War Wipes Out Third of Lebanon’s Private-Sector Jobs

Workers clear rubble from buildings destroyed by Israeli strikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Reuters)
Workers clear rubble from buildings destroyed by Israeli strikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Reuters)
TT

War Wipes Out Third of Lebanon’s Private-Sector Jobs

Workers clear rubble from buildings destroyed by Israeli strikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Reuters)
Workers clear rubble from buildings destroyed by Israeli strikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Reuters)

An international survey has found sharp job losses, falling incomes and growing job insecurity in Lebanon, where the crisis and war have badly disrupted the labor market and underscored the need to put employment at the heart of recovery efforts.

The crisis and war are not only destroying buildings and infrastructure, but also jobs, incomes, and the fragile foundations of many people’s lives, said Dr. Ruba Jaradat, the International Labor Organization’s regional director for Arab States.

The field survey found that about one-third of private-sector workers had lost their jobs. Average labor income is estimated to have dropped by 40.4% when job losses and wage cuts are combined.

The ILO report, prepared in partnership with the General Labor Confederation and the National Federation of Workers’ and Employees’ Trade Unions in Lebanon, found that 33% of surveyed private-sector workers were no longer employed at the time of the survey. Of those, 28.2% had become unemployed and 4.7% had left the labor force.

The survey was carried out in May and covered 2,485 wage workers and self-employed workers in the private sector, across different activities, sectors and governorates. All had been working before the renewed armed conflict between Hezbollah and Israel in March.

Job losses were most severe in conflict-hit areas of southern Lebanon. They reached 76.5% among residents of Nabatieh governorate and 43.2% among residents of South governorate. But the damage was not confined to frontline areas, with workers elsewhere also hit by weak demand, lower business activity, inflationary pressure and wider market disruption.

Displacement

Displacement, which has affected more than one million people, was a key driver of job losses. The rate rose to an average of two-thirds among displaced workers. Among surveyed workers who were still displaced at the time of the survey, 37.4% said they were out of work, while 14.2% said they had been displaced during the conflict and later returned home.

The report said the crisis hit hardest those already facing deeper vulnerability. Job loss was especially high among persons with disabilities, at 71.4%; women, at 44.3%; young people aged 15 to 24, at 42.4%; Syrian refugees, at 39.4%; and wage workers in informal jobs, at 37.7%. Workers without written contracts, those with lower education levels and those employed by small enterprises were also more likely to lose their jobs.

Average labor income falls

The impact went beyond job losses. Average labor income fell 14.8% among workers who kept their jobs. Across all surveyed individuals, average labor income is estimated to have fallen 40.4% when the total loss of income among those who lost their jobs is included.

Workers who found new jobs often accepted worse terms. On average, they earned 30.7% less than before, with most moving into informal work or self-employment.

Households relied heavily on their own resources to cope. Savings were the most common coping tool, while more than 40% of Lebanese, Syrian and Palestinian workers said they had delayed paying loans or bills. Many also cut food spending, pointing to growing pressure on household welfare and food security.

Recovery needs remain large. About 45.5% of survey participants said help finding stable work was their main need, while 37.7% said they needed support to secure higher or more regular income.

The report called for a response that combines humanitarian measures and immediate labor market action with longer-term investment in job creation, social protection, skills development, enterprise recovery and decent work.

It urged labor-intensive recovery programs, targeted wage support, emergency assistance for women, persons with disabilities, self-employed workers and micro, small and medium-sized enterprises. It also called for wider social protection, legal support for migrant domestic workers and stronger labor market governance.

In the medium and long term, the report recommended stronger labor market data systems, activation of the National Employment Office, local economic development approaches, investment in skills and vocational training, support for a gradual shift to the formal economy, unemployment protection and a comprehensive national employment policy.

The ILO said it is working with the government, employers, workers and partners to support Lebanon’s labor market recovery.

Its work includes protecting workers, supporting income and employment, strengthening social protection, producing reliable and up-to-date data and analysis, helping enterprises retain workers, and ensuring the most vulnerable groups are not pushed further into informal work, poverty and exclusion.



