Saudi Arabia Leads Efforts to Stabilize Global Energy Supplies amid Warnings of Prolonged Conflict

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Leads Efforts to Stabilize Global Energy Supplies amid Warnings of Prolonged Conflict

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (SPA)

Saudi Arabia is spearheading international efforts to stabilize global oil markets and contain the fallout from a supply crisis triggered by the Iran war and the halt to navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

Using strategic logistics infrastructure, Riyadh has secured energy flows to consumers and helped prevent prices from soaring, as academic and industry warnings mount that the conflict’s structural impact on oil facilities and refineries could last for years, even if the war ends militarily and the strait reopens.

Dr. Ibrahim Al-Mohanna, adviser to the Saudi energy minister, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom’s role was “very important” and had spared the global oil market a serious crisis.

He said the East to West pipeline transported about 7 million barrels of oil to the Red Sea, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, and supplied international markets with crude and refined products, helping prevent prices from rising “insanely,” as he put it.

Al-Mohanna made the remarks after a seminar hosted by King Saud University titled "Media Narratives: The US-Israeli-Iranian War."

He said that when the Iran war began on Feb. 28, “the pace of events was very fast, and oil prices were highly volatile, even within a single day, amid blurred information and unclear facts.”

That, he said, led to “weak and scattered media coverage of oil issues and a lack of wise oil analysis,” which deepened price volatility. “There was even a major and unprecedented disconnect between the futures market and the spot market, with the gap sometimes reaching $50 a barrel,” he added.

Al-Mohanna said the Gulf states, particularly Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Qatar, along with Iran and Iraq, form the world’s most important oil region, not only because they produce about 20% of global oil needs, but also because of their refining capacity and production and export of liquefied gas, which is vital to many industries.

“The world lost about 13 million barrels per day because of the war, a very large amount by all standards,” he said.

“It represents the biggest crisis facing the global oil market.” He added that the conflict had major economic repercussions, while the closure of the Strait of Hormuz further complicated the situation and triggered another price spike.

Asked how long the war’s impact on the market could last, Al-Mohanna said the answer depended directly on the duration of the conflict, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the shutdown of fields and production in countries where wells and facilities suffered severe damage.

He said uncertainty remained over when the war would end and when flows of crude and petroleum products would return to normal. Questions also persisted, he said, over the scale of structural damage to fields and facilities, which could take a very long time to rehabilitate.

Al-Mohanna warned that the war’s impact on the energy sector would last for years, not months, even if the conflict ends militarily and politically and the Strait of Hormuz reopens.

He said production, and export disruptions that have built up since the start of the war would take time to correct. The longer the strait remains closed, he added, the harder and more complex it becomes to restore production to previous levels.

He stressed that the Kingdom, the Gulf states, and OPEC more broadly are working continuously to limit these negative effects and protect global consumers by focusing on two main pillars: balancing supply and demand and stabilizing prices.

Al-Mohanna also underlined the strong, consistent link between oil prices and the media, especially in major producing and consuming regions. During economic, political and military crises, he said, media outlets move beyond reporting news to become a real gauge for markets and investors and a force shaping the direction of global prices.

Dr. Abdulaziz bin Salamah, a former Saudi deputy minister of information, described the American and Israeli war on Iran as “unprecedented in several respects,” saying it was “the first war waged by Israel and America together without prior consultation with NATO allies.”

Speaking at the seminar, Bin Salamah said European media coverage rested on two main concerns: military security and the economy.

He pointed to “a growing sense of disappointment and shaken confidence among Europeans toward the United States during President Donald Trump’s term,” as well as European fears that Iranian ballistic missiles could reach deep into the continent.

Dr.Ibrahim Al-Beayeyz, former head of the university’s media department, said US media initially relied on “the official government narrative,” presenting the war as “a preemptive act to curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions.”

But over time, he said, “signs of breaking away from the official narrative began to appear, along with rising voices opposing the war.”

Dr. Mutlaq Al-Mutairi, a professor of media at the university, said: “What Israel is doing cannot be understood only within its traditional military framework, but within its broader framework linked to managing perception and producing meaning in contemporary conflicts.”

He said the Israeli narrative operates on three main levels: redefining the threat, legitimizing military action through a preventive logic, and cementing Israel’s status as a key security ally of the West.

