Oil Falls Over 1% on Reports of Potential US-Iran Ceasefire Deal

Sierra Leone-flagged crude oil tanker Altura transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 16, 2026. (Reuters)
Sierra Leone-flagged crude oil tanker Altura transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 16, 2026. (Reuters)
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Oil Falls Over 1% on Reports of Potential US-Iran Ceasefire Deal

Sierra Leone-flagged crude oil tanker Altura transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 16, 2026. (Reuters)
Sierra Leone-flagged crude oil tanker Altura transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 16, 2026. (Reuters)

Oil futures fell more than 1% on Friday and were on track for their steepest weekly decline since early April, following reports that the US and Iran had agreed to extend a ceasefire, though it had yet to be finalized.

Brent crude futures for July fell 1.1% or $1.04 to $92.67 a barrel at 0330 GMT. US oil futures fell $1.26, or 1.4%, to $87.64 a barrel. Brent plunged 10.5% this week - the steepest plunge since the week that ended on April 6, while ‌WTI fell 9.2% - ‌the biggest weekly loss since the week ‌that ⁠ended on April 13.

The ⁠US and Iran reached an agreement on Thursday to extend a ceasefire and lift restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, sources told Reuters, though US President Donald Trump has yet to approve it and Iranian state media said it had not been finalized.

"Consensus remains the conflict is over, ⁠and a deal is coming. As long as ‌this narrative holds, crude oil ‌has room to extend its decline toward trendline support in the ‌low $80s," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Prices have been volatile in ‌recent sessions, swinging by as much as $6 for both benchmarks on conflicting signals over a possible end to the three-month US-Israeli war on Iran and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz - ‌a key conduit for roughly a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas supplies.

Traffic ⁠through the ⁠maritime chokepoint remains a small fraction of the pre-war level. Analysts at ING said a reopening of the strait would offer some immediate relief to the oil market, but a recovery is still uncertain.

"Upstream oil production has fallen significantly since the war, with producers shutting in production in order to manage storage constraints," ING said in a note. "The recovery in upstream production will be gradual rather than immediate."

"Refineries in the region need to ramp up output. This will take time, given that some of this infrastructure was targeted in attacks earlier in the conflict."



Arcapita, Hines to Explore Joint investments in GCC Industrial and Logistics Real Estate

Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
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Arcapita, Hines to Explore Joint investments in GCC Industrial and Logistics Real Estate

Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat

Arcapita Group Holdings Limited, the global alternative investment firm, and Hines, one of the world’s largest real assets investment managers, announced on Wednesday a partnership to together explore the creation of an institutional-grade platform focused on industrial and logistics real estate assets across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

The platform would seek to combine Hines’ global real estate investment, development and operating standards with Arcapita’s regional investment, structuring and asset management expertise, supported by Lintara, Arcapita’s local operating platform, a joint statement said.

Through the partnership, the two companies would focus on jointly originating, structuring and executing investments across both development opportunities and stabilized income-producing assets, it added.

Arcapita is headquartered in Manama, Bahrain. It also operates from its offices in the United States, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Singapore.

Hines is based in Houston, Texas.

Martin Tan, Arcapita’s Chief Investment Officer, said: “This strategic partnership marks an important step in our approach to the GCC industrial and logistics opportunity. Market fundamentals across the region have reached a depth and maturity that support the case for a dedicated, institutional-scale platform rather than a transaction-led strategy.”

“As GCC countries continue to focus on supply chain resilience and national self-sufficiency, we see a compelling opportunity to help deliver modern logistics infrastructure at scale. By bringing together Arcapita’s long standing regional track record, sourcing and asset management capabilities with Hines’ globally recognized development expertise, the platform would be well positioned to pursue high-quality opportunities across the sector.”

As for Hines’ Global Head of Real Estate, Steve Luthman, he said that the GCC represents one of the most compelling logistics growth markets globally.

He welcomed “the opportunity to partner with Arcapita to explore the development of a structured, platform-led entry into a rapidly growing market, backed by deep local relationships and execution capability.”


Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
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Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)

Airlines ‌should continue to avoid the airspace over Iran, Iraq and Lebanon and remain cautious across the region despite the framework deal between Washington and Tehran, because violations remained possible, the ‌EU aviation safety ‌agency EASA said.

EASA ‌said ⁠on Wednesday it ⁠was extending its conflict-zone advisory for the region until July 1.

Short-term violations of the US-Iran ceasefire remain possible, ⁠in particular in ‌and ‌around the Strait of ‌Hormuz and neighboring airspace, the ‌agency said.

The agency also flagged the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, creating ‌the potential for military activity impacting the airspace ⁠of ⁠Lebanon.


Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
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Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan warned that the world is facing increasingly difficult economic conditions shaped by uncertainty, fragmentation, geopolitical conflicts, trade tensions, debt risks, and challenges related to energy security and broader security concerns, factors he said threaten to undermine global development goals.

Addressing the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna, held to mark the 50th anniversary of the OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID), Al-Jadaan described the milestone as an opportunity not only to celebrate the institution’s achievements over the past half-century, but also to reflect on lessons learned and consider the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Over the past five decades, the OPEC Fund has helped tackle some of the world’s most pressing development challenges, supporting sustainable development, economic growth, and prosperity while improving living standards in low- and middle-income countries, he noted. Its efforts have enabled millions to gain access to electricity, quality education, and clean energy solutions, while expanding economic opportunities and improving essential services.

Al-Jadaan outlined three priorities for preventing setbacks in global development progress.

The first is placing resilience at the center of development strategies. Rather than serving merely as a response to crises, resilience must become a long-term, proactive approach.

Building systems capable of withstanding shocks requires investment in infrastructure, energy, food security, healthcare, education, and institutional capacity, he argued. It also demands inclusive policies tailored to local needs that diversify sources of income, improve livelihoods, and stabilize fragile markets.

The second priority is strengthening partnerships. No country can confront development challenges alone, Al-Jadaan said, emphasizing the critical role of development finance institutions in mobilizing resources, sharing knowledge, and fostering innovation. The private sector, he added, remains essential for driving investment, creating jobs, and delivering practical solutions.

Greater cooperation among development partners can improve coordination, attract additional capital, and maximize development impact.

Turning to his third priority, Al-Jadaan stressed that trust and national ownership must remain at the heart of development efforts. Development financing is most effective when aligned with national priorities, responsive to local realities, and built on genuine partnerships.

Expanding the OPEC Fund’s activities and deepening cooperation with partner countries would help align financing strategies with national development plans, improve the efficiency of resource allocation, strengthen implementation, and deliver measurable results, he said.

Al-Jadaan also underscored the importance of candid feedback from development partners and their support for bold, long-term structural reforms that enhance resilience, growth, and prosperity.

Fifty years is not a limit to what can be achieved. It is the foundation on which we build, he stated. He added that stronger partnerships and shared commitments will help safeguard the gains of the past five decades and advance sustainable development in the decades ahead.