World Bank Projects Lebanon Economy to Contract by 6.4% Due to War

People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
TT

World Bank Projects Lebanon Economy to Contract by 6.4% Due to War

People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)
People inspect a damaged building after an Israeli airstrike on the village of Ansar, southern Lebanon, 15 August 2026. (EPA)

The World Bank on Friday projected that Lebanon's economy would contract by 6.4 percent this year, as the latest Israel-Hezbollah war derailed the country's efforts at recovery.

Lebanon has been dealing with an unprecedented financial crisis since 2019 and was still reeling from the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah war when the Iran-backed group drew it into the Middle East conflict by attacking Israel in March.

Israel responded with a heavy air campaign and ground invasion that Lebanese authorities say have killed more than 4,300 people.

Due to the war, "real GDP is projected to contract by 6.4 percent in 2026, reflecting the collapse in tourism, weaker consumption, disrupted supply chains, heightened insecurity, and prolonged displacement," the World Bank said in a report.

Inflation is also expected to rise to 17.5 percent this year, according to the report.

The World Bank said Lebanon's economy had strengthened before the latest conflict, with an estimated real GDP growth of 4.2 percent in 2025, "the fastest since the onset of the 2019 financial crisis".

"Advancing reforms -- particularly on banking sector restructuring and fiscal management -- will be critical to restoring confidence, protecting stability, and mobilizing the financing needed for reconstruction and recovery," Dahlia Khalifa, the World Bank's Middle East director, said.

The international community has been demanding that Lebanese authorities enact financial reforms in order to secure much-needed economic aid.

Last week, parliament passed amendments to a bank resolution law aimed at restructuring troubled banks and addressing the country's banking crisis.

The International Monetary Fund welcomed the law, describing it as "a very good step that reflects Lebanon's commitment to aligning its legislation with the best international practices".

Lebanon has been in discussions with the IMF, which said it would resume its meetings in Beirut next month.


Tunisia Olive Oil Exports Surge 55%, Bringing in $1.6 billion

Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
TT

Tunisia Olive Oil Exports Surge 55%, Bringing in $1.6 billion

Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Tunisian olive oil producer, Mustapha Mtiraoui, displays olives to be pressed at his oil mill in Kairouan, Tunisia February 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui

Tunisia's olive oil exports surged 55.3% to a record 368,000 metric tons in the first nine months of the 2025/26 season, bringing in $1.6 billion in export revenue, up 44.4% from a year earlier, official data showed on Friday.

The surge in olive oil shipments, a vital source of foreign currency and Tunisia's top agricultural export, will provide a much-needed boost to the country's finances as the government grapples with persistent economic and fiscal pressure.

The jump in exports was driven by strong global demand during the first nine months of the season, which began in November.

Extra virgin olive oil accounted for 83.6% of total shipments, the National Observatory of Agriculture said, Reuters reported.

The European Union remained the biggest destination, taking 57.1% of Tunisian olive oil exports, while North America accounted for 24%. More than 70 countries imported Tunisian oil during the period.

Exports to other markets included Saudi Arabia, which took 4.6%, Jordan with 3.1% and African markets at 3.8%, with Egypt accounting for 3.3%.

Bottled olive oil exports rose 50.8% to 51,500 tons, but bulk oil still accounted for the vast majority of shipments, underscoring Tunisia's challenge in capturing more value from one of its most important export products.


South African Rand Hits Strongest Level since Start of Iran War

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
TT

South African Rand Hits Strongest Level since Start of Iran War

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration
South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/Illustration

The South African rand strengthened on Friday to its strongest level since the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran on February 28, as rising gold prices and a weaker dollar boosted the commodity-linked currency.

At 1229 GMT, the rand traded at 15.9925 against the dollar , about 0.8% stronger from its previous close.

Gold, one of South Africa's main exports, rose to a more than three-month high on Friday and was on track for a third straight weekly gain.

The precious metal was supported by a weaker dollar and the US Treasury's announcement that it would increase buybacks of longer-dated securities, Reuters reported.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he may further increase the government's repurchases of Treasuries. That came after the Treasury said it would double the size of buybacks on longer-dated securities over the next quarter.

The US dollar was set to end a bumpy week lower, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas.

Like other emerging market currencies, the rand has been at the mercy of global market sentiment, particularly since the start of the Iran war.

On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index was last up 2.2%.

South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond was also firmer in early deals, as the yield fell 0.5 basis points to 8.56%.