The public, he said, was facing “a model of how media and narratives are employed in contemporary conflict, where politics overlaps with security, and media with perception, in shaping the balance of power.”

Meshel Alweil, a faculty member in the department, said Tehran relied on two different narratives in its media approach.

The first was directed at the Iranian domestic audience and focused on mobilizing local public opinion, while the second targeted external media through political and media messages aimed at international and Arab audiences.



EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
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EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa

The European Union's side of a trade deal struck with the United States last year, which will remove import duties on many US goods, will come into force on July 1, said a formal European Union regulatory filing.

The EU said this ⁠regulation would apply ⁠from July 1 until December 31, 2029, Reuters reported.

"Where appropriate, the Commission shall submit together with the comprehensive assessment a legislative proposal to extend ⁠the period of application of this Regulation," added the regulatory filing.

Under the agreement, the EU agreed to remove import duties on US industrial goods and provide preferential access to US farm produce.

It will also extend duty-free imports of ⁠US lobster, ⁠a mini-deal struck with Trump during his first term as president.

The EU legislation expires at the end of 2029 and includes multiple safeguards that would allow the EU to suspend concessions if the United States breaches the trade deal's terms.


Saudi Real Estate Developers Move to Capitalize on New Foreign Ownership Rules

A general view of buildings and homes in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (File photo: Reuters)
A general view of buildings and homes in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (File photo: Reuters)
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Saudi Real Estate Developers Move to Capitalize on New Foreign Ownership Rules

A general view of buildings and homes in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (File photo: Reuters)
A general view of buildings and homes in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (File photo: Reuters)

Saudi Arabia's real estate market has entered a new phase of testing the practical impact of the executive regulations governing property ownership by non-Saudis, as listed developers move swiftly beyond welcoming the decision and the initial positive market reaction to translating it into strategic growth plans.

While the sector index has extended its early gains on expectations that the new rules will broaden international demand, the competitive advantage is beginning to shift toward companies with high-quality assets that are ready to be marketed and sold.

The real estate index on the Saudi stock market posted a sharp gain following the announcement, rising from 2,924 points to 3,044 points. The increase was driven by investor expectations that allowing non-Saudis to own property under specific regulations would expand demand for Saudi real estate assets, particularly in cities and projects with strong investment and religious appeal.

Real estate stocks led the market's gainers in the session following the announcement. Shares of Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction (Masar) hit the daily 10 percent limit, while Knowledge Economic City rose about 9.3 percent. Jabal Omar Development, Retal, Emaar The Economic City, and Makkah Construction and Development also posted strong gains.

Financial and economic adviser Dr. Hussein Al Attas told Asharq Al-Awsat that allowing non-Saudis to own property represents an important structural shift for Saudi Arabia's real estate market, but said the impact will not be uniform across all developers. Instead, the market will increasingly differentiate between companies with attractive assets and projects in locations targeted by international investors and those without them.

Master plan of the Masar Makkah destination (Masar)

He added that asset quality, location, financial strength, the size of developable land holdings, and the ability to attract international investors will be among the key factors determining how much companies benefit from the decision in the coming period.

Al Attas expects the sector to perform positively over the medium to long term. However, he said the real impact of the decision will ultimately be measured by companies' ability to turn this opening into actual sales, partnerships, and cash flows, rather than by the initial rise in share prices following the announcement.

In the first concrete move by a listed company since the regulations were approved, Jabal Omar Development on Sunday outlined its strategy for capitalizing on the decision after its project in Makkah was included within the geographic areas where non-Saudis are permitted to own property.

The company said the decision would broaden its base of potential investors and property owners among Muslims around the world, supporting demand for its real estate assets. It also announced plans to offer 400 existing hotel residential units for sale this year as the first phase of the program, with the proceeds earmarked to reduce debt and lower financing costs.

The company also plans to redesign the seventh and final phase of the project by increasing the number of hotel residential units available for sale while making greater use of off-plan sales programs to reduce financing requirements and strengthen reliance on internally generated liquidity.

Al Attas said the market's response to the regulations has unfolded in two stages. The first was a broad wave of optimism that lifted most real estate companies. The second has begun as investors seek to identify the companies best positioned to convert the decision into tangible growth in sales, cash flow, and profitability.

The decision to allow non-Saudis to own property forms part of a broader package of measures introduced by the Kingdom in recent months to restore balance to the real estate market and strengthen its investment appeal.

