harbi, a logistics consultant, told Asharq Al-Awsat that major crises redraw investment maps, and the Strait of Hormuz is no exception.

“Commercial vessels are increasingly turning to Saudi Red Sea ports as a practical, secure alternative, reflecting the resilience of the kingdom’s infrastructure,” he said.

The shift sends a clear signal that Saudi Arabia is not just a consumer market, but a global logistics hub, in line with Vision 2030, he added.

Al-Harbi said the kingdom has become a lifeline for neighboring states, activating Gulf logistics integration and introducing exceptional measures, including customs facilitation and fee exemptions for goods transiting to Gulf markets.

“Global companies look for predictability and trust, and what the kingdom delivered during this crisis proves it offers both,” he said.

He added that Saudi Arabia’s dual access to the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea has given it a decisive edge over regional peers.

Pipeline

Exports from Yanbu on the Red Sea have climbed to 3.8 million barrels per day, supported by the East-West pipeline, which has a capacity of about 7 million barrels per day, al-Harbi said.

Built in the 1980s for this purpose, the pipeline is now seen by specialists as a highly strategic asset.

On regional coordination, he said Saudi Arabia has signed rapid logistics linkage agreements with Sharjah Port and ports in Oman and Kuwait, redirecting cargo from the Arabian Sea to Red Sea ports and then overland.

“This operational flexibility sets the kingdom apart,” he said.

Al-Harbi expects supply chains to be restructured, describing the crisis as a turning point in Gulf logistics integration and the start of more flexible, adaptive routes.

Crises drive innovation, he said, predicting wider adoption of smart tracking systems and risk management tools across Saudi supply chains.

He added that Gulf states now recognize the scale of the disruption requires new thinking, and that a return to pre-crisis conditions is unlikely.

Saudi Arabia had already been building its logistics infrastructure under Vision 2030, he said, adding that the current crisis has validated and accelerated that strategy, setting the sector on course for unprecedented growth and global positioning.

Operational capacity

Zaid al-Jarba, an expert in digital transformation and logistics, said Saudi Arabia has stood out not only for its location but also for turning geography into operational strength and for growing its logistics influence.

While many viewed Hormuz disruptions as a risk, Riyadh was steadily building alternatives, he said, developing new routes, more prepared ports, expanded airports, and stronger connectivity to ease bottlenecks.

“The advantage is not just access to the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea, but the ability to connect them. That is a rare strategic strength,” he said.

Goods entering through Red Sea ports can move across the kingdom to Gulf markets, and vice versa, positioning Saudi Arabia as a bridge across the logistics network, he added.

He said logistics crises extend beyond maritime routes, with air freight and multimodal links gaining importance as risks rise.

Saudi airports, with growing cargo capacity and expanding infrastructure, have contributed to that flexibility, he said.

Aviation market

Al-Jarba said several Gulf airlines have turned to Saudi airports, underscoring a shift; Riyadh is no longer just a large aviation market, but an operational platform supporting regional traffic when alternatives are needed.

He said the kingdom’s role during the crisis, combined with its competitive edge, has drawn the attention of global logistics firms.

That edge includes its geographic position linking continents, its dual coastlines on the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea, and its advanced infrastructure spanning ports, transport networks, and pipelines.

Flexible government policies, including customs facilitation and faster procedures, have further strengthened its appeal, he said, adding that a clear strategy under Vision 2030 makes Saudi Arabia a reliable, scalable base for supply chain operations.



World Bank Sees Saudi Budget Deficit Halving, Current Account Surplus of 3.3% in 2026

 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
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World Bank Sees Saudi Budget Deficit Halving, Current Account Surplus of 3.3% in 2026

 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)

As regional economies reel from a complex and uncertain geopolitical landscape, with shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz adding pressure, the latest World Bank report points to standout resilience in Saudi Arabia’s economy.

The data show the kingdom on a fiscal consolidation path to strengthen its fiscal position, with the budget deficit set to halve and the current account shifting from deficit to surplus.

April data from the World Bank indicate Saudi Arabia has not only built solid “economic buffers,” but is also leveraging geopolitical pressures to advance structural reforms.

While much of the region faces sharp fiscal strain and negative growth, the kingdom is moving steadily ahead, recording the strongest growth among regional peers and reinforcing its role as a pillar of regional stability.