These measures include allowing the sale, purchase, and development of land in new areas north of Riyadh, increasing fees on undeveloped land, imposing fees on vacant properties, and freezing annual rent increases in Riyadh for five years.

The decision also coincides with signs of improving real estate and construction activity across the Kingdom. The construction sector returned to growth in May, supported by stronger residential building activity and renewed growth in new orders.

Although the full impact of the regulations will take time to emerge, recent moves by real estate developers indicate that the market has already begun shifting from expectations to execution as companies seek to attract a new segment of investors and buyers from outside the Kingdom.


China Imposes New Export Controls, Deepening Japan Row

FILE PHOTO: A China yuan banknote featuring late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong and a computer keyboard are seen reflected on an image of Chinese flag in this illustration picture taken November 1, 2019.  REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A China yuan banknote featuring late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong and a computer keyboard are seen reflected on an image of Chinese flag in this illustration picture taken November 1, 2019. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo
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China Imposes New Export Controls, Deepening Japan Row

FILE PHOTO: A China yuan banknote featuring late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong and a computer keyboard are seen reflected on an image of Chinese flag in this illustration picture taken November 1, 2019.  REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A China yuan banknote featuring late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong and a computer keyboard are seen reflected on an image of Chinese flag in this illustration picture taken November 1, 2019. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo

China put 20 more Japanese organizations on a blacklist Monday over the export of items with both military and civilian possible uses, adding fuel to a months-long row with Tokyo.

The new additions, including major companies, "have participated in enhancing Japan's military capabilities", the Chinese commerce ministry said in a statement.

Japan's government spokesman Minoru Kihara called the measures "unacceptable and deeply regrettable" and said Tokyo had "lodged a strong protest and demanded that the measures be withdrawn."

The countries' have been at row since Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggested in November that Tokyo may react militarily to an attack on Taiwan, the self-ruled island Beijing has vowed to seize control by force if necessary.

China responded furiously, including by advising its citizens -- previously the biggest cohort of foreign tourists -- to avoid Japan.

Chinese authorities ramped up pressure in February by imposing export restrictions on dozens of Japanese firms it said were involved in building up Tokyo's military.

The 20 additions to the export blacklist named Monday include specialized subsidiaries and technology firms involved in supplying components and engineering support for Japan's defense sector.

Among them are the National Institute for Defense Studies and Mitsubishi Electric Defense and Space Technologies Corporation, the statement said.

China's commerce ministry said the controls require exporters to submit risk assessments and guarantees that dual-use items will not enhance Japanese military strength prior to making shipments.

Those named on the watchlist can apply to be removed by cooperating with "verification" procedures according to Chinese law, the ministry said.

China is the world's largest producer and refiner of rare earths, which are crucial for various high-tech products including electric vehicles, smartphones, missile guidance systems and lasers.

Japan has "strayed further down the wrong path, intensifying its push for a 'new form of militarism'", an unnamed commerce ministry spokesperson said in a statement on the latest measures.

- China-Russia patrols -

Since Takaichi took office in October, Japan has quickened its pivot towards a more proactive defense policy, further shaking off -- with US encouragement -- a pacifist outlook, which has been in place since the end of World War II.

Tokyo has loosened rules on exports of lethal weaponry and deepened military cooperation with other countries in the region at odds with China including the Philippines.

Japan and the United States, as well as many other countries, are seeking to curb dependence on China in rare earths, as Beijing increasingly uses its dominance for geopolitical leverage.

Japan on Monday also joined South Korea in criticizing joint flights by Chinese and Russian bombers and fighters over the weekend in the region.

Fellow US allies South Korea and Japan both scrambled fighter jets in response to the patrols by the convoy of around 15 aircraft on Saturday.

"This marks the 10th instance of such long-range activities by Chinese and Russian bombers in the vicinity of Japan since December last year," Japanese government spokesman Kihara said Monday.

Beijing's defense ministry said that the Chinese and Russian air forces conducted a "strategic air patrol" over the Sea of Japan, the East China Sea and the western Pacific Ocean, "demonstrating their determination and capability to jointly uphold regional peace and stability".

Tokyo last week also rejected Beijing's accusations that the Japanese military "harassed" a Chinese aircraft carrier strike group during 40 days of exercises in the Pacific.