Despite broad downward revisions, Saudi Arabia remains the region’s top performer. Growth forecasts for the wider region have been cut to 1.8%, while the kingdom is expected to expand by 3.1%.

Current account shifts to a 3.3% surplus

World Bank data point to a shift in Saudi Arabia’s current account. After a projected deficit of 2.7% of GDP in 2025, forecasts for 2026 point to a surplus of 3.3%.

A current account surplus means exports of goods and services exceed imports, strengthening the balance of payments. It also reflects rising net foreign assets and stronger financing capacity, supported by solid export performance and moderate domestic demand.

The shift carries broader weight. Moving from deficit to surplus positions, Saudi Arabia becomes a net lender to the global economy, with oil export revenues, fast-growing non-oil sectors, and returns on foreign investments outpacing spending on imports and services.

Beyond the headline figures, the surplus acts as an external buffer, supporting currency stability and generating strong liquidity flows. This gives financial institutions and sovereign funds greater room to sustain investment in major development projects, while helping shield the economy from disruptions in global supply chains and shipping routes.

Deficit set to halve

Fiscal data show improved expenditure control and revenue growth. The World Bank expects the deficit to narrow from 6.4% of GDP in 2025 to 3.0% in 2026, below the Finance Ministry’s estimate of 3.3%.

The shift reflects tighter fiscal discipline. Despite the cost of regional tensions, the gap between revenue and spending is set to shrink by half in one year.

This reflects effective fiscal policy, including stronger tax collection and public financial management, rising non-oil revenues that reduce reliance on energy price swings, and more efficient public spending focused on high-impact development projects, limiting the need for external borrowing and supporting long-term fiscal balance.

Saudi Arabia leads per capita growth

The April 2026 report also shows a sharp divergence in per capita growth across the region. While countries such as Kuwait (-7.7%) and Qatar (-7.4%) face steep contractions, Saudi Arabia stands out with an expected per capita growth rate of 1.4%.

Inflation remains contained at 2.8%, helping preserve purchasing power despite global increases in energy and shipping costs driven by maritime disruptions. This stability protects the broader economy from imported inflation pressures.


European Development Bank Unveils 5 Bn Euros for War-hit Economies

A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
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European Development Bank Unveils 5 Bn Euros for War-hit Economies

A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)

The European development bank said Thursday it was unlocking five billion euros ($5.9 bn) to help shore up economies hit by the Middle East war.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said it will "deploy EUR5 billion in 2026 in economies impacted by Middle East conflict".

The funds would be focused on Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, the West Bank and Gaza "and affected neighboring economies" including Egypt, Türkiye, Armenia and Azerbaijan, the bank said in a statement.

"The economic and social impact of the conflict is already being felt across many of the bank's economies in the form of disrupted trade routes, energy and commodity shocks, weakened investor confidence and broader costs to the population," it added.

Established in 1991 to help former Soviet bloc nations embrace free-market economies, the bank later extended its reach to the Middle East and Africa.

"In a time of rising uncertainty, we are stepping up where others may pull back," said EBRD president Odile Renaud Basso.

"We are here to support economies, clients and people in our countries of operation in tough times," she added.

The bank said "the volume of conflict response investment will be demand driven due to the fast-changing nature of the situation".

The funds will provide immediate relief "by supporting economic activity" and "fostering financial sector stabilization".

EBRD will aim to strengthen energy security and aid state-owned enterprises to "ensure the uninterrupted provision of essential goods and services".

On Thursday it had approved "a project to support Lebanon's retail chain," it said, adding it also aimed to safeguard access to jobs, finance and essential services.

Since starting operations in the southern and eastern Mediterranean in 2012, the EBRD has invested more than EUR26.5 billion in 489 projects in the region.

In Türkiye alone, the lender has committed more than 23 billion euros since 2009.


Saudia to Partially Resume Flights To, From Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman on Saturday

One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
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Saudia to Partially Resume Flights To, From Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman on Saturday

One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)

Saudia announced on Thursday the partial resumption of its operations to and from Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman starting Saturday, April 11.

In a post on its official account on the social media platform X, the airline said the resumption will be carried out through the operation of exceptional daily flights to and from those destinations.

Saudia advised passengers to check the status of their flights before heading to the airport, noting that further updates will be published through its official channels.